John Guest Racing Brown Jack Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

2:25

John Guest Racing Brown Jack Handicap

Date 2024-07-26

Distance 1m7f209y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (6)	Tactician gr Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	123	—	5512	86	93	84	13d	—	—	-10	36.4	10/11 52%
Neck 2nd over 1m6f here latest; an appealing candidate for 2m and further improvement
8 (4)	Attila The Honey gr Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	124	—	311641	87	95	76	7d	—	—	+12	29.3	9/2 18%
Comfortably took 11-runner race from the front at Newbury (1m5f) last Friday; 6lb penalty
1 (8)	True Legend b Shane Kelly · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Shane Kelly · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	144	—	25-225	92	94	66	27d	—	—	-2	15.7	7/2 22%
Ran on from out the back when fifth of 20 in Northumberland Plate at Newcastle (2m, AW)
6 (9)	Zoran b Tom Marquand · Emma Lavelle	Tom Marquand · Emma Lavelle	133	t	-55212	81	94	33	33d	—	—	+18	24	14/1 7%
Made all at Kempton and neck 2nd at Ffos Las (good to soft); unraced on firmer than good
3 (5)	Howth b Jason Watson · Michael Appleby	Jason Watson · Michael Appleby	140	h	-54140	88	95	-	27d	—	—	+12	15.5	22/1 4%
Creditable over 2m on Newcastle AW; behind in Northumberland Plate there 3 months later
2 (3)	Global Heat b Hayley Turner · Saeed bin Suroor	Hayley Turner · Saeed bin Suroor	142	p	-95455	90	90	48	22d	—	—	+8	10.9	25/1 4%
Short of his best in 2024 and others are preferred despite his major fall in the weights
4 (1)	Red Flyer ch David Probert · Karen Jewell	David Probert · Karen Jewell	137	—	-12453	85	89	-	107d	—	—	+13	16	33/1 3%
Back up to 2m on AW this year, winning in January and holding his form well; off 107 days
5 (7)	Wickywickywheels b Tadhg O'Shea · Lucinda Russell	Tadhg O'Shea · Lucinda Russell	136	—	60-965	84	91	67	24d	—	—	+7	9	66/1 1%
On a losing run, during which she's failed to manage a place; beyond 1m6f for first time
7 (2)	Two Auld Pals b Archie Young(5) · Lucinda Russell	Archie Young(5) · Lucinda Russell	127	p	148-15	75	94	62	13d	—	—	+5	6.7	66/1 1%
Disappointing on latest start; may well need a career best and 5lb claimer is called on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tactician	10/11	10/11	5/6	4/5	10/11
Attila The Honey	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2	4/1
True Legend	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Zoran	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Howth	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Global Heat	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Red Flyer	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Wickywickywheels	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Two Auld Pals	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tactician

36.4

OR: 9 Form: 12 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Attila The Honey

29.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 15 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Zoran

OR: 7.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Red Flyer

OR: 8.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

True Legend

15.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Howth

15.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

22/1

Global Heat

10.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Wickywickywheels

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Two Auld Pals

6.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
True Legend Top Rated	92	94	66
Global Heat	90	90	48
Howth	88	95	—
Attila The Honey	87	95	76
Tactician	86	93	84
Red Flyer	85	89	—
Wickywickywheels	84	91	67
Zoran	81	94	33
Two Auld Pals	75	94	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tactician	13d ago	Quick return
Attila The Honey	7d ago	Quick return
True Legend	27d ago	Fit
Zoran	33d ago	Fit
Howth	27d ago	Fit
Global Heat	22d ago	Fit
Red Flyer	107d ago	Long break
Wickywickywheels	24d ago	Fit
Two Auld Pals	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Good

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