Broughton Hall Estates North Wales National Handicap Chase

Bangor-on-Dee

3:20

Date 2024-02-28

Distance 3m5f142y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £10,630

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Gold Emery gr Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	159	—	522-52	110	125	110	60d	—	—	0	21.2	7/2 22%
Rallied well when beaten a head at Haydock (3m1f, heavy) in December last time
8	Duke Of Deception b Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	158	p	1-3142	109	125	66	64d	—	—	+10	26.8	9/2 18%
This sort of trip is unknown territory and he has a bit more to prove on heavy going
2	Notachance b Tom Cannon · Alan King	Tom Cannon · Alan King	166	p	73-085	117	126	57	38d	—	—	+6	21.2	5/1 17%
Proven at 3m5f in the mud; needs to turn things around but way down the weights
9	Stellar Stream b Ben Godfrey(3) · Kayley Woollacott	Ben Godfrey(3) · Kayley Woollacott	154	p	7-4283	105	123	112	29d	—	—	+3	18.2	5/1 17%
New trip and headgear are given a go after his good third of 13 at Chepstow (3m, heavy)
3	Haute Estime b Derek Fox · Lucinda Russell	Derek Fox · Lucinda Russell	166	t	3-F556	117	124	109	57d	—	—	+11	21.9	17/2 11%
Long distance might suit; also now tongue tied first time, having had wind surgery
5	In Rem b David Noonan · Jane Williams	David Noonan · Jane Williams	164	p	13P-25	115	124	79	69d	—	—	+10	18.8	10/1 9%
Failed to complete in both attempts at marathon trip; looked thorough stayer over shorter
6	Whydah Gally b Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	163	tp	3-1641	114	126	55	15d	—	—	+11	20.8	9/1 10%
Made his breakthrough over fences when upped to 3m5f on soft at Lingfield 15 days ago
1	Mario De Pail gr James Bowen · Peter Bowen	James Bowen · Peter Bowen	168	p	/44P85	119	126	111	27d	—	—	+13	19	14/1 7%
Unraced beyond 3m2f and peak efforts over shorter than that; 0-8 over fences
4	Domaine De L'Isle b Richie McLernon · Sean Curran	Richie McLernon · Sean Curran	166	tb	14-PPP	117	123	-	63d	—	—	+15	17.5	40/1 2%
Pulled up all three runs this term, latest the Welsh National; 3m7f win (soft) last March
NR	Ali Star Bert b TBC · Shaun Harris	· Shaun Harris	151	—	P36121	102	123	102	26d	—	—	—	32.1	—
Two wins and two 2nds from four Southwell chases, where he stays 3m2f and acts on heavy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Gold Emery	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	3/1
Duke Of Deception	4/1	7/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Notachance	9/2	4/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Stellar Stream	9/2	4/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Haute Estime	15/2	8/1	15/2	17/2	15/2
In Rem	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Whydah Gally	9/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Mario De Pail	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Domaine De L'Isle	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ali Star Bert

32.1

OR: 13 Form: 19.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Duke Of Deception

26.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Haute Estime

21.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Gold Emery

21.2

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Notachance

21.2

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Whydah Gally

20.8

OR: 16 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Mario De Pail

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

In Rem

18.8

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Stellar Stream

18.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Domaine De L'Isle

17.5

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mario De Pail Top Rated	119	126	111
Notachance	117	126	57
Haute Estime	117	124	109
Domaine De L'Isle	117	123	—
In Rem	115	124	79
Whydah Gally	114	126	55
Gold Emery	110	125	110
Duke Of Deception	109	125	66
Stellar Stream	105	123	112
Ali Star Bert	102	123	102

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gold Emery	60d ago	Fresh
Duke Of Deception	64d ago	Fresh
Notachance	38d ago	Fit
Stellar Stream	29d ago	Fit
Haute Estime	57d ago	Fresh
In Rem	69d ago	Fresh
Whydah Gally	15d ago	Fit
Mario De Pail	27d ago	Fit
Domaine De L'Isle	63d ago	Fresh
Ali Star Bert	26d ago	Fit

Going: Heavy

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