Gary Wilson 65th Birthday Celebration Handicap

Redcar

4:30

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners 17

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (3)	Jkr Cobbler b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	136	—	111323	63	76	60	8d	—	—	+2	22.4	11/4 27%
Three 7f wins at Ayr this summer and he went close in the mud there last week; big player
13 (17)	Sassoon ch Andrew Breslin(3) · Ben Haslam	Andrew Breslin(3) · Ben Haslam	129	v	00-661	56	77	54	8d	—	—	-7	4.8	13/2 13%
Ended a long losing run at Ayr (promoted to first) and he's respected under a penalty
2 (1)	Gentle Ellen b Rossa Ryan · David & Nicola Barron	Rossa Ryan · David & Nicola Barron	139	—	401431	66	75	68	18d	—	—	+11	22.2	13/2 13%
Generally progressive filly who won on soft at Hamilton latest; respected back up in trip
14 (9)	Asmund b Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	128	b	532252	55	77	68	23d	—	—	+4	13.5	17/2 11%
Won this by 3l last year and he went close over C&D latest; another bold bid is expected
10 (5)	Direct Hit br David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	133	b	-24425	62	73	63	10d	—	—	+2	9.7	10 10%
Ten-race maiden but he has a solid record in handicaps this year and shouldn't be far away
5 (7)	Bay Of Hope b Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	137	—	-51343	66	73	62	20d	—	—	+5	13.9	10 10%
C&D winner who was placed at Ripon (6f) last time and looks interesting back up in trip
17 (4)	Ratafia b Joanna Mason · Michael Herrington	Joanna Mason · Michael Herrington	119	—	404382	46	72	65	25d	—	—	0	8.9	10 10%
0-14 but was runner-up at Leicester last time and has claims if he can back that up
NR (6)	Russco b TBC · Ann Duffield	· Ann Duffield	140	h	50-779	67	71	47	26d	—	—	0	5.9	16 6%
On much-reduced mark but he needs a major revival back up in trip; first-time hood
15 (2)	Magical Effect ch Jason Hart · Ruth Carr	Jason Hart · Ruth Carr	126	v	262976	53	75	67	27d	—	—	-2	4	14 7%
Veteran who has not won since last autumn and has been well held in last three runs
8 (12)	Caribbean Sunset b Archie Young(7) · Grant Tuer	Archie Young(7) · Grant Tuer	136	—	214204	63	75	49	14d	—	—	+3	9.5	14 7%
Generally reliable type who acts on soft and is still unexposed at this trip; shortlisted
NR (13)	Rain Cap b TBC · John David Riches	· John David Riches	129	v	701203	56	74	61	7d	—	—	-1	14.3	16 6%
Seven-time turf winner (6f/7f), who went close on AW at Newcastle last week; respected
3 (14)	Culcor b David Nolan · David Omeara	David Nolan · David Omeara	138	v	956003	65	73	64	10d	—	—	+3	8.4	20 5%
Good third off a tumbling mark at Leicester (7f); in the mix back down in grade
6 (10)	Sezaam gr P J McDonald · Michael Dods	P J McDonald · Michael Dods	137	p	0-5930	64	71	67	11d	—	—	0	4.7	25 4%
0-9 since his 2yo win here two years ago and he has a patchy record; others preferred
11 (16)	Hoots Toots gr/ro Lewis Chalkley(7) · Michael & David Easterby	Lewis Chalkley(7) · Michael & David Easterby	129	t	107076	56	76	69	29d	—	—	-2	2.7	25 4%
Started this season with a Thirsk win (soft) but he's not come close to that form since
7 (15)	Cassy O b Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	136	b	644388	63	75	65	29d	—	—	+2	5.7	22 5%
On a dangerous mark but losing run is up to 18 and he's finished eighth in last two runs
NR (8)	Floral Splendour br TBC · Adrian Nicholls	· Adrian Nicholls	138	—	027090	65	71	70	62d	—	—	-4	8.1	33 3%
0-11 since her debut win last July and a major turnaround is needed for new yard
16 (11)	Cawthornes Gem b Clifford Lee · Tim Easterby	Clifford Lee · Tim Easterby	123	tb	0-5777	52	73	47	100d	—	—	-1	1	66 2%
Has generally struggled in his six runs and can only be watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jkr Cobbler	3	3	11/4	3	3
Sassoon	6	6/1	6	13/2	13/2
Gentle Ellen	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Asmund	9	17/2	7	8	8
Direct Hit	10	9	17/2	9	9
Bay Of Hope	10	10	8	10	9
Ratafia	10	9	17/2	8	9
Russco	12	14	14	16	16
Magical Effect	14	12	11	14	14
Caribbean Sunset	14	12	12	12	12
Rain Cap	16	14	14	16	16
Culcor	20	20	12	16	20
Sezaam	25	20	16	20	22
Hoots Toots	25	22	16	20	22
Cassy O	20	22	22	22	22
Floral Splendour	33	25	22	25	25
Cawthornes Gem	66	66	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jkr Cobbler

22.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 13 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Gentle Ellen

22.2

OR: 4 Form: 15.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Rain Cap

14.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.3

Bay Of Hope

13.9

OR: 4 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

Asmund

13.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Direct Hit

9.7

OR: 3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.2

Caribbean Sunset

9.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

Ratafia

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

Culcor

8.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Floral Splendour

8.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

Russco

5.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Cassy O

5.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Sassoon

4.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sezaam

4.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Magical Effect

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Hoots Toots

2.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Cawthornes Gem

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Russco Top Rated	67	71	47
Gentle Ellen	66	75	68
Bay Of Hope	66	73	62
Culcor	65	73	64
Floral Splendour	65	71	70
Sezaam	64	71	67
Jkr Cobbler	63	76	60
Caribbean Sunset	63	75	49
Cassy O	63	75	65
Direct Hit	62	73	63
Sassoon	56	77	54
Rain Cap	56	74	61
Hoots Toots	56	76	69
Asmund	55	77	68
Magical Effect	53	75	67
Cawthornes Gem	52	73	47
Ratafia	46	72	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jkr Cobbler	8d ago	Quick return
Sassoon	8d ago	Quick return
Gentle Ellen	18d ago	Fit
Asmund	23d ago	Fit
Direct Hit	10d ago	Quick return
Bay Of Hope	20d ago	Fit
Ratafia	25d ago	Fit
Russco	26d ago	Fit
Magical Effect	27d ago	Fit
Caribbean Sunset	14d ago	Fit
Rain Cap	7d ago	Quick return
Culcor	10d ago	Quick return
Sezaam	11d ago	Quick return
Hoots Toots	29d ago	Fit
Cassy O	29d ago	Fit
Floral Splendour	62d ago	Fresh
Cawthornes Gem	100d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Rain Cap	Prominent
Gentle Ellen	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 17 runners classified.

Going: Heavy

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