Luxury Staycations At Western House Hotel Handicap

Ayr

4:40

Date 2024-08-12

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (5)	Aviemore b Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	136	—	02251	82	85	76	28d	—	—	+6	28.7	10/3 23%
Only had the five races and showed a willing attitude to make all over C&D four weeks ago
2 (3)	Pol Roger b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	142	p	711222	80	84	73	14d	—	—	+8	30.2	11/4 27%
Back-to-back C&D wins in May and has continued to run well; beaten a head last time
1 (4)	Faylaq b Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	142	—	445362	80	86	67	9d	—	—	0	19.7	7/2 22%
Couldn't reel in the front-runner in a small field at Hamilton last week (1m5f)
6 (1)	Toshizou b Billy Loughnane · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Billy Loughnane · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	138	p	583008	76	89	76	31d	—	—	-3	11.4	6/1 14%
His only win was back in 2020 in a Tipperary maiden; has threatened a few times since
4 (10)	Yorkshire Lady gr Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	142	—	/7476-	80	87	71	—	—	—	+1	10.2	10/1 9%
Winning hurdler in February and this five-time Flat winner is on a dangerous mark
8 (9)	John Chard VC b Hollie Doyle · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Hollie Doyle · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	804-00	73	83	45	47d	—	—	+3	6.8	22/1 4%
Good form for Clive Cox but he's been quiet in both his runs for this yard
9 (7)	Bashful b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	133	tp	245976	71	84	57	67d	—	—	+2	6.3	25/1 4%
Hasn't been at his very best in five starts following wind surgery
5 (6)	Stand Strong ch Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	141	—	332/	79	79	-	667d	—	—	+14	16.6	40/1 2%
Ex-Godolphin and showed ability; bought for 8,000gns this March; difficult to assess
10 (8)	Straya ch Sam James · Katie Scott	Sam James · Katie Scott	128	—	-78575	74	77	63	9d	—	—	+5	6.5	66/1 1%
Well held on stable debut over 7f and it remains to be seen whether he wants this far
3 (2)	Cavallo Pazzo b Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	142	—	2190-0	80	82	67	23d	—	—	+6	7.9	80/1 1%
His two Irish wins came on heavy ground; finished last on stable debut at Ripon

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Aviemore	11/4	3/1	11/4	10/3	11/4
Pol Roger	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Faylaq	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Toshizou	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Yorkshire Lady	10/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	17/2
John Chard VC	20/1	20/1	18/1	22/1	20/1
Bashful	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Stand Strong	40/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Straya	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1
Cavallo Pazzo	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pol Roger

30.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 16 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Aviemore

28.7

OR: 8 Form: 14 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Faylaq

19.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Stand Strong

16.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Toshizou

11.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

6/1

Yorkshire Lady

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Cavallo Pazzo

7.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

John Chard VC

6.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Straya

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Bashful

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aviemore Top Rated	82	85	76
Pol Roger	80	84	73
Faylaq	80	86	67
Yorkshire Lady	80	87	71
Cavallo Pazzo	80	82	67
Stand Strong	79	79	—
Toshizou	76	89	76
Straya	74	77	63
John Chard VC	73	83	45
Bashful	71	84	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aviemore	28d ago	Fit
Pol Roger	14d ago	Fit
Faylaq	9d ago	Quick return
Toshizou	31d ago	Fit
Yorkshire Lady	—	—
John Chard VC	47d ago	Fresh
Bashful	67d ago	Fresh
Stand Strong	667d ago	Long break
Straya	9d ago	Quick return
Cavallo Pazzo	23d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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