Armstrong Watson Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

14:40

Armstrong Watson Handicap

Date 2025-08-20

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 12.94s (slow by 3.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Memphisatmidnight (IRE) James Sullivan · Tim Easterby	11/1	Won
2nd	Promise Time (GB) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	5/2	2.75
3rd	Boyne Lady (IRE) David Nolan · Roger Fell	11/2	1
4th	Tarlac (IRE) Joanna Mason · Katie Scott	10/1	.75
5th	On Key (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Julie Camacho	5/1	1.5
6th	Sole Spirit (GB) Harrison Shaw · Bryan Smart	2/1F	2.5
7th	East Tyrone (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	25/1	1.25

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Promise Time Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	136	—	231161	72	81	57	8d	—	—	+5	32.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has won three of his last four, including over C&D last week; respected under penalty
4 (7)	Sole Spirit Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	130	—	68P-11	66	82	64	12d	—	—	-14	12	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Unexposed gelding who has won his last two starts and is open to more progress; big player
2 (6)	Boyne Lady Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Roger Fell	J:David Nolan T:Roger Fell	135	—	251657	71	81	72	19d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won at Redcar in May but she's not matched that since and is now 1-10
3 (5)	On Key Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	133	h	52-246	69	81	70	33d	—	—	-5	8.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Runner-up in two handicaps but well held in last two starts and he's still a maiden
5 (1)	Tarlac Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	130	p	521589	66	81	77	18d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	10.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Disappointing in last two starts and needs a major revival with cheekpieces added
7 (3)	Memphisatmidnight Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	119	b	447835	55	78	59	8d	—	—	-2	5.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fair run over C&D latest but that was behind Promise Time; needs more with blinkers added
6 (2)	East Tyrone Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	126	p	475-68	62	79	64	84d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	4.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On dangerous mark but well held in both runs in 2025 and is ideally suited by slow ground

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Promise Time	9/4	9/4	9/4
Sole Spirit	9/4	9/4	9/4
Boyne Lady	11/2	11/2	11/2
On Key	11/2	11/2	11/2
Tarlac	9/1	9/1	9/1
Memphisatmidnight	12/1	11/1	11/1
East Tyrone	16/1	14/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Promise Time

32.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 18.6 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Boyne Lady

12.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Sole Spirit

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Tarlac

10.4

OR: 4 Form: 4 Odds: 2.4

9/1

On Key

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Memphisatmidnight

5.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

East Tyrone

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Promise Time	72	81	57
Boyne Lady	71	81	72
On Key	69	81	70
Sole Spirit	66	82	64
Tarlac	66	81	77
East Tyrone	62	79	64
Memphisatmidnight	55	78	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Promise Time	8d ago	Quick return
Memphisatmidnight	8d ago	Quick return
Sole Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Tarlac	18d ago	Fit
Boyne Lady	19d ago	Fit
On Key	33d ago	Fit
East Tyrone	84d ago	Fresh