ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

6:45

ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

Date 2025-10-03

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
13 (11)	Bin Ajwad b David Allan · James Tate	David Allan · James Tate	129	—	4371	74	89	76	29d	—	—	+1	24.8	11/4 27%
C&D win on handicap debut latest; up 6lb but unexposed; one of two runners for James Tate
10 (12)	Bernalda ch Alexandra Egan(7) · James Ferguson	Alexandra Egan(7) · James Ferguson	131	tb	323211	73	93	78	7d	—	—	+13	32.9	7/2 22%
2-2 in blinkers and 9lb well in after last week's easy Newcastle success; strong claims
1 (8)	Blue Prince b Pat Cosgrave · David Evans	Pat Cosgrave · David Evans	139	—	200790	81	89	76	13d	—	—	-2	11.8	5/1 17%
Out of form this summer but drops in class and he'll bounce back at some point; best at 7f
8 (7)	Paladin ch Oliver Stammers · Charlie Johnston	Oliver Stammers · Charlie Johnston	134	—	-15617	76	89	-	41d	—	—	+8	18.4	15/2 12%
C&D winner with two turf wins this year; below par latest though and needs a career best
7 (5)	Al Rufaa b Dylan Hogan · Daniel & Claire Kubler	Dylan Hogan · Daniel & Claire Kubler	135	—	030277	77	91	66	31d	—	—	+3	12.5	8/1 11%
Patchy record this year but conditions no problem and he is well treated; each-way shout
6 (2)	Lady Of Arabia b Billy Loughnane · Eve Johnson Houghton	Billy Loughnane · Eve Johnson Houghton	135	b	-30893	77	93	66	31d	—	—	+4	12.9	9/1 10%
Back to firm in new blinkers when third over C&D last month; needs more back against males
2 (10)	Cephalus b Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	138	b	106390	80	91	75	36d	—	—	+4	11.1	12/1 8%
3-5 over C&D; feasible mark; betting to guide now back down in class
14 (3)	American State b Cieren Fallon · Patrick Owens	Cieren Fallon · Patrick Owens	127	tv	533170	72	88	73	61d	—	—	+8	13.4	18/1 5%
Newbury winner in June (1m); ground an excuse in Ireland latest; now gets accessories
11 (9)	Loch Leven br P J McDonald · Ollie Sangster	P J McDonald · Ollie Sangster	131	p	41-208	76	88	71	51d	—	—	+4	7.5	33/1 3%
7f AW win last October; handicap efforts since suggests she's vulnerable this time
12 (4)	Alessia Fernanda ch Zak Wheatley(3) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(3) · Declan Carroll	131	t	360398	73	90	-	15d	—	—	+4	8.5	33/1 3%
4lb lower than for her winning stable debut in April; mixed bag since
5 (13)	Lyndon B b William Carson · John & Rhys Flint	William Carson · John & Rhys Flint	135	p	-01068	77	90	-	25d	—	—	+8	10.4	40/1 2%
Only five ran when he won at Windsor in June; well held since and vulnerable once more
4 (14)	Cosmos Raj b Cian Horgan(5) · David O'Meara	Cian Horgan(5) · David O'Meara	136	p	252107	78	88	-	58d	—	—	+12	14.2	66/1 1%
Yet to shine in previous visits to Southwell and he has the widest stall to overcome
3 (1)	Rock Walk ch Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	138	p	9-4809	80	84	75	50d	—	—	+6	8	80/1 1%
Struggled in three handicaps for new yard in 2025; down in weights with cheekpieces added
NR (6)	Special Ghaiyyath b Clifford Lee · James Tate	Clifford Lee · James Tate	134	—	322411	79	88	64	27d	—	—	—	26.8	—
Chasing hat-trick after front-running turf wins at Beverley and Haydock; fine on AW; solid

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bin Ajwad	5/2	5/2	9/4	11/4	11/4
Bernalda	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Blue Prince	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Paladin	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Al Rufaa	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Lady Of Arabia	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	9/1
Cephalus	11/1	10/1	9/1	12/1	10/1
American State	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Loch Leven	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Alessia Fernanda	33/1	28/1	16/1	28/1	28/1
Lyndon B	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Cosmos Raj	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1
Rock Walk	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Special Ghaiyyath	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bernalda

32.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 21.4 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Special Ghaiyyath

26.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Bin Ajwad

24.8

OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Paladin

18.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Cosmos Raj

14.2

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.7

66/1

American State

13.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Lady Of Arabia

12.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Al Rufaa

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Blue Prince

11.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Cephalus

11.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Lyndon B

10.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Alessia Fernanda

8.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Rock Walk

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Loch Leven

7.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Prince Top Rated	81	89	76
Cephalus	80	91	75
Rock Walk	80	84	75
Special Ghaiyyath	79	88	64
Cosmos Raj	78	88	—
Al Rufaa	77	91	66
Lady Of Arabia	77	93	66
Lyndon B	77	90	—
Paladin	76	89	—
Loch Leven	76	88	71
Bin Ajwad	74	89	76
Bernalda	73	93	78
Alessia Fernanda	73	90	—
American State	72	88	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bin Ajwad	29d ago	Fit
Bernalda	7d ago	Quick return
Blue Prince	13d ago	Quick return
Paladin	41d ago	Fit
Al Rufaa	31d ago	Fit
Lady Of Arabia	31d ago	Fit
Cephalus	36d ago	Fit
American State	61d ago	Fresh
Loch Leven	51d ago	Fresh
Alessia Fernanda	15d ago	Fit
Lyndon B	25d ago	Fit
Cosmos Raj	58d ago	Fresh
Rock Walk	50d ago	Fresh
Special Ghaiyyath	27d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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