John Smith's Nursery Handicap – York

York

4:15

John Smith's Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-07-13

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,468

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (3)	Alashos b P J McDonald · James Horton	P J McDonald · James Horton	132	—	021	75	86	79	11d	—	—	+5	25.9	7/2 22%
Won Brighton maiden last Tuesday; has a progressive profile; could play a leading role
10 (6)	Atomic Mass br Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	124	—	575	67	86	75	16d	—	—	-8	9.3	4/1 20%
Somewhat underwhelming the last twice but good case can be made on C&D debut fifth
2 (9)	Call Me Harswell b/br Daniel Tudhope · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Daniel Tudhope · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	132	—	3105	75	81	63	35d	—	—	+6	14.7	9/1 10%
Some good form over 5f at Beverley but stamina to prove now upped to 6f
12 (2)	Mrbluesky b Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	122	—	537	65	81	74	14d	—	—	-1	8.5	9/1 10%
Third in Rous seller over C&D on second start but strength of that form is questionable
9 (1)	Sir Palamedes ch Harry Davies · Charlie Fellowes	Harry Davies · Charlie Fellowes	126	—	445	69	75	48	23d	—	—	-1	6.9	10/1 9%
Not obviously well treated for nursery debut, but there's potential in his pedigree
5 (4)	Tuscan Point b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	129	p	558	72	76	69	28d	—	—	+1	7.2	14/1 7%
Underwhelming here last time but promise here before; could be a player; cheekpieces go on
7 (7)	Oakley Boy b Connor Planas(3) · Stuart Williams	Connor Planas(3) · Stuart Williams	128	—	816	71	85	44	17d	—	—	+8	13.9	16/1 6%
Won at Chelmsford (AW) last month but soundly beaten on turf either side of that
6 (12)	Eighteen Fourteen b Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	128	—	301	71	87	78	21d	—	—	+12	18.7	14/1 7%
Won at Redcar last time and trainer had a nursery winner on Wednesday; one to consider
11 (5)	East Tyrone b Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	124	—	264	67	85	68	45d	—	—	+3	8.4	14/1 7%
Second of four on debut in May; two lesser runs have followed but he remains of interest
14 (10)	Perfidia b James Sullivan · Tim Easterby	James Sullivan · Tim Easterby	119	—	763	62	81	58	16d	—	—	+2	7.6	18/1 5%
Has improved with each of his three runs and could continue to progress; not discounted
3 (11)	Triple Charged b Sam James · K R Burke	Sam James · K R Burke	132	—	437	75	78	57	24d	—	—	+5	9.7	22/1 4%
Mixed form across first 3 starts but not ruled out for top northern yard on nursery debut
8 (14)	Death Or Glory b Harry Russell · Richard Fahey	Harry Russell · Richard Fahey	127	—	247	70	86	58	14d	—	—	+5	8.6	22/1 4%
Encouraging second on debut; yet to be build on it but could be on handy opening mark
13 (13)	Go On Rosie b Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	120	—	3365	63	80	68	21d	—	—	+3	6.7	28/1 3%
Has hinted over 5f that 6f will suit & she's a possible contender; unproven on slow ground
NR (8)	The Flying Seagull b Paul Mulrennan · Hugo Palmer	Paul Mulrennan · Hugo Palmer	137	—	36216	80	84	74	1d	—	—	—	17.6	—
Made all in Chester maiden but below form in a novice on good to soft there yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Alashos	11/4	10/3	3/1	7/2	10/3
Atomic Mass	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1	4/1
Call Me Harswell	17/2	8/1	17/2	9/1	17/2
Mrbluesky	17/2	8/1	9/1	8/1	17/2
Sir Palamedes	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Tuscan Point	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Oakley Boy	14/1	16/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Eighteen Fourteen	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
East Tyrone	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Perfidia	18/1	18/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Triple Charged	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Death Or Glory	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Go On Rosie	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alashos

25.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Eighteen Fourteen

18.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

3rd

The Flying Seagull

17.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 0

—

Call Me Harswell

14.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Oakley Boy

13.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Triple Charged

9.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Atomic Mass

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Death Or Glory

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Mrbluesky

8.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

East Tyrone

8.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Perfidia

7.6

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Tuscan Point

7.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Sir Palamedes

6.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Go On Rosie

6.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Flying Seagull Top Rated	80	84	74
Alashos	75	86	79
Call Me Harswell	75	81	63
Triple Charged	75	78	57
Tuscan Point	72	76	69
Oakley Boy	71	85	44
Eighteen Fourteen	71	87	78
Death Or Glory	70	86	58
Sir Palamedes	69	75	48
Atomic Mass	67	86	75
East Tyrone	67	85	68
Mrbluesky	65	81	74
Go On Rosie	63	80	68
Perfidia	62	81	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alashos	11d ago	Quick return
Atomic Mass	16d ago	Fit
Call Me Harswell	35d ago	Fit
Mrbluesky	14d ago	Fit
Sir Palamedes	23d ago	Fit
Tuscan Point	28d ago	Fit
Oakley Boy	17d ago	Fit
Eighteen Fourteen	21d ago	Fit
East Tyrone	45d ago	Fit
Perfidia	16d ago	Fit
Triple Charged	24d ago	Fit
Death Or Glory	14d ago	Fit
Go On Rosie	21d ago	Fit
The Flying Seagull	1d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Soft

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