Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle (Div II)

Cork

12:20

Date 2023-11-05

Distance 2m

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize €7,080

Runners 21

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Jigoro b Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	5/2 29%
Promising 2nd on sole Flat start in France in March (1m4f); respected on hurdling debut
2	Flamborough ch Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney	Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney	161	—	26-634	119	129	108	—	—	—	-5	27.3	13/8 38%
Fourth in the Lartigue Hurdle at Listowel; 3rd in the Naas November H'cap since; go close
13	Winning Smut b Philip Byrnes(5) · Michael Hourigan	Philip Byrnes(5) · Michael Hourigan	161	—	7-8362	113	118	71	35d	—	—	+3	21	4 25%
Was 2nd to a useful sort in a Killarney novice over 2m7f last time; should be involved
NR	Rosalys b TBC · Henry De Bromhead	· Henry De Bromhead	154	t	1-4	-	116	89	50d	—	—	-13	15.8	9/2 18%
UK bumper winner ran well on hurdling debut at Navan; can improve from that and go closer
5	Jasmin De Cotte br Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	161	—	2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	8.3	13/2 13%
Sold for 160,000GBP in April after 2nd in a Monksgrange point' in March; run respectably
NR	Diamond Dollar br TBC · C Byrnes	· C Byrnes	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5.1	14 7%
A 10,500Euros foal; by a quality sire and worth a market check if getting a run; reserve
18	Time For Tea b Rachael Blackmore(3) · Henry De Bromhead	Rachael Blackmore(3) · Henry De Bromhead	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	16 6%
Cost 38,000Euros as a 3yo; is by a useful sire but seems top yard's second-string
1	Fenway Park b Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	161	—	7-	-	-	-	205d	—	—	-4	1.6	18/1 5%
Things didn't go as smoothly as planned on bumper debut; is likely capable of better
16	A Great Buzz b Phillip Enright · Robert Tyner	Phillip Enright · Robert Tyner	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	22 5%
By the legendary Galileo but has a NH damline; worth a market check
12	Tippin And Tappin br Shane Fitzgerald · E Bolger	Shane Fitzgerald · E Bolger	161	—	P-85	-	102	75	15d	—	—	-3	1.1	22 5%
Similar efforts in two maiden hurdles and will have to find significant improvement
NR	Aboy Joey b/br TBC · Eoin Christopher McCarthy	· Eoin Christopher McCarthy	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	50 2%
By a useful sire but unsold for 4,800Euros as a 3yo; best watched if getting in; reserve
9	Kilbrin Rocco b A P Heskin · Michael Winters	A P Heskin · Michael Winters	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	25 4%
Useful pedigree but probably best watched unless market support
3	Georgian Quarter b Mark Walsh · John E & Thomas Kiely	Mark Walsh · John E & Thomas Kiely	161	—	65-0	-	53	39	26d	—	—	-1	0.5	50 2%
Mild promise in points' but well beaten on hurdling debut at Punchestown; best watched
14	Without Exception b P J O'Hanlon(3) · P J Rothwell	P J O'Hanlon(3) · P J Rothwell	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	50 2%
Cost 6,500Euros as a 3yo; likely best watched today for future reference
10	Meidhreach b Michael O'Sullivan · N Stokes	Michael O'Sullivan · N Stokes	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	50 2%
Flat-bred made 33,000Euros as a foal and 40,000Gns as a yearling; best watched
8	Jouster b Alix Balfe(7) · Gavin Cromwell	Alix Balfe(7) · Gavin Cromwell	161	—	447-06	-	87	40	8d	—	—	-1	0.4	150 1%
Some promise on second hurdle start at Galway but likely to find plenty stronger today
11	The Dawn br Donagh Meyler · W J Burke	Donagh Meyler · W J Burke	161	—	PF5-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	50 2%
Just modest promise in three point-to-points and best watched today
6	Jay Pee M b Daniel King(3) · Daniel William O'Sullivan	Daniel King(3) · Daniel William O'Sullivan	161	—	6-0	-	-	-	175d	—	—	-1	0.3	100 1%
A hint of promise in two bumpers but not enough to warrant support
4	Golden Reel ch Philip Donovan(5) · C W J Farrell	Philip Donovan(5) · C W J Farrell	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	80 1%
Not beaten too far in a trio of Flat maidens; could run respectably
R19	Glen Kiln b Brian Hayes · David Harry Kelly	Brian Hayes · David Harry Kelly	161	—	70	-	-	-	89d	—	—	-1	0.2	150 1%
Well beaten in two bumpers and is best watched on hurdling debut for a new yard; reserve
15	Youmli b Conor Owens(7) · P J Rothwell	Conor Owens(7) · P J Rothwell	161	—	00	-	68	33	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	500 0%
Never involved in two maiden hurdles and best wait for handicaps

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jigoro	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Flamborough	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8
Winning Smut	4	4	4	4	4
Rosalys	5	4	SP	9/2	SP
Jasmin De Cotte	11/2	6	13/2	11/2	6/1
Diamond Dollar	SP	12	12	12	14
Time For Tea	16	16	16	16	16
Fenway Park	18	18/1	16	16	18
A Great Buzz	22	22	22	22	22
Tippin And Tappin	22	20	20	18	20/1
Aboy Joey	50	33	33	33	33
Kilbrin Rocco	25	20	20	18	20/1
Georgian Quarter	50	40	40	40	40/1
Without Exception	50	50	50	50	50
Meidhreach	50	50	50	50	50
Jouster	150	80	66	80	80
The Dawn	50	40	40	40	40
Jay Pee M	100	80	80	80	80
Golden Reel	80	66	66	66	66
Glen Kiln	150	125	125	125	125
Youmli	500	150	150	150	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flamborough

27.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Winning Smut

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

3rd

Rosalys

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 8.8

9/2

Jasmin De Cotte

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Jigoro

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Diamond Dollar

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

Time For Tea

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Fenway Park

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Aboy Joey

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Kilbrin Rocco

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

A Great Buzz

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Tippin And Tappin

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Georgian Quarter

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Without Exception

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Meidhreach

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

The Dawn

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Jouster

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Jay Pee M

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Golden Reel

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

Glen Kiln

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Youmli

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flamborough Top Rated	119	129	108
Winning Smut	113	118	71
Jigoro	—	—	—
Rosalys	—	116	89
Jasmin De Cotte	—	—	—
Diamond Dollar	—	—	—
Time For Tea	—	—	—
Fenway Park	—	—	—
A Great Buzz	—	—	—
Tippin And Tappin	—	102	75
Aboy Joey	—	—	—
Kilbrin Rocco	—	—	—
Georgian Quarter	—	53	39
Without Exception	—	—	—
Meidhreach	—	—	—
Jouster	—	87	40
The Dawn	—	—	—
Jay Pee M	—	—	—
Golden Reel	—	—	—
Glen Kiln	—	—	—
Youmli	—	68	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jigoro	—	—
Flamborough	—	—
Winning Smut	35d ago	Fit
Rosalys	50d ago	Fresh
Jasmin De Cotte	—	—
Diamond Dollar	—	—
Time For Tea	—	—
Fenway Park	205d ago	Long break
A Great Buzz	—	—
Tippin And Tappin	15d ago	Fit
Aboy Joey	—	—
Kilbrin Rocco	—	—
Georgian Quarter	26d ago	Fit
Without Exception	—	—
Meidhreach	—	—
Jouster	8d ago	Quick return
The Dawn	—	—
Jay Pee M	175d ago	Long break
Golden Reel	—	—
Glen Kiln	89d ago	Fresh
Youmli	15d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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