Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:20

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-12-20

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (4)	Surgeon Commander b Sam James · Craig Lidster	Sam James · Craig Lidster	135	b	67856	55	56	33	1d	—	—	-16	8.5	5/2 29%
Well held in all four runs and he needs improvement with blinkers added
10 (1)	Nutbean b Warren Fentiman(5) · John & Sean Quinn	Warren Fentiman(5) · John & Sean Quinn	125	b	099	45	51	-	99d	—	—	-19	8.5	5/2 29%
Poor form in three 6f turf runs; several reasons to expect better today
8 (8)	Lope Harswell b Mark Winn · Roger Fell	Mark Winn · Roger Fell	125	—	777424	45	58	47	18d	—	—	-8	7.9	4/1 20%
Creditable efforts over 7f/1m here on her last three starts; in the mix once again
4 (10)	Runninman b Paul Mulrennan · Ann Duffield	Paul Mulrennan · Ann Duffield	132	p	90663	52	55	27	26d	—	—	-5	6.8	13/2 13%
Fair third on nursery debut last month (1m); work to do with Lope Harswell; headgear added
5 (6)	Sunniva b Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	132	—	P03639	52	59	40	15d	—	—	-1	5.1	12/1 8%
Only third when favourite for her nursery debut in August (7f); 6f too sharp latest
9 (5)	Elemental b Joanna Mason · Kevin Frost	Joanna Mason · Kevin Frost	125	—	758	45	54	27	29d	—	—	-4	1.5	16/1 6%
No impact in three 6f novice events, the last two on Tapeta; this should be more suitable
1 (2)	Lina Codina b Jonny Peate · Nigel Tinkler	Jonny Peate · Nigel Tinkler	135	—	8987	55	57	-	148d	—	—	-2	2.3	25/1 4%
Absent since July but up in trip, down in grade and tackling a new surface; may do better
6 (7)	Charcon gr Cam Hardie · Ben Haslam	Cam Hardie · Ben Haslam	132	—	084	52	53	30	33d	—	—	-3	1.7	25/1 4%
Not easily recommended on racecourse evidence but open to improvement now handicapping
3 (3)	Diamond Aura b Andrew Mullen · Hugo Palmer	Andrew Mullen · Hugo Palmer	135	p	388	55	55	-	18d	—	—	0	3.7	40/1 2%
Mark looks tough on racecourse evidence but she is bred to do better; headgear now tried
NR (9)	Calypso Breeze ch TBC · Denis Quinn	· Denis Quinn	132	—	08917	52	55	41	53d	—	—	—	7.5	—
Well backed when winning on her nursery debut (7f, AW); flopped on soft since; unexposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Surgeon Commander	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Nutbean	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Lope Harswell	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Runninman	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Sunniva	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Elemental	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Lina Codina	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Charcon	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Diamond Aura	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Calypso Breeze	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Surgeon Commander

8.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Nutbean

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.5

5/2

3rd

Lope Harswell

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Calypso Breeze

7.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Runninman

6.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sunniva

5.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Diamond Aura

3.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

40/1

Lina Codina

2.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Charcon

1.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Elemental

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Surgeon Commander Top Rated	55	56	33
Lina Codina	55	57	—
Diamond Aura	55	55	—
Runninman	52	55	27
Sunniva	52	59	40
Charcon	52	53	30
Calypso Breeze	52	55	41
Nutbean	45	51	—
Lope Harswell	45	58	47
Elemental	45	54	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Surgeon Commander	1d ago	Quick return
Nutbean	99d ago	Long break
Lope Harswell	18d ago	Fit
Runninman	26d ago	Fit
Sunniva	15d ago	Fit
Elemental	29d ago	Fit
Lina Codina	148d ago	Long break
Charcon	33d ago	Fit
Diamond Aura	18d ago	Fit
Calypso Breeze	53d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard

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