Sha Tin

20:05

BMW Hong Kong Derby (Conditions) (4yo) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2025-03-23
Distance 1m2f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo
Prize £1,497,942

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R15 (15)
Mondial
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:David A Hayes
J:
T:David A Hayes
126 b /973-0
80
108
-
21d
7.5
Unable to land any sort of blow when a big-priced outsider for Classic Cup on HK debut
R16 (16)
Sky Heart
Bay
J:TBC
T:C Fownes
J:
T:C Fownes
126 tv 5-4215
77
97
-
14d
6.8
Ran well in recent 1m1f handicap but needs to take form to new level today
1 (4)
Rubylot
Bay
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:David A Hayes
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:David A Hayes
126 p 72-161
100
114
-
21d
12.5
Ready winner of this month's Classic Cup and an obvious contender today
2 (14)
My Wish
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
126 11-312
97
112
-
21d
11.8
Won Classic Mile and ran big race in Classic Cup; can play another major role in this
3 (8)
Johannes Brahms
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
126 1-3013
95
111
-
21d
18.3
Stayed on well for third in this month's Classic Cup and has strong each-way claims
4 (12)
Stunning Peach
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:A S Cruz
J:Karis Teetan
T:A S Cruz
126 tp 59-376
87
110
-
21d
9.3
Did not enjoy run of the race when sixth in Classic Cup; 1m2f suits; worth a second look
5 (9)
Bundle Award
Brown
J:Ben E Thompson
T:J Size
J:Ben E Thompson
T:J Size
126 9-3151
86
102
-
14d
9
Has a bit to find at the weights but looked in very good nick when winning recent handicap
6 (6)
Packing Angel
Bay
J:Joao Moreira
T:K W Lui
J:Joao Moreira
T:K W Lui
126 t 71-114
86
110
-
21d
9
Creditable fourth when upped to 1m1f for Classic Cup; may still have a bigger run in him
7 (3)
Mickley
Bay
J:Ryan Moore
T:J Size
J:Ryan Moore
T:J Size
126 t 064500
85
104
-
21d
8.8
Fifth in Classic Mile here in January but needs to rebound from two down-the-field runs
8 (7)
Noisy Boy
Bay
J:Christophe Soumillon
T:C H Yip
J:Christophe Soumillon
T:C H Yip
126 t 971-10
84
106
-
21d
8.5
Dual handicap winner this season but his run in the Classic Cup was disappointing
9 (2)
Cap Ferrat
Bay
J:Craig A Williams
T:K W Lui
J:Craig A Williams
T:K W Lui
126 362-09
83
105
-
21d
8.3
Made promising HK debut in December but safely held in Classic Mile and Classic Cup since
10 (13)
Steps Ahead
Bay
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:K W Lui
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:K W Lui
126 2-2015
83
108
-
21d
11.8
Very respectable fifth at 37-1 odds in Classic Cup but has awkward draw today
11 (11)
Californiatotality
Bay
J:James Orman
T:A S Cruz
J:James Orman
T:A S Cruz
126 tb 71-218
81
106
-
21d
7.8
Prominent for a long way when eighth in Classic Cup; not ruled out each-way
12 (10)
Markwin
Bay
J:William Buick
T:W K Mo
J:William Buick
T:W K Mo
126 t 3-2062
81
99
-
14d
9.9
Progressive in handicaps this season; second over 1m1f recently; more on his plate today
13 (1)
Lo Rider
Brown
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C Fownes
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C Fownes
126 h 7-7524
78
96
-
14d
7
Yet to run a bad race in Hong Kong but needs to take a big step forward today
14 (5)
Beauty Alliance
Bay
J:Alexis Badel
T:J Size
J:Alexis Badel
T:J Size
126 -64311
77
95
-
11d
25.3
Dual 1m1f Happy Valley handicap winner this month but faces a much tougher task today

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Beauty Alliance
25.3
OR: 6.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0
2nd Johannes Brahms
18.3
OR: 11.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0
3rd Rubylot
12.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
4 My Wish
11.8
OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Steps Ahead
11.8
OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
6 Markwin
9.9
OR: 7.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0
7 Stunning Peach
9.3
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Bundle Award
9
OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Packing Angel
9
OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Mickley
8.8
OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Noisy Boy
8.5
OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Cap Ferrat
8.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Californiatotality
7.8
OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Mondial
7.5
OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
15 Lo Rider
7
OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0
16 Sky Heart
6.8
OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Rubylot
100
114
My Wish
97
112
Johannes Brahms
95
111
Stunning Peach
87
110
Bundle Award
86
102
Packing Angel
86
110
Mickley
85
104
Noisy Boy
84
106
Cap Ferrat
83
105
Steps Ahead
83
108
Californiatotality
81
106
Markwin
81
99
Mondial
80
108
Lo Rider
78
96
Sky Heart
77
97
Beauty Alliance
77
95

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Beauty Alliance 11d ago Quick return
Sky Heart 14d ago Fit
Bundle Award 14d ago Fit
Markwin 14d ago Fit
Lo Rider 14d ago Fit
Mondial 21d ago Fit
Rubylot 21d ago Fit
My Wish 21d ago Fit
Johannes Brahms 21d ago Fit
Stunning Peach 21d ago Fit
Packing Angel 21d ago Fit
Mickley 21d ago Fit
Noisy Boy 21d ago Fit
Cap Ferrat 21d ago Fit
Steps Ahead 21d ago Fit
Californiatotality 21d ago Fit

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Californiatotality Prominent
Rubylot Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.