Berenberg October Club Supporting Back Up Fillies' Handicap

Ascot

4:45

Date 2024-07-26

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,191

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (6)	Lil Guff b Kieran Shoemark · Daniel & Claire Kubler	Kieran Shoemark · Daniel & Claire Kubler	138	—	503721	83	95	80	1d	—	—	+9	28.4	10/3 23%
Still competitively treated, despite carrying a penalty for Sandown win yesterday
6 (1)	Apeeling ch Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	129	—	52-318	78	89	80	42d	—	—	-5	11.7	9/2 18%
This looks more suitable than latest assignment; the form of her Windsor win has substance
9 (2)	Persian Blue b Tom Marquand · William Haggas	Tom Marquand · William Haggas	123	ht	-45213	72	92	78	6d	—	—	+6	23	4/1 20%
Has form figures of 213 since running in 5f handicaps; may still have more to offer
7 (3)	Boadicia b Kaiya Fraser(5) · Harry Eustace	Kaiya Fraser(5) · Harry Eustace	126	—	5-3316	75	93	84	34d	—	—	-3	9.9	7/1 13%
Sole attempt over 5f resulted in Salisbury success in May; interesting back at this trip
4 (10)	Sarah's Verse b David Probert · Ronald Harris	David Probert · Ronald Harris	130	—	481531	75	93	76	33d	—	—	+14	24	17/2 11%
In-form 7yo; runner-up in this race last year but is now 4lb higher
2 (7)	The Big Board b Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	136	—	-04787	81	95	66	14d	—	—	+2	10	10/1 9%
Won off 11lb higher over C&D last July; far from consistent since
8 (8)	Alcazan b Saffie Osborne · Roger Teal	Saffie Osborne · Roger Teal	124	—	0-3080	69	95	73	22d	—	—	-1	6.9	12/1 8%
Has done all her winning over longer distances; far from solid on 2024 form
1 (4)	Angel Shared b Harry Davies · Steph Hollinshead	Harry Davies · Steph Hollinshead	136	—	31-115	85	92	73	21d	—	—	+4	10.5	16/1 6%
Progressive until coming up short last time when bidding for a four-timer
10 (5)	Horse Whisperer b Silvestre De Sousa · Chris Dwyer	Silvestre De Sousa · Chris Dwyer	120	—	122591	69	92	82	16d	—	—	+14	18.6	20/1 5%
Had very little to spare at Ffos Las this month; now 3lb higher in a better race
NR (9)	Noel Fox b TBC · Ralph Beckett	· Ralph Beckett	130	—	6121	79	96	74	27d	—	—	—	25.8	—
Lingfield success took her record to 2-4; now in a deeper field but may improve further

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lil Guff	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Apeeling	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Persian Blue	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Boadicia	6/1	6/1	11/2	7/1	6/1
Sarah's Verse	8/1	17/2	17/2	7/1	8/1
The Big Board	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Alcazan	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Angel Shared	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Horse Whisperer	18/1	18/1	20/1	16/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lil Guff

28.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 14.4 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Noel Fox

25.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Sarah's Verse

OR: 6.3 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Persian Blue

OR: 5.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Horse Whisperer

18.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Apeeling

11.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Angel Shared

10.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

The Big Board

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Boadicia

9.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Alcazan

6.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Angel Shared Top Rated	85	92	73
Lil Guff	83	95	80
The Big Board	81	95	66
Noel Fox	79	96	74
Apeeling	78	89	80
Boadicia	75	93	84
Sarah's Verse	75	93	76
Persian Blue	72	92	78
Alcazan	69	95	73
Horse Whisperer	69	92	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lil Guff	1d ago	Quick return
Apeeling	42d ago	Fit
Persian Blue	6d ago	Quick return
Boadicia	34d ago	Fit
Sarah's Verse	33d ago	Fit
The Big Board	14d ago	Fit
Alcazan	22d ago	Fit
Angel Shared	21d ago	Fit
Horse Whisperer	16d ago	Fit
Noel Fox	27d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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