Skopes Menswear Metrocentre Store Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:55

Skopes Menswear Metrocentre Store Handicap

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (13)	Elegant Erin b Daniel Tudhope · Paul Midgley	Daniel Tudhope · Paul Midgley	137	—	854632	77	92	68	28d	—	—	+4	17.9	5/1 17%
Running into form lately and is suited by a stiff track; respected
5 (12)	Nelson Gay b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	132	b	3-4773	72	91	80	18d	—	—	-2	11.2	6/1 14%
3lb lower than when winning over C&D last summer; on a favourable mark
11 (1)	Rory ch Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	126	—	183823	66	88	81	6d	—	—	+2	15	11/2 15%
Needs a strong pace to aim at but needs everything to fall right even if he does get it
4 (14)	Paddy's Day b Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	134	—	4-2627	74	89	77	22d	—	—	-2	9.3	7/1 13%
Still 4lb higher than when winning over C&D last November and a bit more is required
3 (5)	Never Dark b Billy Loughnane · Iain Jardine	Billy Loughnane · Iain Jardine	135	—	7-0043	75	89	68	1d	—	—	-2	9.6	13/2 13%
7lb below last winning mark; returned to some form lately, third at Hamilton yesterday
14 (7)	Phoenix Star b Silvestre De Sousa · Jessica Macey	Silvestre De Sousa · Jessica Macey	121	p	183326	61	88	60	14d	—	—	+1	11.5	17/2 11%
Has won five times here, the latest from just 1lb lower; can't be dismissed
2 (4)	Castan ch Dougie Costello · Bryan Smart	Dougie Costello · Bryan Smart	136	—	-51997	76	90	57	20d	—	—	+5	11.1	14/1 7%
Dual C&D winner and back off the same mark as for the latest; high on list
7 (9)	Thornaby Pearl b Paddy Mathers · Adrian Nicholls	Paddy Mathers · Adrian Nicholls	130	—	-14755	70	89	-	21d	—	—	+3	8.4	14/1 7%
Usually seen over further; 0-4 on the AW and not sure this is his ideal scenario
6 (2)	Our Absent Friends ch Phil Dennis · Tristan Davidson	Phil Dennis · Tristan Davidson	132	—	1-9060	72	84	70	69d	—	—	+9	13.9	22/1 4%
Dual C&D winner now 4lb lower than when last successful, but efforts this year modest
10 (10)	Newyorkstateofmind b James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	127	—	-18051	67	90	62	16d	—	—	+13	17.3	22/1 4%
Won at Hamilton last time, but his three previous wins have been followed by poor efforts
8 (11)	Sugar Hill Babe b Ethan Jones(5) · Lisa Williamson	Ethan Jones(5) · Lisa Williamson	128	—	6-1275	68	84	78	82d	—	—	+2	5.6	25/1 4%
Record over C&D reads 2212, but still 8lb above her last winning mark
12 (8)	Buraback b Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	126	p	311054	66	85	76	8d	—	—	+6	10	25/1 4%
Won four times in the spring; not disgraced the last twice, but needs a bit more
13 (3)	Lady Celia b Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	126	—	4169-1	66	87	71	29d	—	—	+12	14.9	28/1 3%
3lb higher than for her successful Carlisle return and has won twice here; respected
9 (6)	Borough b Mohammed Tabti(5) · Iain Jardine	Mohammed Tabti(5) · Iain Jardine	127	—	2007-9	67	88	-	16d	—	—	+3	4.8	33/1 3%
2lb below last winning mark and has run well here, but he failed to beat a rival on return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Elegant Erin	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Nelson Gay	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Rory	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Paddy's Day	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1	13/2
Never Dark	13/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
Phoenix Star	17/2	8/1	7/1	13/2	17/2
Castan	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Thornaby Pearl	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Our Absent Friends	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Newyorkstateofmind	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Sugar Hill Babe	25/1	25/1	22/1	18/1	25/1
Buraback	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
Lady Celia	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	28/1
Borough	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Elegant Erin

17.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Newyorkstateofmind

17.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.1

22/1

3rd

Rory

OR: 4 Form: 7.4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Lady Celia

14.9

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Our Absent Friends

13.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Phoenix Star

11.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Nelson Gay

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Castan

11.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Buraback

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1

25/1

Never Dark

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Paddy's Day

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Thornaby Pearl

8.4

OR: 5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Sugar Hill Babe

5.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Borough

4.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Elegant Erin Top Rated	77	92	68
Castan	76	90	57
Never Dark	75	89	68
Paddy's Day	74	89	77
Nelson Gay	72	91	80
Our Absent Friends	72	84	70
Thornaby Pearl	70	89	—
Sugar Hill Babe	68	84	78
Newyorkstateofmind	67	90	62
Borough	67	88	—
Rory	66	88	81
Buraback	66	85	76
Lady Celia	66	87	71
Phoenix Star	61	88	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Elegant Erin	28d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	18d ago	Fit
Rory	6d ago	Quick return
Paddy's Day	22d ago	Fit
Never Dark	1d ago	Quick return
Phoenix Star	14d ago	Fit
Castan	20d ago	Fit
Thornaby Pearl	21d ago	Fit
Our Absent Friends	69d ago	Fresh
Newyorkstateofmind	16d ago	Fit
Sugar Hill Babe	82d ago	Fresh
Buraback	8d ago	Quick return
Lady Celia	29d ago	Fit
Borough	16d ago	Fit

Going: Standard To Slow

Loading going stats…

Previous Meetings

Loading…