Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:45

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2024-12-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,956

Winning Time 1m 25.86s (slow by 0.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Royal Zabeel (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	4/1F	Won
2nd	Billyb (FR) Shane Gray · Craig Lidster	9/2	1.75
3rd	Alzahir (FR) George Wood · Jennie Candlish	15/2	.75
4th	So Quiet (GB) Rossa Ryan · Harry Charlton	5/1	.75
5th	Zip (GB) Warren Fentiman · Richard Fahey	16/1	0.05
6th	Master Richard (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Ann Duffield	5/1	3.5
7th	Documenting (GB) Jack Mitchell · Kevin Frost	18/1	1.75
8th	Chalk Mountain (GB) Rob Hornby · Stuart Kittow	7/1	1.25
9th	Admiral D (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	22/1	.5
10th	One More Dream (GB) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	80/1	3.25
11th	How Impressive (IRE) Joe Leavy · Hugo Palmer	20/1	0.1
12th	Zero Carbon (FR) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	33/1	1.5
13th	Three Yorkshiremen (IRE) Hayley Turner · Michael Wigham	125/1	0.05
14th	Diamondonthehill (GB) Richard Kingscote · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	33/1	22

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Royal Zabeel Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	132	—	18-032	85	99	55	21d	—	—	-3	13.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made a promising start for good new yard when second to Zip at Newcastle; player
12 (14)	So Quiet Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Harry Charlton	J:Rossa Ryan T:Harry Charlton	125	—	188249	78	105	78	54d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Excuse when 11-8 latest and type to click in handicaps soon; draw not ideal here, though
9 (1)	Billyb Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	129	—	512035	82	101	80	8d	—	—	+4	17.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Shaped as if still in form when fading over 1m last week; considered back at 7f
8 (7)	Master Richard Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ann Duffield	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ann Duffield	129	t	774444	82	102	84	28d	—	—	0	11.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Recent AW efforts respectable but over 18 months since last win; tongue-tied first time
3 (12)	Alzahir Chestnut J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	J:George Wood T:Jennie Candlish	134	t	447128	87	102	74	21d	—	—	+9	21.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second off this mark at Newcastle last month and subsequent run can be ignored (hampered)
10 (4)	Chalk Mountain Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	129	t	111627	82	102	84	32d	—	—	+7	20.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Never involved over 1m here latest but in very good form over 7f on AW prior to that
4 (11)	Zip Grey J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	132	v	956311	85	103	74	21d	—	—	+23	29	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made all over 7f on turf/AW under Warren Fentiman last month; respected in current mood
2 (8)	Documenting Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	135	p	039075	88	100	82	31d	—	—	+6	11.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
This 11yo was still useful earlier in 2024 but not so good recently; first-time headgear
7 (10)	How Impressive Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	131	tv	032110	84	99	89	44d	—	—	+20	23.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Pair of Class 5 wins on AW in October (including C&D) but found out at higher level latest
11 (5)	Admiral D Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	127	—	860027	80	100	-	35d	—	—	+7	12.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
In decent form on turf this autumn but strike-rate of 1-27 since 2021 tempers enthusiasm
1 (13)	Zero Carbon Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	136	—	346136	89	98	94	58d	—	—	+14	17.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Excellent Kempton record but below par first run here in October, changing hands after
6 (3)	Diamondonthehill Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Richard Kingscote T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	132	—	727805	85	100	-	65d	—	—	+8	10.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Mixed record since 7f turf win in May and well held both AW starts; first run for new yard
13 (9)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	123	—	555000	76	99	60	9d	—	—	+5	6.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Multiple AW scorer but has a big doubt over current form
14 (6)	Three Yorkshiremen Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Wigham	J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Wigham	117	t	-66159	70	99	66	205d	—	—	+9	10.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
5lb above mark he defied at Chelmsford (1m2f) in April; tongue-tie added back from wind op

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Royal Zabeel	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
So Quiet	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Billyb	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Master Richard	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Alzahir	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Chalk Mountain	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Zip	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Documenting	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
How Impressive	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Admiral D	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Zero Carbon	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Diamondonthehill	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
One More Dream	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Three Yorkshiremen	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zip

OR: 8.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

2nd

How Impressive

23.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

3rd

Alzahir

21.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Chalk Mountain

20.1

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Zero Carbon

17.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1

28/1

Billyb

17.6

OR: 8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

11/2

So Quiet

14.5

OR: 7 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Royal Zabeel

13.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Admiral D

12.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Documenting

11.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Master Richard

11.3

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Diamondonthehill

10.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Three Yorkshiremen

10.3

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.3

80/1

One More Dream

6.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zero Carbon	89	98	94
Documenting	88	100	82
Alzahir	87	102	74
Royal Zabeel	85	99	55
Zip	85	103	74
Diamondonthehill	85	100	—
How Impressive	84	99	89
Billyb	82	101	80
Master Richard	82	102	84
Chalk Mountain	82	102	84
Admiral D	80	100	—
So Quiet	78	105	78
One More Dream	76	99	60
Three Yorkshiremen	70	99	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Billyb	8d ago	Quick return
One More Dream	9d ago	Quick return
Royal Zabeel	21d ago	Fit
Alzahir	21d ago	Fit
Zip	21d ago	Fit
Master Richard	28d ago	Fit
Documenting	31d ago	Fit
Chalk Mountain	32d ago	Fit
Admiral D	35d ago	Fit
How Impressive	44d ago	Fit
So Quiet	54d ago	Fresh
Zero Carbon	58d ago	Fresh
Diamondonthehill	65d ago	Fresh
Three Yorkshiremen	205d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Master Richard	Prominent
Zero Carbon	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.