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Taunton

1:35

Ferne Equine Rehab Centre Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-30
Distance 2m7f3y
Class Class 5
Going Good To Soft
Type Chase
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £6,680
Runners 11

Runners

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
3
Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies 161 — 4-P1P1
93
105
85
 33d — — -6
18
3/1
25%
2-4 over fences; open to further progress but too inconsistent to rely upon
7
Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham 156 tp 6224-2
88
107
92
 23d — — +4
18.9
5/1
17%
Runner-up in three of his four chases; major player if this step up in trip suits
2
Alice Stevens(5) · Henry Daly 168 — P3-231
100
103
88
 24d — — +3
16.5
11/2
15%
Came good over fences at Ludlow (2m4f) this month; tries a new trip today; respected
8
Jonathan Burke · Alastair Ralph 151 p 033-22
83
104
89
 39d — — -2
12.3
11/2
15%
Placed in all four chases but will have something to prove if the ground turns soft here
5
Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard 159 p 3-U243
91
105
67
 30d — — +5
15.2
8/1
11%
0-13 over fences but dropped another 2lb since last month's C&D third; enters calculations
9
Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins 143 — 3-4696
75
94
63
 11d — — +3
10.6
10/1
9%
Well handicapped on hurdling form but well beaten in two chases this autumn
1
Sean Houlihan · David Pipe 168 t 745P-P
100
-
-
 235d — — +8
14.2
14/1
7%
Pulled up in both handicap hurdles but could still have a good future over fences
4
Harry Kimber(3) · Keiran Burke 159 — /U-77P
91
-
-
 21d — — +5
12.4
11/1
8%
Showed nothing more than glimmers of promise over hurdles; chase/handicap debut today
11
David Noonan · Richenda Ford 142 tv V46P67
74
98
72
 12d — — +3
7
28/1
3%
Hurdle winner in Ireland in November 2021 but very disappointing for this stable since
NR
Connor Brace · Robbie Llewellyn 156 t 0314-P
88
-
-
 44d — — —
9.5
—
Selling hurdle winner; lacked fluency and was very disappointing on chasing debut
NR
Adam Wedge · Martin Keighley 142 p 9045-P
74
100
77
 32d — — —
6
—
Pulled up on seasonal debut and now 0-11 under all codes; improvement required
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Safe Destination
 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 11/4
Hard Frost
 9/2 9/2 4/1 5/1 9/2
Miltiades
 5/1 11/2 5/1 5/1 9/2
Ballinoulart
 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 5/1
Furkash
 8/1 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2
Barrowmount
 10/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 9/1
Moodofthemoment
 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
He'llstopatthetop
 9/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 10/1
Noah's Light
 28/1 25/1 28/1 25/1 22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Hard Frost
18.9
OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4
5/1
2nd Safe Destination
18
OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3
3/1
3rd Miltiades
16.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4
11/2
4 Furkash
15.2
OR: 10.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9
8/1
5 Moodofthemoment
14.2
OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14/1
6 He'llstopatthetop
12.4
OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
11/1
7 Ballinoulart
12.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4
11/2
8 Barrowmount
10.6
OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2
10/1
9 Hokelami
9.5
OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—
10 Noah's Light
7
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28/1
11 Rolling Clouds
6
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Miltiades Top Rated
100
103
88
Moodofthemoment
100
 — —
Safe Destination
93
105
85
Furkash
91
105
67
He'llstopatthetop
91
 — —
Hard Frost
88
107
92
Hokelami
88
 — —
Ballinoulart
83
104
89
Barrowmount
75
94
63
Noah's Light
74
98
72
Rolling Clouds
74
100
77

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Safe Destination 33d ago Fit
Hard Frost 23d ago Fit
Miltiades 24d ago Fit
Ballinoulart 39d ago Fit
Furkash 30d ago Fit
Barrowmount 11d ago Quick return
Moodofthemoment 235d ago Long break
He'llstopatthetop 21d ago Fit
Noah's Light 12d ago Quick return
Hokelami 44d ago Fit
Rolling Clouds 32d ago Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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