Nam Sham Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

14:50

Nam Sham Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2023-03-01

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £104,712

Winning Time 1m 9.31s (fast by 0.39s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Howdeepisyourlove (AUS) Karis Teetan · J Size	3/5F	Won
2nd	Majestic Knight (AUS) Silvestre De Sousa · Douglas Whyte	77/10	2
3rd	California Cible (AUS) Angus Chung · A S Cruz	9/1	.5
4th	Setanta (AUS) L Hewitson · David A Hayes	17/1	1.75
5th	Czarson (AUS) K C Leung · P F Yiu	15/1	0.1
6th	Seizing The Moment (NZ) Luke Currie · J Size	29/1	0.3
7th	Here Comes Ted (NZ) L J Ferraris · D J Hall	37/1	0.3
8th	Dinkum (AUS) C Y Ho · K W Lui	16/1	2
9th	Armour Eagle (AUS) Zac Purton · Jamie Richards	10/1	.75
10th	Everyone's Victory (AUS) Matthew Chadwick · F C Lor	71/1	.5
11th	Excellent Daddy (AUS) Jerry Chau · T P Yung	66/1	0.3
12th	Lucky Archangel (AUS) Antoine Hamelin · F C Lor	30/1	30

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Divine Shining Bay J:TBC T:Jimmy Ting	J: T:Jimmy Ting	124	t	40/7-0	66	86	-	49d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Ran okay on HK debut but lost chance when hanging very wide on home turn here last time
R14 (14)	Decisive Twelve Brown J:TBC T:W Y So	J: T:W Y So	121	t	02-539	63	96	-	10d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Disappointed last time but was placed on two of three previous outings; can't rule out
1 (6)	California Cible Bay J:Angus Chung(10) T:A S Cruz	J:Angus Chung(10) T:A S Cruz	135	t	P/42-7	77	93	-	14d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
First past the post over C&D in December and didn't run badly from tough draw last time
2 (12)	Armour Eagle Bay J:Zac Purton T:Jamie Richards	J:Zac Purton T:Jamie Richards	134	tb	492-15	76	92	-	28d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Won a shade cosily from stall 12 over C&D in January; has same outside draw today
3 (9)	Majestic Knight Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Douglas Whyte	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Douglas Whyte	133	b	023-42	75	92	-	28d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
In the frame all four starts this season and features prominently in calculations
4 (1)	Seizing The Moment Bay J:Luke Currie T:J Size	J:Luke Currie T:J Size	133	b	2966-9	75	95	-	28d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Needs to better recent efforts but is well handicapped and has the plum inside draw
5 (4)	Czarson Chestnut J:K C Leung T:P F Yiu	J:K C Leung T:P F Yiu	129	p	338-65	71	98	-	17d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Without a win since 2020 and best known as a dirt specialist nowadays
6 (11)	Here Comes Ted Bay J:L J Ferraris T:D J Hall	J:L J Ferraris T:D J Hall	129	tb	0407-1	71	90	-	28d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Surprise C&D winner last month; combination of 5lb rise and stall 11 to overcome today
7 (5)	Setanta Bay J:L Hewitson T:David A Hayes	J:L Hewitson T:David A Hayes	127	tb	5460-8	69	95	-	10d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Won off this mark in September but unable to land a telling blow at Sha Tin recently
8 (8)	Excellent Daddy Chestnut J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	124	t	8508-7	66	98	-	36d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Hasn't really fired this term and needs to up his game
9 (2)	Howdeepisyourlove Brown J:Karis Teetan T:J Size	J:Karis Teetan T:J Size	122	—	391-23	64	91	-	28d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Placed twice since C&D win in December, latterly from stall 12; has stall 2 today; player
10 (3)	Everyones Victory Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:F C Lor	J:Matthew Chadwick T:F C Lor	121	ht	70950-	63	89	-	67d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Dual 6f winner on dirt in 2021 but looks opposable on this rare turf start
11 (7)	Lucky Archangel Bay J:Antoine Hamelin T:F C Lor	J:Antoine Hamelin T:F C Lor	121	p	3154-6	63	91	-	39d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Holding his own in this grade but needs to find hidden reserves to succeed at this level
12 (10)	Dinkum Chestnut J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	120	p	755-29	62	90	-	14d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Second from wide stall at Sha Tin two runs ago but has another tough draw here

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Here Comes Ted

15.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

California Cible

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Armour Eagle

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Majestic Knight

6.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Seizing The Moment

6.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Czarson

5.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Setanta

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Divine Shining

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Excellent Daddy

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Howdeepisyourlove

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Decisive Twelve

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Everyones Victory

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Archangel

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dinkum

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
California Cible	77	93	—
Armour Eagle	76	92	—
Majestic Knight	75	92	—
Seizing The Moment	75	95	—
Czarson	71	98	—
Here Comes Ted	71	90	—
Setanta	69	95	—
Divine Shining	66	86	—
Excellent Daddy	66	98	—
Howdeepisyourlove	64	91	—
Decisive Twelve	63	96	—
Everyones Victory	63	89	—
Lucky Archangel	63	91	—
Dinkum	62	90	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Decisive Twelve	10d ago	Quick return
Setanta	10d ago	Quick return
California Cible	14d ago	Fit
Dinkum	14d ago	Fit
Czarson	17d ago	Fit
Armour Eagle	28d ago	Fit
Majestic Knight	28d ago	Fit
Seizing The Moment	28d ago	Fit
Here Comes Ted	28d ago	Fit
Howdeepisyourlove	28d ago	Fit
Excellent Daddy	36d ago	Fit
Lucky Archangel	39d ago	Fit
Divine Shining	49d ago	Fresh
Everyones Victory	67d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.