Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:10

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Handicap (Div I)

Date 2025-04-30

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 41.59s (slow by 3.89s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Spirit Of Bowland (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Stella Barclay	13/2	Won
2nd	Brinton (GB) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	4/1F	3.75
3rd	Timebar (GB) Oliver Stammers · Roy Bowring	8/1	2.75
4th	Beautiful Dawn (IRE) Jonny Peate · Derek Shaw	28/1	0.3
5th	Ya Rayah (GB) Robert Havlin · Dean Ivory	17/2	.75
6th	Quick Away (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Frost	9/2	1
7th	Crowd Quake (GB) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	11/2	1.5
8th	Masham Moor (GB) Aiden Brookes · Simon West	10/1	1.5
9th	Copper Mountain (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	10/1	8
10th	Muddagent (GB) Alex Jary · Seb Spencer	66/1	1.5
11th	Global Resolve (IRE) Luke Catton · P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	12/1	0.3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Brinton Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	135	p	313271	52	65	48	30d	—	—	+3	21.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Classified winner here and elsewhere in 2025; career-best form effort last time out.
12 (5)	Crowd Quake Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	129	t	6-65	46	62	47	107d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
All qualifying runs were over 5f, and 1m is far closer to optimum; big improvement likely.
5 (8)	Spirit Of Bowland Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	133	—	67/6-8	50	61	21	28d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 2 runs	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Likely to have needed recent return over 7f here; back below last winning mark again.
3 (1)	Quick Away Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Frost	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Frost	134	t	441310	51	66	52	32d	—	—	+3	15.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Yet to take a handicap, but nearest miss came over this C&D; two classified wins in 2025.
9 (6)	Timebar Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Roy Bowring	J:Oliver Stammers T:Roy Bowring	130	tv	878755	47	62	55	22d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Didn't last home over C&D latest; visor needs to prove more effective than other headgear.
4 (4)	Ya Rayah Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	134	p	830-47	51	65	45	23d	—	—	-6	2.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Didn't build on a fair seasonal/stable debut last time; return to 1m may suit, at least.
8 (2)	Masham Moor Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Simon West	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Simon West	131	—	-94217	48	62	56	33d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+4	11.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Three C&D wins include two handicaps off higher; repeat of latest effort won't suffice.
2 (11)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	t	-55619	51	64	53	22d	—	—	+3	9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dual C&D winner but best 2025 form so far has been elsewhere; last won a handicap in 2022.
6 (3)	Global Resolve Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Luke Catton(5) T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	133	—	020-68	50	62	57	27d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Chance on form level of October's C&D fifth; often not lasting home over further since.
11 (7)	Beautiful Dawn Chestnut J:Jonny Peate T:Derek Shaw	J:Jonny Peate T:Derek Shaw	129	v	623889	46	64	52	14d	—	—	-1	3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Inconclusive first turf run latest; couple of below-par efforts over this C&D before that.
7 (12)	Muddagent Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	132	—	7/44/	49	-	-	532d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Present level of attainment can only be guessed at following a sizeable absence.
NR (9)	Grecian God Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Mark Usher	J:NON-RUNNER T:Mark Usher	129	p	80-574	46	-	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Yet to fire in 2025, but could be ready for a prolonged return to 1m now; headgear added.

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Brinton	7/2	7/2	7/2
Crowd Quake	4/1	4/1	9/2
Spirit Of Bowland	11/2	11/2	11/2
Quick Away	13/2	13/2	13/2
Timebar	7/1	15/2	15/2
Ya Rayah	9/1	17/2	9/1
Masham Moor	11/1	11/1	11/1
Copper Mountain	14/1	12/1	14/1
Global Resolve	14/1	14/1	14/1
Beautiful Dawn	22/1	22/1	22/1
Muddagent	50/1	40/1	50/1
Grecian God	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brinton

21.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 15.4 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Quick Away

15.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Masham Moor

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Copper Mountain

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Crowd Quake

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Spirit Of Bowland

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Beautiful Dawn

OR: 0 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Timebar

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ya Rayah

2.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Global Resolve

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Muddagent

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Grecian God

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brinton	52	65	48
Quick Away	51	66	52
Ya Rayah	51	65	45
Copper Mountain	51	64	53
Spirit Of Bowland	50	61	21
Global Resolve	50	62	57
Muddagent	49	—	—
Masham Moor	48	62	56
Timebar	47	62	55
Crowd Quake	46	62	47
Beautiful Dawn	46	64	52
Grecian God	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beautiful Dawn	14d ago	Fit
Timebar	22d ago	Fit
Copper Mountain	22d ago	Fit
Ya Rayah	23d ago	Fit
Global Resolve	27d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Bowland	28d ago	Fit
Grecian God	28d ago	Fit
Brinton	30d ago	Fit
Quick Away	32d ago	Fit
Masham Moor	33d ago	Fit
Crowd Quake	107d ago	Long break
Muddagent	532d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.