Weekend Winners On Sky Sports Racing Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:40

Weekend Winners On Sky Sports Racing Handicap

Date 2025-04-30

Distance 2m102y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,978

Winning Time 3m 38.59s (slow by 5.09s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hardy Bloke (FR) Shay Farmer · Brian Ellison	13/2	Won
2nd	Golden Flame (IRE) Robert Havlin · Thomas Faulkner	100/30	3
3rd	Scotland The Brave (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Tristan Davidson	5/4F	5
4th	Dreams Adozen (FR) Daniel Muscutt · Charlie Johnston	6/1	2.5
5th	Justus (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	28/1	.5
6th	Juan Bermudez (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Henry Oliver	18/1	21
7th	Immelmann (GER) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	8/1	99

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Scotland The Brave Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Tristan Davidson	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Tristan Davidson	131	t	66-315	73	87	81	49d	—	—	-16	15.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Disappointing last time but may still do better; successful in February on handicap debut
6 (4)	Golden Flame Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Thomas Faulkner	J:Robert Havlin T:Thomas Faulkner	128	—	7-7294	68	84	75	35d	—	—	-8	9.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Formerly useful; no win since 2021 but current mark gives him a fighting chance
1 (5)	Dreams Adozen Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	135	v	162975	75	83	82	12d	—	—	-4	12.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ran respectably in the Vase Marathon last time; drops back in grade off last winning mark
7 (3)	Hardy Bloke Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	128	v	03212-	68	85	-	175d	—	—	+8	24.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two good performances (won/second) at Nottingham since wearing visor; enters calculations
4 (2)	Immelmann Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	134	—	610/0-	74	70	-	—	—	—	-1	8.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Flat winner in 2023 for Willie Mullins; sold for £4,000 since last run; market helpful
3 (7)	Juan Bermudez Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Henry Oliver	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Henry Oliver	135	tp	9/400/	75	-	-	—	—	—	+3	7.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Two attempts on AW (both in 2022) include a 2m Kempton win off 9lb higher; interesting
2 (1)	Justus Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	135	p	5/118-	75	86	-	205d	—	—	+4	7.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Not particularly solid on AW results and it's three years since last start in this sphere

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Scotland The Brave	6/4	7/4	6/4	6/4	13/8
Golden Flame	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Dreams Adozen	5/1	11/2	7/2	5/1	11/2
Hardy Bloke	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2	7/2
Immelmann	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Juan Bermudez	22/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Justus	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hardy Bloke

24.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 15.4 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Scotland The Brave

15.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Dreams Adozen

12.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

11/2

Golden Flame

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Immelmann

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Juan Bermudez

7.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Justus

7.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dreams Adozen	75	83	82
Juan Bermudez	75	—	—
Justus	75	86	—
Immelmann	74	70	—
Scotland The Brave	73	87	81
Golden Flame	68	84	75
Hardy Bloke	68	85	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dreams Adozen	12d ago	Quick return
Golden Flame	35d ago	Fit
Scotland The Brave	49d ago	Fresh
Hardy Bloke	175d ago	Long break
Justus	205d ago	Long break
Immelmann	—	—
Juan Bermudez	—	—