Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Guide Handicap Hurdle (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)

Ayr

3:00

Date 2024-03-08

Distance 2m4f100y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	Weaver's Answer gr Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	160	p	3-1831	92	103	84	11d	—	—	-2	18.8	7/2 22%
Won by 17l in first-time cheekpieces 11 days ago; 5lb well in under 7lb penalty here
2	Follow Charlie b Ben Smith(10) · R Mike Smith	Ben Smith(10) · R Mike Smith	166	—	094214	98	104	84	22d	—	—	+9	26.7	7/2 22%
C&D winner in January; only fourth off new mark last month but remains of interest
10	Kingston Rock gr Edward Austin(5) · Susan Corbett	Edward Austin(5) · Susan Corbett	152	t	8P4852	84	101	79	18d	—	—	+5	16.5	6/1 14%
Ran quite well in first two handicaps (2m6f/2m1f) and has each-way claims
7	Beat The Retreat b Danny McMenamin · N W Alexander	Danny McMenamin · N W Alexander	160	t	2-4173	92	101	73	19d	—	—	+7	16.7	8/1 11%
Placed at Musselburgh since 2m2f course win in December and not yet fully exposed
11	Lewa House b Charlotte Jones(3) · Catch Bissett	Charlotte Jones(3) · Catch Bissett	148	p	2-3529	80	104	82	24d	—	—	+4	13.7	17/2 11%
Took modest second over C&D in January but never seriously involved over 3m last month
4	One Step Up b Sean Quinlan · Nicky Richards	Sean Quinlan · Nicky Richards	162	—	08-6P6	94	100	79	73d	—	—	+5	13.4	10/1 9%
Made low-key start to handicap career but January's wind op may enable improvement
1	City Derby ch Brian Hughes · Lizzie Quinlan	Brian Hughes · Lizzie Quinlan	168	p	432689	100	104	76	32d	—	—	+10	16.3	16/1 6%
Ran well to a point in stronger race than this last time and is well handicapped now
9	Eden Mill ch Craig Nichol · Donald Whillans	Craig Nichol · Donald Whillans	153	—	P-2150	85	102	87	19d	—	—	+4	10.7	12/1 8%
Won easily at Kelso in November but form has dipped since; now has a point to prove
6	Broomhill Road b Tom Cannon · Alan King	Tom Cannon · Alan King	161	v	2-6637	93	98	48	31d	—	—	+11	15.6	18/1 5%
Has not yet delivered on his bumper promise over hurdles; visored for handicap debut
5	Master Bricklayer b Henry Brooke · N W Alexander	Henry Brooke · N W Alexander	161	—	8-059	93	100	41	54d	—	—	+8	11.7	28/1 3%
Shaped with promise in one of his three qualifying races; up in trip for handicap debut
3	Kilkee Royal b Liam McKenna(5) · Jamie Albert Sloan	Liam McKenna(5) · Jamie Albert Sloan	165	—	3-0099	97	97	65	149d	—	—	+12	14.6	33/1 3%
Never really got involved when 33-1 for handicap debut at Sedgefield in October
13	Vive De Charnie b Alan Doyle(5) · Lucinda Russell	Alan Doyle(5) · Lucinda Russell	144	t	2/9407	76	98	-	24d	—	—	+9	10.5	50/1 2%
Unexposed after only four hurdling starts but was well beaten over C&D on handicap debut
NR	Not In Kansas b TBC · N W Alexander	· N W Alexander	145	t	6PF8-7	77	100	78	296d	—	—	—	6.8	—
Not seen since well beaten on handicap debut at Perth last May

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Weaver's Answer	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	11/4
Follow Charlie	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Kingston Rock	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Beat The Retreat	7/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Lewa House	15/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
One Step Up	10/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
City Derby	16/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Eden Mill	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Broomhill Road	16/1	16/1	18/1	14/1	16/1
Master Bricklayer	25/1	25/1	28/1	22/1	22/1
Kilkee Royal	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Vive De Charnie	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Follow Charlie

26.7

OR: 12 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Weaver's Answer

18.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Beat The Retreat

16.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Kingston Rock

16.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 4.7 Odds: 3.3

6/1

City Derby

16.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Broomhill Road

15.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Kilkee Royal

14.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Lewa House

13.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

One Step Up

13.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Master Bricklayer

11.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Eden Mill

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Vive De Charnie

10.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Not In Kansas

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
City Derby Top Rated	100	104	76
Follow Charlie	98	104	84
Kilkee Royal	97	97	65
One Step Up	94	100	79
Broomhill Road	93	98	48
Master Bricklayer	93	100	41
Weaver's Answer	92	103	84
Beat The Retreat	92	101	73
Eden Mill	85	102	87
Kingston Rock	84	101	79
Lewa House	80	104	82
Not In Kansas	77	100	78
Vive De Charnie	76	98	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Weaver's Answer	11d ago	Quick return
Follow Charlie	22d ago	Fit
Kingston Rock	18d ago	Fit
Beat The Retreat	19d ago	Fit
Lewa House	24d ago	Fit
One Step Up	73d ago	Fresh
City Derby	32d ago	Fit
Eden Mill	19d ago	Fit
Broomhill Road	31d ago	Fit
Master Bricklayer	54d ago	Fresh
Kilkee Royal	149d ago	Long break
Vive De Charnie	24d ago	Fit
Not In Kansas	296d ago	Long break

Going: Good To Soft

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