Aspall Handicap – Sandown · The Final Fence

Sandown

5:25

Aspall Handicap

Date 2025-09-12

Distance 1m1f209y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,019

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (9)	Whatsgoingonmarvin b Daniel Tudhope · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Daniel Tudhope · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	136	—	-11233	80	85	75	26d	—	—	-1	29.5	15/8 35%
Won his first two handicaps but expensive to follow since; drop in trip asks new questions
15 (4)	Caspian King gr Silvestre De Sousa · David Menuisier	Silvestre De Sousa · David Menuisier	128	t	5-5743	72	81	64	22d	—	—	-4	9.1	11/2 15%
0-7 but he has shown winning potential; needs to settle better now back up in class
5 (5)	Beach Point br Cieren Fallon · William Knight	Cieren Fallon · William Knight	139	p	422911	77	83	66	14d	—	—	+14	31.3	9/2 18%
Chasing C&D hat-trick; just clung on last time having hung; 4lb rise may scupper him
2 (8)	Carnival Day b Pat Cosgrave · Jim Boyle	Pat Cosgrave · Jim Boyle	142	—	474134	80	84	67	14d	—	—	+6	17.9	13/2 13%
C&D winner; in good form, most recently 4th to Beach Point here two weeks ago; e-w shout
12 (6)	Fast Steps b George Wood · Rod Millman	George Wood · Rod Millman	132	—	733435	70	86	83	18d	—	—	+2	11.3	8/1 11%
C&D winner; yet to strike this year but he's down to a lowly mark and can't be discounted
8 (13)	Tipsy Tiger b Alistair Rawlinson · William Stone	Alistair Rawlinson · William Stone	135	p	34-077	73	87	39	14d	—	—	0	8	10/1 9%
Won this race last year off 2lb higher; not found best in 2025 but latest run not too bad
13 (3)	Kokanee b Dougie Costello · Ed Dunlop	Dougie Costello · Ed Dunlop	132	—	5-1656	76	83	78	15d	—	—	+2	8.3	16/1 6%
Made winning handicap debut/reappearance in April; no progress since but still low mileage
10 (15)	Distinction b Tom Queally · John Mackie	Tom Queally · John Mackie	133	v	140114	71	83	69	13d	—	—	+14	18.4	25/1 4%
Three more wins this summer but looks vulnerable off this mark in Class 4 company
3 (12)	Navagio b Kieran O'Neill · James Horton	Kieran O'Neill · James Horton	141	t	300-50	79	89	32	79d	—	—	+4	8.5	25/1 4%
3rd in last season's Lincoln on stable debut remains the high point of his time in Britain
4 (1)	Croeso Cymraeg b Christian Howarth(3) · James Evans	Christian Howarth(3) · James Evans	139	—	917389	77	87	61	15d	—	—	+8	11.2	33/1 3%
Veteran who won at Lingfield in June (1m2f, good to soft); well held on last two starts
14 (11)	Bijoux b Sean D Bowen · Ollie Sangster	Sean D Bowen · Ollie Sangster	131	—	1560	75	77	-	29d	—	—	+7	10	50/1 2%
Novice form was consistent rather than progressive; well held on handicap debut; new trip
9 (14)	Silver Nightfall b Tyler Heard · Jim & Suzi Best	Tyler Heard · Jim & Suzi Best	133	—	1-0877	71	83	30	32d	—	—	+10	12.9	80/1 1%
Five-time AW winner; turf form less persuasive and quiet so far in 2025
NR (2)	Son Of Man b Luke Catton(3) · Jim Boyle	Luke Catton(3) · Jim Boyle	144	p	220703	82	87	52	14d	—	—	—	12	—
0-17 since debut but banging at the door this year, including C&D latest; new cheekpieces
NR (10)	Lunar Orbit ch Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex	Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex	136	h	6-8220	80	81	60	50d	—	—	—	7.5	—
Runner-up twice over 1m (including here) this summer; below par latest; up in trip today
NR (7)	Raedwald b Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	132	—	-76180	76	82	55	42d	—	—	—	11.5	—
Dead-heated in an AW handicap (1m2f) in June; well beaten twice since; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Whatsgoingonmarvin	-	15/8	13/8	7/4	15/8
Caspian King	-	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Beach Point	-	9/2	7/2	9/2	4/1
Carnival Day	-	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2
Fast Steps	-	8/1	7/1	8/1	8/1
Tipsy Tiger	-	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Kokanee	-	14/1	12/1	16/1	14/1
Distinction	-	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Navagio	-	22/1	18/1	25/1	22/1
Croeso Cymraeg	-	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Bijoux	-	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Silver Nightfall	-	66/1	50/1	80/1	50/1
Son Of Man	-	-	-	-	-
Lunar Orbit	-	-	-	-	-
Raedwald	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beach Point

31.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Whatsgoingonmarvin

29.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 12.6 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Distinction

18.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Carnival Day

17.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Silver Nightfall

12.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Son Of Man

OR: 8 Form: 4 Odds: 0

—

Raedwald

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Fast Steps

11.3

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Croeso Cymraeg

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Bijoux

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Caspian King

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Navagio

8.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

25/1

Kokanee

8.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

16/1

Tipsy Tiger

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Lunar Orbit

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Son Of Man Top Rated	82	87	52
Whatsgoingonmarvin	80	85	75
Carnival Day	80	84	67
Lunar Orbit	80	81	60
Navagio	79	89	32
Beach Point	77	83	66
Croeso Cymraeg	77	87	61
Kokanee	76	83	78
Raedwald	76	82	55
Bijoux	75	77	—
Tipsy Tiger	73	87	39
Caspian King	72	81	64
Distinction	71	83	69
Silver Nightfall	71	83	30
Fast Steps	70	86	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Whatsgoingonmarvin	26d ago	Fit
Caspian King	22d ago	Fit
Beach Point	14d ago	Fit
Carnival Day	14d ago	Fit
Fast Steps	18d ago	Fit
Tipsy Tiger	14d ago	Fit
Kokanee	15d ago	Fit
Distinction	13d ago	Quick return
Navagio	79d ago	Fresh
Croeso Cymraeg	15d ago	Fit
Bijoux	29d ago	Fit
Silver Nightfall	32d ago	Fit
Son Of Man	14d ago	Fit
Lunar Orbit	50d ago	Fresh
Raedwald	42d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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