talkSPORT Download The App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

talkSPORT Download The App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-02-20

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £10,152

Winning Time 1m 41.71s (slow by 4.91s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Canberra Legend (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	8/11F	Won
2nd	Carbis Bay (GB) Oisin Murphy · Marco Botti	13/2	3.5
3rd	Pillarsofcreation (GB) Cameron Noble · Roger Varian	12/1	3
4th	Sir John Monash (GB) Trevor Whelan · Kevin Frost	14/1	1.25
5th	Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	50/1	1
6th	My Duty (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	33/1	0.2
7th	United Force (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Archie Watson	7/2	3
8th	Knockbrex (GB) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	18/1	0.2

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Canberra Legend Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Makes plenty of appeal on breeding and market confidence would be significant
2 (1)	Carbis Bay Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Marco Botti	J:Oisin Murphy T:Marco Botti	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Appealing pedigree, but stable's newcomers are often better for a run
3 (6)	Knockbrex Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Something to like on breeding and one to monitor in the market.
4 (3)	My Duty Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Nicely bred, but winning newcomers from the yard are rare
5 (8)	Pledgeofallegiance Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	80-8	-	70	36	31d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well held in all three starts; handicaps over further likely to be his thing in due course
6 (2)	Sir John Monash Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Kevin Frost	J:Trevor Whelan T:Kevin Frost	133	b	44	-	74	32	29d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Fourth in both starts last month and form of latest run has worked out well; not ruled out
7 (4)	United Force Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Archie Watson	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Archie Watson	133	—	32	-	78	33	11d	—	—	—	7.1	—	—
Placed in both starts over 7f on Tapeta including second here last time; leading player.
8 (5)	Pillarsofcreation Bay J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	128	—	5	-	82	-	16d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Fifth in a slowly run race on Kempton debut; probably needs to improve

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

United Force

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Canberra Legend

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Carbis Bay

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Knockbrex

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

My Duty

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pledgeofallegiance

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sir John Monash

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pillarsofcreation

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Canberra Legend	—	—	—
Carbis Bay	—	—	—
Knockbrex	—	—	—
My Duty	—	—	—
Pledgeofallegiance	—	70	36
Sir John Monash	—	74	32
United Force	—	78	33
Pillarsofcreation	—	82	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
United Force	11d ago	Quick return
Pillarsofcreation	16d ago	Fit
Sir John Monash	29d ago	Fit
Pledgeofallegiance	31d ago	Fit
Canberra Legend	—	—
Carbis Bay	—	—
Knockbrex	—	—
My Duty	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.