Watch On Racing TV Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

4:55

Watch On Racing TV Handicap

Date 2023-04-12

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (11)	Mabre gr Rossa Ryan · David Evans	Rossa Ryan · David Evans	137	b	807123	67	80	60	16d	—	—	0	22.4	3/1 25%
Unlucky on the AW last time; effective on turf and handles this sort of ground.
6 (8)	Big Bear Hug b Robert Havlin · Adam West	Robert Havlin · Adam West	132	—	83650-	62	78	53	162d	—	—	-8	8.9	9/2 18%
Trip/ground fine but wasn't exactly in flying form when last seen.
5 (7)	More Diamonds b Hollie Doyle · James Ferguson	Hollie Doyle · James Ferguson	132	—	5/479-	62	75	65	281d	—	—	-5	6.3	13/2 13%
Best run came on soft ground in 2021 and not had those conditions since.
8 (9)	Nine Elms ch Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	129	b	735-83	59	78	67	29d	—	—	-5	4.9	15/2 12%
Pressed the pace throughout when third on the AW last time; soft ground a worry.
4 (4)	Antagonize b Harrison Shaw · Bryan Smart	Harrison Shaw · Bryan Smart	134	—	0420-8	64	79	73	36d	—	—	-3	5.9	17/2 11%
Two poor runs since going close at Carlisle in September; thoroughly exposed.
3 (3)	Eleven Eleven b Luke Catton(5) · Jessica Macey	Luke Catton(5) · Jessica Macey	135	h	0-0412	65	76	-	34d	—	—	-2	6	11 9%
Dual AW winner who went down narrowly over 1m at Newcastle a month ago; turf debut.
10 (6)	Distinction b Cam Hardie · John Mackie	Cam Hardie · John Mackie	121	p	46075-	51	77	64	162d	—	—	-4	2	12 8%
Decent form for this grade over 1m on softish ground but signed off last year below par.
1 (2)	Riffa Fort b David Egan · Martin Smith	David Egan · Martin Smith	137	—	55-59	67	76	67	68d	—	—	-1	6.4	12 8%
Beat only one home on his handicap debut over 1m2f on the AW.
9 (5)	Recorwoman ch Elle-May Croot(7) · Ivan Furtado	Elle-May Croot(7) · Ivan Furtado	129	ht	04-587	59	74	72	36d	—	—	-1	3.6	20 5%
One decent run on the AW this winter (1m) and might be happier back on turf.
11 (10)	Buachaill b Shane Gray · Stella Barclay	Shane Gray · Stella Barclay	118	h	0-0130	48	74	59	13d	—	—	-3	1	28 4%
Opposable on handicap form and the AW is perhaps more his scene.
7 (1)	Confils b Pat Cosgrave · George Baker	Pat Cosgrave · George Baker	130	—	60/4-7	60	73	-	41d	—	—	0	3.3	33 3%
Seen only once last year and didn't run that well on her reappearance.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mabre	3	3	3/1	11/4	11/4
Big Bear Hug	4	9/2	4	4	4
More Diamonds	13/2	11/2	6	11/2	6
Nine Elms	7	8	15/2	7	15/2
Antagonize	9	17/2	8	8	9
Eleven Eleven	11	10	17/2	10	10
Distinction	11	12	12	12	12
Riffa Fort	10	11	9	11	12
Recorwoman	18	20	16	18	18
Buachaill	28	25	25	25	25
Confils	33	28	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mabre

22.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Big Bear Hug

8.9

OR: 3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Riffa Fort

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

More Diamonds

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Eleven Eleven

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Antagonize

5.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Nine Elms

4.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Recorwoman

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Confils

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Distinction

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Buachaill

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mabre Top Rated	67	80	60
Riffa Fort	67	76	67
Eleven Eleven	65	76	—
Antagonize	64	79	73
Big Bear Hug	62	78	53
More Diamonds	62	75	65
Confils	60	73	—
Nine Elms	59	78	67
Recorwoman	59	74	72
Distinction	51	77	64
Buachaill	48	74	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mabre	16d ago	Fit
Big Bear Hug	162d ago	Long break
More Diamonds	281d ago	Long break
Nine Elms	29d ago	Fit
Antagonize	36d ago	Fit
Eleven Eleven	34d ago	Fit
Distinction	162d ago	Long break
Riffa Fort	68d ago	Fresh
Recorwoman	36d ago	Fit
Buachaill	13d ago	Quick return
Confils	41d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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