William Hercock Limited Nursery Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

2:50

William Hercock Limited Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,780

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (7)	Arizona Desert ch NON-RUNNER · Dominic Ffrench Davis	NON-RUNNER · Dominic Ffrench Davis	130	t	336	62	70	-	49d	—	—	-43	26.6	—
Didn't progress for Alice Haynes but she's down in class for her nursery/stable debut
4 (5)	Mullins Beach ch P J McDonald · Rod Millman	P J McDonald · Rod Millman	133	—	239362	65	74	62	11d	—	—	-5	17.5	10/3 23%
More exposed than most but on a fair mark and ran well last time; should be in the mix
5 (1)	Autumn Rose b Tom Marquand · Tony Carroll	Tom Marquand · Tony Carroll	132	—	052	64	73	59	10d	—	—	-12	17.4	2/1 33%
Improved when 2nd at Chester ten days ago; makes nursery debut with more to come
NR (3)	Mad Punter b Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	132	—	780	64	64	51	12d	—	—	-16	11.9	10/3 23%
Hasn't achieved a great deal in 3 runs but appeals as a likely big improver this afternoon
2 (4)	Line Sheet b Daniel Muscutt · George Scott	Daniel Muscutt · George Scott	135	—	6044	67	68	62	37d	—	—	-9	9.7	10/3 23%
Promise over 6f for R Beckett; soft ground perhaps not ideal latest; down in grade today
1 (2)	Anonymous Guest b Mikkel Mortensen(7) · George Margarson	Mikkel Mortensen(7) · George Margarson	135	—	0470	67	73	57	14d	—	—	-5	7.9	11/2 15%
Out the back in a Class 5 at Newbury on his nursery debut two weeks ago; this is weaker
3 (6)	Red Chatan ch Hollie Doyle · David Evans	Hollie Doyle · David Evans	134	—	588	66	67	56	29d	—	—	-4	7.1	13/2 13%
Some promise on debut but backward steps twice since; upped in trip for nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Arizona Desert	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Mullins Beach	10/3	10/3	5/2	3	3/1
Autumn Rose	2	15/8	7/4	2	2/1
Mad Punter	11/4	10/3	15/8	2	2
Line Sheet	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Anonymous Guest	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Red Chatan	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arizona Desert

26.6

OR: 3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Mullins Beach

17.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Autumn Rose

17.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

Mad Punter

11.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

10/3

Line Sheet

9.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

10/3

Anonymous Guest

7.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Red Chatan

7.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Line Sheet Top Rated	67	68	62
Anonymous Guest	67	73	57
Red Chatan	66	67	56
Mullins Beach	65	74	62
Autumn Rose	64	73	59
Mad Punter	64	64	51
Arizona Desert	62	70	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arizona Desert	49d ago	Fresh
Mullins Beach	11d ago	Quick return
Autumn Rose	10d ago	Quick return
Mad Punter	12d ago	Quick return
Line Sheet	37d ago	Fit
Anonymous Guest	14d ago	Fit
Red Chatan	29d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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