Jenningsbet In Belmont Handicap (GBBPlus Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:10

Jenningsbet In Belmont Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Date 2025-06-26

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £18,319

Winning Time 2m 14.17s (slow by 7.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Royal Approval (IRE) P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	17/2	Won
2nd	Romieu (GB) Sam James · Adrian Paul Keatley	17/2	.5
3rd	Fantasy Believer (IRE) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	13/2	.5
4th	Hosanna Power (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	22/1	0.3
5th	Ashariba (FR) Harry Davies · David Menuisier	11/4F	0.3
6th	Penzance (GB) Kevin Stott · Michael Appleby	100/30	0.05
7th	Sea Legend (FR) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	12/1	.5
8th	Wadacre Gomez (GB) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	13/2	2.5
9th	Borgi (IRE) David Egan · S Woods	18/1	0.1
10th	Storm Catcher (IRE) Ray Dawson · Simon Pearce	14/1	6.5
11th	Postileo (IRE) David Nolan · Alan Brown	66/1	12

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Ashariba Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:David Menuisier	J:Harry Davies T:David Menuisier	131	—	4111-7	93	109	-	20d	—	—	-5	17.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ran respectably when reappearing at Epsom three weeks ago and may resume her progress
3 (1)	Penzance Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Appleby	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Appleby	131	—	415586	93	113	98	31d	—	—	-1	18.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
March win off this mark; should be much more potent back on AW after three runs on turf
9 (4)	Royal Approval Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	121	p	-61090	83	109	87	41d	—	—	+2	14.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Inconsistent overall and cut no ice last three starts; both wins were C&D; cheekpieces now
8 (10)	Wadacre Gomez Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	125	p	093032	87	109	89	7d	—	—	+10	20.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
5-9 record at Chelmsford and 2nd there last week; more opposable here and at this level
6 (9)	Fantasy Believer Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	128	—	0334-5	90	111	97	160d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Off since January; last summer he returned from a longer break to win three in a row
1 (3)	Storm Catcher Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Simon Pearce	J:Ray Dawson T:Simon Pearce	135	—	008-70	97	111	93	33d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Rather struggling for form since March 2024 but he's not entirely dismissed back here
5 (8)	Romieu Chestnut J:Sam James T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Sam James T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	t	12-150	90	108	-	31d	—	—	+5	12.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
11-day break was blamed for poor show one month ago; bred to stay at least 1m2f; AW debut
11 (7)	Sea Legend Chestnut J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	116	h	-63448	78	109	95	21d	—	—	+3	9.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Usually in the money here; reportedly bled from the nose when tailed off three weeks ago
7 (11)	Borgi Bay J:David Egan T:S Woods	J:David Egan T:S Woods	126	—	5410-5	88	107	-	57d	—	—	+6	10.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has a run under his belt now but underperformed all four times he tried this trip in 2023
10 (5)	Hosanna Power Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	116	—	65-739	78	108	83	36d	—	—	+4	8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Eased right down at Ayr five weeks ago as if something amiss; major chance on best form
2 (6)	Postileo Bay J:David Nolan T:Alan Brown	J:David Nolan T:Alan Brown	132	—	4P38-0	94	103	35	60d	—	—	+9	11.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Did not shine last year for E Mullins; heavily beaten at 100-1 in hot AW handicap in April

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ashariba	5/2	5/2	5/2	3/1	11/4
Penzance	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Royal Approval	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Wadacre Gomez	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Fantasy Believer	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Storm Catcher	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Romieu	12/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	10/1
Sea Legend	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Borgi	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Hosanna Power	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Postileo	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wadacre Gomez

20.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Penzance

18.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 2 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Ashariba

17.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Royal Approval

14.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Storm Catcher

14.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Fantasy Believer

12.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Romieu

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Postileo

11.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Borgi

10.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Sea Legend

9.8

OR: 7 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Hosanna Power

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Storm Catcher	97	111	93
Postileo	94	103	35
Ashariba	93	109	—
Penzance	93	113	98
Fantasy Believer	90	111	97
Romieu	90	108	—
Borgi	88	107	—
Wadacre Gomez	87	109	89
Royal Approval	83	109	87
Sea Legend	78	109	95
Hosanna Power	78	108	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wadacre Gomez	7d ago	Quick return
Ashariba	20d ago	Fit
Sea Legend	21d ago	Fit
Penzance	31d ago	Fit
Romieu	31d ago	Fit
Storm Catcher	33d ago	Fit
Hosanna Power	36d ago	Fit
Royal Approval	41d ago	Fit
Borgi	57d ago	Fresh
Postileo	60d ago	Fresh
Fantasy Believer	160d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.