Emily Mellett 21st Birthday Handicap Chase – Plumpton

Plumpton

3:15

Emily Mellett 21st Birthday Handicap Chase

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 2m3f164y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £5,809

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Small Bad Bob b Rex Dingle · Chris Gordon	Rex Dingle · Chris Gordon	164	—	22176-	106	111	95	42d	—	—	+9	26.7	10/3 23%
Won this in 2023; drops in grade after contesting two competitive hurdle races
1	Toothless b Freddie Gingell(3) · Paul Nicholls	Freddie Gingell(3) · Paul Nicholls	168	tp	5P222-	110	121	107	28d	—	—	+13	30.6	7/2 22%
Runner-up in three small-field chases since headgear was added; today's ground will suit
5	Aviles b Caoilin Quinn(3) · Gary & Josh Moore	Caoilin Quinn(3) · Gary & Josh Moore	162	tb	2P352-	104	116	96	30d	—	—	+11	24.6	9/2 18%
Has a mixed record last season but ran well in new headgear a month ago
3	Magistrato b Chris Ward(3) · Deborah Cole	Chris Ward(3) · Deborah Cole	165	t	26522-	107	121	106	28d	—	—	+15	27.1	11/2 15%
Has his quirks but ran pretty well when second over C&D last month, after a break
6	Eyed b Brendan Powell · Paul Webber	Brendan Powell · Paul Webber	160	t	84624-	102	118	93	17d	—	—	+8	19.8	11/2 15%
0-5 over fences but was clear second two starts ago and enters calculations
2	Just One Surf b James Bowen · Warren Greatrex	James Bowen · Warren Greatrex	167	t	35P10-	109	-	-	15d	—	—	+14	24.5	13/2 13%
Improved to win maiden hurdle in March and could easily have more to offer over fences
7	Fairway Freddy b Marc Goldstein · Nick Gifford	Marc Goldstein · Nick Gifford	159	—	263P4-	101	118	106	42d	—	—	+11	15.3	18/1 5%
Suited by this C&D but has regressed; younger rivals appeal much more
8	Beaufort West b Philip Armson(3) · Andy Irvine	Philip Armson(3) · Andy Irvine	142	p	564P8-	84	-	-	28d	—	—	+7	9.1	33/1 3%
Well beaten over hurdles here last month and 7lb wrong for this return to chasing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Small Bad Bob	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Toothless	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Aviles	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Magistrato	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Eyed	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Just One Surf	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Fairway Freddy	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Beaufort West	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Toothless

30.6

OR: 15 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Magistrato

27.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Small Bad Bob

26.7

OR: 14 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Aviles

24.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

9/2

Just One Surf

24.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 6.9 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Eyed

19.8

OR: 13 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Fairway Freddy

15.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Beaufort West

9.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Toothless Top Rated	110	121	107
Just One Surf	109	—	—
Magistrato	107	121	106
Small Bad Bob	106	111	95
Aviles	104	116	96
Eyed	102	118	93
Fairway Freddy	101	118	106
Beaufort West	84	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Small Bad Bob	42d ago	Fit
Toothless	28d ago	Fit
Aviles	30d ago	Fit
Magistrato	28d ago	Fit
Eyed	17d ago	Fit
Just One Surf	15d ago	Fit
Fairway Freddy	42d ago	Fit
Beaufort West	28d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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