Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

17:00

Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap

Date 2025-09-20

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £13,085

Winning Time 1m 44.10s (slow by 8.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Eternal Force (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	10/1	Won
2nd	Stem (IRE) Jamie Spencer · Richard Hannon	3/1F	.75
3rd	Lord Montague (GB) Finley Marsh · Jack Channon	14/1	0.2
4th	Sky Advocate (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Clive Cox	9/1	5
5th	Transparent (IRE) Rob Hornby · Tom Ward	20/1	0.3
6th	Lord Roxby (IRE) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	33/1	6.5
7th	Tiger (FR) Hector Crouch · Ian Williams	40/1	3
8th	Nakaaha (GB) Jack Callan · Grace Harris	33/1	4
9th	Tequila Star (IRE) Sean D Bowen · Dominic Ffrench Davis	40/1	1
10th	Beltadaay (GB) Sam Hitchcott · James Horton	22/1	3.5
11th	Gilet (IRE) Charles Bishop · Warren Greatrex	6/1	1
12th	Organ (GB) Cieren Fallon · Martyn Meade	16/1	.75
13th	Herculeus (GB) Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	4/1	5.5
14th	Kodi Fire (IRE) P J McDonald · Charles Hills	16/1	5
15th	Woroodd (IRE) William Buick · Ed Walker	7/1	11

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Herculeus Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	135	p	5-2141	85	98	77	23d	—	—	-8	16	0.83/1	10/3 23%
8lb higher than when winning over C&D last month but he took that race with plenty in hand
2 (12)	Stem Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	136	—	1-302	86	95	88	14d	—	—	+3	21.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won the novice on this card a year ago; drop in trip a question mark but remains unexposed
5 (13)	Woroodd Bay J:William Buick T:Ed Walker	J:William Buick T:Ed Walker	134	—	3116	84	93	68	21d	—	—	+14	24.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
1m should be within range, but has a question to answer if ground remains on the soft side
7 (11)	Eternal Force Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	—	8-4421	83	94	76	28d	—	—	0	11.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Easy task last time; progressive before that; shouldn't be underestimated; handicap debut
8 (4)	Gilet Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Warren Greatrex	J:Charles Bishop T:Warren Greatrex	132	—	525074	82	97	91	15d	—	—	+1	12.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Back off the same mark as when just beaten over C&D in May; each-way claims on that form
10 (10)	Sky Advocate Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:Clive Cox	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Clive Cox	130	—	462832	80	96	81	14d	—	—	+11	18.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Regularly in the frame; this looks a competitive race in which to try and break his duck
13 (3)	Kodi Fire Brown J:P J McDonald T:Charles Hills	J:P J McDonald T:Charles Hills	124	—	561115	74	95	88	18d	—	—	+17	22.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Rattled off a hat-trick on turf in the summer, but is unproven on ground softer than good
12 (1)	Lord Montague Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Jack Channon	J:Finley Marsh T:Jack Channon	124	—	26213	74	93	60	17d	—	—	+16	20.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Best effort when third on handicap debut at Lingfield last time; each-way claims
14 (2)	Beltadaay Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:James Horton	J:Sam Hitchcott T:James Horton	121	—	018753	71	93	74	2d	—	—	+7	11.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has a rather all-or-nothing profile; not sure what to expect
3 (15)	Transparent Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Tom Ward	J:Rob Hornby T:Tom Ward	135	—	253320	85	95	87	23d	—	—	+11	16	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Twice runner-up on turf on straight tracks, but needs to put a modest effort behind him
1 (6)	Organ Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Martyn Meade	J:Cieren Fallon T:Martyn Meade	137	—	311150	87	96	68	27d	—	—	+17	20.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Modest the last twice after completing a hat-trick; unproven on ground softer than good
9 (9)	Lord Roxby Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	386233	82	95	92	19d	—	—	+12	16.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Mainly campaigned as a sprinter; has something to prove in a big field over this far
6 (14)	Tiger Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ian Williams	J:Hector Crouch T:Ian Williams	133	—	5140	83	91	40	109d	—	—	+11	14	10.00/1	40/1 2%
AW winner in France; market informative on stable debut after 109 days off
11 (5)	Nakaaha Bay J:Jack Callan(5) T:Grace Harris	J:Jack Callan(5) T:Grace Harris	129	h	701160	79	92	84	22d	—	—	+13	16.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D winner, but still 9lb above her last winning mark; ground softer than good a question
15 (8)	Tequila Star Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Sean D Bowen T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	116	—	5-0058	66	86	69	32d	—	—	+2	4.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Nearly 10l behind Stem in the novice on this card last year; hasn't fared any better since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Herculeus	10/3	9/4	16/5	10/3	3/1
Stem	4/1	5/1	4/1	7/2	5/1
Woroodd	7/1	6/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Eternal Force	15/2	6/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Gilet	13/2	17/2	13/2	15/2	13/2
Sky Advocate	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Kodi Fire	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Lord Montague	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Beltadaay	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Transparent	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Organ	28/1	20/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lord Roxby	28/1	18/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Tiger	33/1	40/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Nakaaha	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Tequila Star	40/1	50/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Woroodd

24.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Kodi Fire

22.6

OR: 6 Form: 15 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Stem

21.2

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Lord Montague

20.7

OR: 6 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Organ

20.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1

28/1

Sky Advocate

18.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Lord Roxby

16.8

OR: 8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Nakaaha

16.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Herculeus

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

10/3

Transparent

OR: 8.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Tiger

OR: 8.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Gilet

12.3

OR: 8 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Beltadaay

11.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Eternal Force

11.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tequila Star

4.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Organ	87	96	68
Stem	86	95	88
Herculeus	85	98	77
Transparent	85	95	87
Woroodd	84	93	68
Eternal Force	83	94	76
Tiger	83	91	40
Gilet	82	97	91
Lord Roxby	82	95	92
Sky Advocate	80	96	81
Nakaaha	79	92	84
Kodi Fire	74	95	88
Lord Montague	74	93	60
Beltadaay	71	93	74
Tequila Star	66	86	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beltadaay	2d ago	Quick return
Stem	14d ago	Fit
Sky Advocate	14d ago	Fit
Gilet	15d ago	Fit
Lord Montague	17d ago	Fit
Kodi Fire	18d ago	Fit
Lord Roxby	19d ago	Fit
Woroodd	21d ago	Fit
Nakaaha	22d ago	Fit
Herculeus	23d ago	Fit
Transparent	23d ago	Fit
Organ	27d ago	Fit
Eternal Force	28d ago	Fit
Tequila Star	32d ago	Fit
Tiger	109d ago	Long break