Luke Sergeant Christmas 2023 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Taunton

1:00

Date 2023-12-30

Distance 2m3f1y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,955

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Centara br Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	154	—	1P-4	-	115	70	29d	—	—	-30	15	10/11 52%
Fourth at Newbury on return; some quirks need ironing out but he has ability
4	Long Draw br Fergus Gregory · Olly Murphy	Fergus Gregory · Olly Murphy	154	—	F2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	9	9/2 18%
Bought for £60,000 after finishing second in a decent-looking Irish point in March
9	Perfect Nelson b Rex Dingle · Jeremy Scott	Rex Dingle · Jeremy Scott	154	—	5-226F	-	101	49	33d	—	—	-8	3.3	6/1 14%
Was on the retreat when falling at Kempton; others have achieved more
11	Thunder N Lightnin b Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham	Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham	154	t	32/6	-	116	73	47d	—	—	-8	3.1	15/2 12%
Placed in both points and should improve on his 20l defeat at Kempton
14	Nila b Gearoid Harney(7) · David Pipe	Gearoid Harney(7) · David Pipe	147	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	22/1 4%
Won fourth race on the Flat, coming well clear in a 1m6f Saint-Cloud claimer in June 2022
5	Mersey Street b James Smith(7) · Jonjo O'Neill	James Smith(7) · Jonjo O'Neill	154	—	/34-5U	-	102	73	14d	—	—	-3	1.1	22/1 4%
Flashes of promise but a suspicion that handicaps will see him in the best light
3	Guivinec b Jonathan Burke · Anthony Honeyball	Jonathan Burke · Anthony Honeyball	154	—	31-06	-	53	-	36d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
Point winner but it's been a very underwhelming start under rules
8	Owl Of Athens b Conor Ring(3) · Evan Williams	Conor Ring(3) · Evan Williams	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
27,000euros 3yo; fourth foal; half-brother to 2m6f hurdle winner Townhill Penny
6	Native Moon ch Alan Johns · Victor Dartnall	Alan Johns · Victor Dartnall	154	—	67	-	91	55	36d	—	—	-2	0.7	50/1 2%
Beat one home in a Ffos Las bumper and the same again in a Chepstow maiden
10	Super Sabre Sam b Brendan Powell · Neil Mulholland	Brendan Powell · Neil Mulholland	154	—	6	-	-	-	48d	—	—	-3	1	28/1 3%
25-1 when sixth of seven runners in a soft-ground bumper at Sandown
1	Bingo Little b Beau Morgan(5) · Ben Pauling	Beau Morgan(5) · Ben Pauling	154	—	6-0P	-	-	29	33d	—	—	-2	0.6	80/1 1%
Shown no benefit for wind surgery with his struggles continuing over hurdles
7	Outside Adesa b Sean Houlihan · Mitchell Hunt	Sean Houlihan · Mitchell Hunt	154	—	22-P6	-	104	58	44d	—	—	-2	0.6	66/1 1%
Ran okay from front here last month until weakening after a late mistake (not his first)
13	Miss Popalong b Micheal Nolan · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	Micheal Nolan · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	147	—	—	-	-	-	33d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
80-1 when completely tailed off in a Ludlow bumper a month ago
12	Dora's Addrezz ch Shane Quinlan(3) · Katy Price	Shane Quinlan(3) · Katy Price	147	t	7	-	-	-	227d	—	—	-1	0.2	125/1 1%
Tailed off in a good-ground bumper at Newton Abbot when trained by Brian Barr

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Centara	evn	5/6	10/11	10/11	10/11
Long Draw	7/2	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Perfect Nelson	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2
Thunder N Lightnin	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Nila	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	16/1
Mersey Street	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Guivinec	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Owl Of Athens	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Native Moon	40/1	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Super Sabre Sam	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Bingo Little	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Outside Adesa	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Miss Popalong	100/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Dora's Addrezz	100/1	125/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Centara

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Long Draw

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Perfect Nelson

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Thunder N Lightnin

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Nila

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Mersey Street

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Super Sabre Sam

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Guivinec

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Owl Of Athens

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Native Moon

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Bingo Little

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Outside Adesa

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Miss Popalong

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Dora's Addrezz

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Centara	—	115	70
Long Draw	—	—	—
Perfect Nelson	—	101	49
Thunder N Lightnin	—	116	73
Nila	—	—	—
Mersey Street	—	102	73
Guivinec	—	53	—
Owl Of Athens	—	—	—
Native Moon	—	91	55
Super Sabre Sam	—	—	—
Bingo Little	—	—	29
Outside Adesa	—	104	58
Miss Popalong	—	—	—
Dora's Addrezz	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Centara	29d ago	Fit
Long Draw	—	—
Perfect Nelson	33d ago	Fit
Thunder N Lightnin	47d ago	Fresh
Nila	—	—
Mersey Street	14d ago	Fit
Guivinec	36d ago	Fit
Owl Of Athens	—	—
Native Moon	36d ago	Fit
Super Sabre Sam	48d ago	Fresh
Bingo Little	33d ago	Fit
Outside Adesa	44d ago	Fit
Miss Popalong	33d ago	Fit
Dora's Addrezz	227d ago	Long break

Going: Good To Soft

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