Vickers.Bet Weekly Free Bet Club Handicap Hurdle

Hereford

4:40

Date 2023-10-24

Distance 2m53y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Gerard Mentor b Kai Lenihan(7) · Kim Bailey	Kai Lenihan(7) · Kim Bailey	166	tv	06F852	103	109	87	12d	—	—	+7	22.2	9/2 18%
Returned to form with clear second at Exeter 12 day ago; still on good mark after 4lb rise
5	East End Girl b Jonathan Burke · Alastair Ralph	Jonathan Burke · Alastair Ralph	160	—	5023-4	97	111	75	12d	—	—	+1	16.2	9/2 18%
Ran well at Worcester 12 days ago and has a big role to play here
1	Stonific b Robert Dunne · Gary Hanmer	Robert Dunne · Gary Hanmer	168	tp	7-8723	105	112	79	13d	—	—	+4	17.8	11/2 15%
Not as good as he was but placed twice this month and ought to be on the premises again
11	Ez Tiger b Harry Bannister · Alex Hales	Harry Bannister · Alex Hales	150	t	6-2412	87	107	85	47d	—	—	0	12.9	13/2 13%
Opened account at Southwell in summer and ran big race in defeat there last month
7	Noble Savage b Jordan Nailor · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Jordan Nailor · Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	6275-5	93	108	84	153d	—	—	+3	13.8	13/2 13%
First past the post off this mark in March but not seen since heavy defeat in May
NR	Ito Ditto b James Bowen · Nicky Martin	James Bowen · Nicky Martin	161	—	70630-	98	111	98	215d	—	—	+8	16.6	17/2 11%
Struggled in soft-ground handicap in March but can still build upon novice promise
6	Turpin Gold b William Maggs(7) · Robert Stephens	William Maggs(7) · Robert Stephens	156	—	4285F8	93	111	97	12d	—	—	+5	13	10/1 9%
Didn't run badly when eighth at Exeter recently and has slipped to a good mark
13	Starlight Glance b Alice Stevens(7) · Henry Daly	Alice Stevens(7) · Henry Daly	142	—	5/002-	79	107	47	232d	—	—	+2	9.2	14 7%
Remote when second in Southwell novice in March but open to improvement in handicaps
10	Night Bear ch Jamie Moore · Tony Carroll	Jamie Moore · Tony Carroll	150	—	0/5/8	87	105	52	35d	—	—	+5	11	14/1 7%
Well beaten in three novice hurdles but his Flat ability offers some hope
12	Lady Valentine b Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	149	v	7629-P	87	107	95	12d	—	—	+5	10.9	16/1 6%
Second in C&D maiden in February but weakened tamely in both subsequent handicaps
3	Jack The Savage b Alex Edwards · Laura Horsfall	Alex Edwards · Laura Horsfall	166	—	3354-U	103	103	66	63d	—	—	+11	14.2	25 4%
Held before unseating rider on handicap debut in August; needs to learn to settle
8	Swift Tuttle ch Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	153	ht	79-P16	91	106	52	25d	—	—	+7	11.6	28 4%
Prevailed in messy finish to cause 33-1 surprise last month; safely held since
9	Gday Aussie b TBC · Dave Roberts	· Dave Roberts	152	t	57/717	89	104	86	24d	—	—	+7	11	33 3%
Won off much-reduced mark in July but latest run was underwhelming; hard to predict

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gerard Mentor	9/2	5	5	4	9/2
East End Girl	5	9/2	5	5	5
Stonific	11/2	9/2	5	5	5
Ez Tiger	5	6	13/2	11/2	11/2
Noble Savage	7	13/2	13/2	7	7
Ito Ditto	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Turpin Gold	10	9	9	10	10/1
Starlight Glance	10	14	12	10	12/1
Night Bear	11	12	14	12	14/1
Lady Valentine	12	16	16	16	16/1
Jack The Savage	25	25	22	22	22
Swift Tuttle	25	28	22	14	25
Gday Aussie	33	16	16/1	16	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gerard Mentor

22.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Stonific

17.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Ito Ditto

16.6

OR: 12 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

East End Girl

16.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Jack The Savage

14.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Noble Savage

13.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Turpin Gold

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Ez Tiger

12.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Swift Tuttle

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Night Bear

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Gday Aussie

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Lady Valentine

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Starlight Glance

9.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stonific Top Rated	105	112	79
Gerard Mentor	103	109	87
Jack The Savage	103	103	66
Ito Ditto	98	111	98
East End Girl	97	111	75
Noble Savage	93	108	84
Turpin Gold	93	111	97
Swift Tuttle	91	106	52
Gday Aussie	89	104	86
Ez Tiger	87	107	85
Night Bear	87	105	52
Lady Valentine	87	107	95
Starlight Glance	79	107	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gerard Mentor	12d ago	Quick return
East End Girl	12d ago	Quick return
Stonific	13d ago	Quick return
Ez Tiger	47d ago	Fresh
Noble Savage	153d ago	Long break
Ito Ditto	215d ago	Long break
Turpin Gold	12d ago	Quick return
Starlight Glance	232d ago	Long break
Night Bear	35d ago	Fit
Lady Valentine	12d ago	Quick return
Jack The Savage	63d ago	Fresh
Swift Tuttle	25d ago	Fit
Gday Aussie	24d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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