Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase – Punchestown

Punchestown

13:05

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase

Date 2025-12-31

Distance 2m3f150y

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €8,555

Rain 0%

Winning Time 5m 21.80s (slow by 20.80s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sammy Smart (GB) James Smith · Thomas Gibney	3/1F	Won
2nd	Three In A Row (IRE) Ricky Doyle · A L T Moore	7/1	0.1
3rd	Crecora Hills (IRE) Mark Walsh · Robert Tyner	4/1	7
4th	Big Stage (IRE) Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	4/1	.75
5th	Casey West (IRE) Tiernan Power Roche · P J Rothwell	8/1	3.5
6th	Born Braver (IRE) Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	12/1	9
7th	Dont Tell Jack (IRE) Simon Torrens · E Bolger	16/1	1
8th	North Of Nashville (IRE) Jordan Gainford · Colin Bowe	50/1	1.25
9th	Attaboyarchie (IRE) Miss E J Sweeney · Karl Thornton	25/1	0.1
10th	Bocelli's Voice (IRE) Patrick M O'Brien · Dermot A McLoughlin	33/1	0.3
11th	Walnut Beach (IRE) G B Noonan · Patrick J Flynn	50/1	3.75
12th	Fenway Park (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · Andrew McNamara	25/1	8.5
13th	Silver King (IRE) Phillip Enright · Oliver McKiernan	14/1	0.2
14th	Hardwired (IRE) Gavin Brouder · T M Walsh	28/1	13
15th	Don't Talk (GER) Ben Harvey · Karl Thornton	50/1	0.3
16th	Noble Talent (IRE) Danny Mullins · T J Nagle Jr	28/1	1.25

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Crecora Hills Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Robert Tyner	J:Mark Walsh T:Robert Tyner	159	—	7777-1	113	123	91	52d	—	—	+9	33	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Winning favourite at Naas on seasonal debut, fair chance of defying 11lb rise
12	Sammy Smart Bay J:James Smith(5) T:Thomas Gibney	J:James Smith(5) T:Thomas Gibney	151	—	1260-2	105	125	113	34d	—	—	+5	24.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Clear of the third when second to a well-handicapped horse on seasonal debut, good chance
6	Big Stage Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	158	tp	-29F74	112	129	102	17d	—	—	+6	19.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Now 0-11 over fences after Navan fourth, stable's brilliant form is the main positive
10	Casey West Bay J:Tiernan Power Roche(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:Tiernan Power Roche(3) T:P J Rothwell	154	p	74-5P2	108	123	104	31d	—	—	+8	17.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Hunter chase winner, comes into reckoning following an improved display at Fairyhouse
14	Three In A Row Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:A L T Moore	J:Ricky Doyle T:A L T Moore	151	—	32-047	105	125	97	29d	—	—	+7	16.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Beaten 7l in fourth behind the same owner's Crecora Hills at Naas, out of the money since
7	Dont Tell Jack Brown J:Simon Torrens T:E Bolger	J:Simon Torrens T:E Bolger	158	h	369-00	112	123	55	25d	—	—	+11	17.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Weak form in two races over fences, owner seems to have two others with a better chance
1	Born Braver Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	168	p	15-909	122	121	45	25d	—	—	+14	19.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hard to assess on form in beginners' chases, may now find his level in handicap company
13	Silver King Grey J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	151	ht	269P-F	105	121	87	66d	—	—	+10	15.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Sole win over hurdles was at this venue in January 2024, otherwise hard to make a case
8	Fenway Park Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Andrew McNamara	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Andrew McNamara	158	tb	P37-08	112	123	75	16d	—	—	+13	16.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Course winner over hurdles, modest chase form, handicap debut off 12lb below hurdles mark
3	Noble Talent Bay J:Danny Mullins T:T J Nagle Jr	J:Danny Mullins T:T J Nagle Jr	161	—	153P-P	115	125	85	88d	—	—	+14	17.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Poor fifth in this race last year, pulled up in his last two races, hard to be confident
4	Hardwired Bay J:Gavin Brouder T:T M Walsh	J:Gavin Brouder T:T M Walsh	160	tb	98-616	114	121	110	198d	—	—	+14	16.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three-time course winner, latest win was here in June, next run may have come too soon
11	Attaboyarchie Bay J:Miss E J Sweeney(7) T:Karl Thornton	J:Miss E J Sweeney(7) T:Karl Thornton	151	—	806-9U	105	123	70	31d	—	—	+12	14.4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
22-race maiden, limited chasing experience, nothing to suggest a breakthrough is imminent
16	North Of Nashville Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Colin Bowe	J:Jordan Gainford T:Colin Bowe	146	—	01/S-3	100	123	-	—	—	—	+13	16.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won over 3m1f in 2023, ran only once last year, should be better for a point-to-point run
9	Don't Talk Bay J:Ben Harvey T:Karl Thornton	J:Ben Harvey T:Karl Thornton	155	—	115U-0	109	122	108	24d	—	—	+13	15.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Gained back-to-back wins in January; huge improvement needed from a Cork hurdles outing
15	Bocelli's Voice Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(5) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Patrick M O'Brien(5) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	149	tp	5664U7	103	120	111	62d	—	—	+11	13.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won a beginners' chase at Wexford in 2024, mostly ordinary form since then, up against it
2	Walnut Beach Bay J:G B Noonan(3) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:G B Noonan(3) T:Patrick J Flynn	166	—	69-077	120	123	32	39d	—	—	+16	18.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Soundly beaten in two runs over fences this season, down 11lb from career-high mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crecora Hills	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Sammy Smart	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Big Stage	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	5/1
Casey West	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Three In A Row	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	11/1
Dont Tell Jack	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	16/1
Born Braver	12/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Silver King	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Fenway Park	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Noble Talent	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Hardwired	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Attaboyarchie	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
North Of Nashville	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Don't Talk	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Bocelli's Voice	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Walnut Beach	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crecora Hills

OR: 15.8 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Sammy Smart

24.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Big Stage

19.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 0.3 Odds: 4

5/1

Born Braver

19.6

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Walnut Beach

18.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Casey West

17.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Dont Tell Jack

17.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Noble Talent

17.2

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Hardwired

16.9

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Fenway Park

16.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Three In A Row

16.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

North Of Nashville

16.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Don't Talk

15.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Silver King

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Attaboyarchie

14.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Bocelli's Voice

13.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Born Braver	122	121	45
Walnut Beach	120	123	32
Noble Talent	115	125	85
Hardwired	114	121	110
Crecora Hills	113	123	91
Big Stage	112	129	102
Dont Tell Jack	112	123	55
Fenway Park	112	123	75
Don't Talk	109	122	108
Casey West	108	123	104
Sammy Smart	105	125	113
Three In A Row	105	125	97
Silver King	105	121	87
Attaboyarchie	105	123	70
Bocelli's Voice	103	120	111
North Of Nashville	100	123	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fenway Park	16d ago	Fit
Big Stage	17d ago	Fit
Don't Talk	24d ago	Fit
Dont Tell Jack	25d ago	Fit
Born Braver	25d ago	Fit
Three In A Row	29d ago	Fit
Casey West	31d ago	Fit
Attaboyarchie	31d ago	Fit
Sammy Smart	34d ago	Fit
Walnut Beach	39d ago	Fit
Crecora Hills	52d ago	Fresh
Bocelli's Voice	62d ago	Fresh
Silver King	66d ago	Fresh
Noble Talent	88d ago	Fresh
Hardwired	198d ago	Long break
North Of Nashville	—	—