Winners Wear Cavani Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree

4:40

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 3m149y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £56,270

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Absolute Notions b Davy Russell · Gordon Elliott	Davy Russell · Gordon Elliott	162	—	1132	143	148	116	69d	—	—	+25	44.1	3/1 25%
Kept on well for second in 2m6f Leopardstown Grade 1 in February; can improve again at 3m
13	Stay Away Fay b Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	162	t	1-121	148	158	138	28d	—	—	+19	36.7	9/2 18%
Improved form when battling well to win Grade 1 Albert Bartlett at Cheltenham last month
3	Grey Dawning gr Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	162	—	1-2111	141	149	130	90d	—	—	+19	34.2	5/1 17%
Dug deep to win gruelling Warwick Grade 2 (2m5f, heavy) in January; rain will aid cause
8	Maximilian ch Brian Hughes · Donald Mccain	Brian Hughes · Donald Mccain	162	—	1-1131	139	144	131	76d	—	—	+20	32.9	11/2 15%
Too strong for Stay Away Fay when bagging Doncaster Grade 2 in January
6	Iroko b Mark Walsh · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Mark Walsh · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	162	t	44-111	144	149	130	28d	—	—	+14	27.5	11/2 15%
Finished with good late surge to win 2m4f Cheltenham handicap last month; up in trip here
16	Apple Away b Stephen Mulqueen · Lucinda Russell	Stephen Mulqueen · Lucinda Russell	155	—	163211	131	142	130	41d	—	—	+36	42.3	14 7%
Made all in mares' Listed race last month but has a lot more on her plate against males
5	Hurricane Bay b Bryony Frost · Lucy Wadham	Bryony Frost · Lucy Wadham	162	—	-21331	135	140	127	51d	—	—	+36	39.8	25 4%
Creditable third in Doncaster Grade 2 in January but has a bit to find here
11	Saint Davy b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo Oneill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo Oneill	162	—	1-11	-	132	119	108d	—	—	+5	7.9	33 3%
Narrow winner over 2m3f on hurdle debut; this is much tougher but he's unexposed
2	Blenkinsop b Hugh Nugent · Henry Daly	Hugh Nugent · Henry Daly	162	—	-41111	131	135	113	104d	—	—	+43	46.2	33 3%
4-4 since switched to handicaps; up in trip/grade today; might still be improving
15	Weveallbeencaught b Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	162	—	1-3187	137	143	125	28d	—	—	+27	29.5	33 3%
Respectable seventh in last month's Albert Bartlett but needs a better effort
7	Marble Sands gr Kielan Woods · Fergal Obrien	Kielan Woods · Fergal Obrien	162	—	-11515	138	145	133	30d	—	—	+32	34.9	28 4%
Not disgraced in last month's Ballymore but never looked dangerous; faces tough task
4	Howlingmadmurdock b Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey	Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey	162	—	1-121	130	135	105	38d	—	—	+25	27.7	40 3%
Drew well clear with runner-up when winning Sandown handicap in March; hiked up in grade
12	Search For Glory b Keith Donoghue · Gordon Elliott	Keith Donoghue · Gordon Elliott	162	t	1-133P	-	141	86	28d	—	—	+5	7.6	50 2%
Didn't fire at Cheltenham last month but his Grade 3 third in February was very promising
9	Mofasa b Luca Morgan · Michael Scudamore	Luca Morgan · Michael Scudamore	162	—	4-1143	133	139	117	76d	—	—	+19	21.2	80 1%
Unexposed but has a lot to find on the figures; minor effort over 3m here yesterday
10	Moka De Vassy b David Noonan · Jane Williams	David Noonan · Jane Williams	162	p	5-P53F	124	132	117	29d	—	—	+17	18.9	100/1 1%
Third in Exeter handicap in February but fell last time and is now 0-8 over hurdles
NR	Twig b NON-RUNNER · Ben Pauling	NON-RUNNER · Ben Pauling	162	—	212161	129	137	114	42d	—	—	+37	38.6	100 1%
Dual novice hurdle winner this season but faces a tall order here and has his quirks

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Absolute Notions	3/1	3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Stay Away Fay	4	9/2	9/2	4	4
Grey Dawning	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Maximilian	11/2	11/2	5	6	6
Iroko	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Apple Away	14	14	12	14	14
Hurricane Bay	25	25	25	25	25
Saint Davy	33	28	28	28	25
Blenkinsop	33	28	20	28	28
Weveallbeencaught	33	33	25	33	33
Marble Sands	28	28	28	28	28
Howlingmadmurdock	40	40	40	40	40
Search For Glory	50	50	50	50	50
Mofasa	80	66	66	66	66
Moka De Vassy	100	100/1	80	100/1	80
Twig	100	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blenkinsop

46.2

OR: 20.3 Form: 25 Odds: 1

2nd

Absolute Notions

44.1

OR: 23.3 Form: 15.1 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Apple Away

42.3

OR: 20.3 Form: 20.4 Odds: 1.6

Hurricane Bay

39.8

OR: 21.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 1

Twig

38.6

OR: 19.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0.3

100

Stay Away Fay

36.7

OR: 24.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Marble Sands

34.9

OR: 22 Form: 12 Odds: 0.9

Grey Dawning

34.2

OR: 22.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Maximilian

32.9

OR: 22.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Weveallbeencaught

29.5

OR: 21.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

Howlingmadmurdock

27.7

OR: 20 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

Iroko

27.5

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Mofasa

21.2

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Moka De Vassy

18.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Saint Davy

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

Search For Glory

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stay Away Fay Top Rated	148	158	138
Iroko	144	149	130
Absolute Notions	143	148	116
Grey Dawning	141	149	130
Maximilian	139	144	131
Marble Sands	138	145	133
Weveallbeencaught	137	143	125
Hurricane Bay	135	140	127
Mofasa	133	139	117
Apple Away	131	142	130
Blenkinsop	131	135	113
Howlingmadmurdock	130	135	105
Twig	129	137	114
Moka De Vassy	124	132	117
Saint Davy	—	132	119
Search For Glory	—	141	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Absolute Notions	69d ago	Fresh
Stay Away Fay	28d ago	Fit
Grey Dawning	90d ago	Fresh
Maximilian	76d ago	Fresh
Iroko	28d ago	Fit
Apple Away	41d ago	Fit
Hurricane Bay	51d ago	Fresh
Saint Davy	108d ago	Long break
Blenkinsop	104d ago	Long break
Weveallbeencaught	28d ago	Fit
Marble Sands	30d ago	Fit
Howlingmadmurdock	38d ago	Fit
Search For Glory	28d ago	Fit
Mofasa	76d ago	Fresh
Moka De Vassy	29d ago	Fit
Twig	42d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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