Dransfields CIU Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Wetherby

Wetherby

12:09

Dransfields CIU Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-18

Distance 2m3f154y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,174

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Heltenham b Tristan Durrell(5) · Dan Skelton	Tristan Durrell(5) · Dan Skelton	154	t	2111F-	127	126	-	213d	—	—	+8	46.3	5/4 44%
Highly progressive chaser last term; leading claims if transferring ability back to h'dles
13	Jar Du Desert b Charlie Hammond · Nick Kent	Charlie Hammond · Nick Kent	153	h	2324-1	123	123	96	196d	—	—	+11	35.5	11/4 27%
Won 4yo chase in France in May; could have a big say now back over hurdles on stable debut
15	To Chase A Dream ch Mr John Dawson(3) · Paul Collins	Mr John Dawson(3) · Paul Collins	153	—	81-2	-	125	72	30d	—	—	-4	8.6	13/2 13%
Runner-up on hurdle debut at Carlisle and this step up in trip looks a positive move
8	Lunar Chief b Craig Nichol · Ruth Jefferson	Craig Nichol · Ruth Jefferson	154	—	1-4	-	107	-	21d	—	—	+1	9.5	17/2 11%
Bumper winner who kept on for fourth over 2m on hurdle debut; interesting now up in trip
6	Justus ch Brian Hughes · Micky Hammond	Brian Hughes · Micky Hammond	154	p	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	16 6%
Two-time Flat winner; could make a hurdler but a pretty useful standard is required here
3	Gentle Victor b William Shanahan(5) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	William Shanahan(5) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	—	75	-	109	75	23d	—	—	-2	0.9	25 4%
Kept on for 5th over 2m at Ludlow; each-way possible if improving for this step up in trip
7	Le Jeune Bresil b Sean Quinlan · Brian Ellison	Sean Quinlan · Brian Ellison	154	—	F1-F	-	-	-	14d	—	—	-2	0.8	28 4%
Didn't shine over C&D on recent rules debut but this Irish point winner retains potential
2	Fat Harry b Ross Chapman · Sue Smith	Ross Chapman · Sue Smith	154	—	56	-	106	39	30d	—	—	-2	0.7	40 3%
Displayed some ability when sixth at Carlisle but he needs another big step forward here
5	Hemicycle b Tom Midgley(3) · Brian Ellison	Tom Midgley(3) · Brian Ellison	154	—	5264-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	+3	5.7	33 3%
Former pointer; should have a future under rules but others are more compelling today
11	Nearly Wed b Jamie Hamilton · Tim Easterby	Jamie Hamilton · Tim Easterby	154	—	P27/2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+3	5.6	40 3%
Runner-up in two of his four points but absent since April 2022 and may be best watched
9	Magical Arthur b Callum Bewley · Philip Kirby	Callum Bewley · Philip Kirby	154	t	95-537	-	100	74	9d	—	—	-1	0.5	80 1%
Fair third over C&D last month but needs more today; down the field at Sedgefield since
12	Gustoso b Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	153	—	46	-	97	71	20d	—	—	-1	0.5	100 1%
Check betting, but well beaten on both starts; needs to be entirely different proposition
1	Exclusive Getaway b Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	h	5U-260	-	84	43	23d	—	—	-1	0.3	100 1%
Second of four in sole bumper but tailed off last month on first two hurdle starts
14	Mademewhatiam b Danny McMenamin · Mark Walford	Danny McMenamin · Mark Walford	153	—	73-7P	-	88	27	30d	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
Hard to fancy based on what he's shown on his two rules starts
10	Mount Falcon b Harry Reed · Tim Reed	Harry Reed · Tim Reed	154	—	3P-0	-	-	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
Third on debut in Irish maiden point but pulled up then tailed off the next twice

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Heltenham	6/5	6/5	5/4	6/5	6/5
Jar Du Desert	3	11/4	5/2	3	5/2
To Chase A Dream	6	11/2	6	6	13/2
Lunar Chief	9	17/2	9	9	9
Justus	16	16	16	16	16
Gentle Victor	25	22	22	22	22
Le Jeune Bresil	28	28	28	28	28
Fat Harry	40	40	40	40	40
Hemicycle	33	33	33	33	33
Nearly Wed	40	40	40	40	40
Magical Arthur	80	66	66	66	66
Gustoso	100	50	50/1	50/1	40
Exclusive Getaway	100	80	80	80	66
Mademewhatiam	50	80/1	80/1	80/1	50
Mount Falcon	200	150	150	200	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Heltenham

46.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Jar Du Desert

35.5

OR: 18.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Lunar Chief

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

To Chase A Dream

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Hemicycle

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Nearly Wed

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Justus

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Gentle Victor

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Le Jeune Bresil

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Fat Harry

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Magical Arthur

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Gustoso

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Mademewhatiam

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Exclusive Getaway

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Mount Falcon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heltenham Top Rated	127	126	—
Jar Du Desert	123	123	96
To Chase A Dream	—	125	72
Lunar Chief	—	107	—
Justus	—	—	—
Gentle Victor	—	109	75
Le Jeune Bresil	—	—	—
Fat Harry	—	106	39
Hemicycle	—	—	—
Nearly Wed	—	—	—
Magical Arthur	—	100	74
Gustoso	—	97	71
Exclusive Getaway	—	84	43
Mademewhatiam	—	88	27
Mount Falcon	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Heltenham	213d ago	Long break
Jar Du Desert	196d ago	Long break
To Chase A Dream	30d ago	Fit
Lunar Chief	21d ago	Fit
Justus	—	—
Gentle Victor	23d ago	Fit
Le Jeune Bresil	14d ago	Fit
Fat Harry	30d ago	Fit
Hemicycle	—	—
Nearly Wed	—	—
Magical Arthur	9d ago	Quick return
Gustoso	20d ago	Fit
Exclusive Getaway	23d ago	Fit
Mademewhatiam	30d ago	Fit
Mount Falcon	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Soft

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