Ascot Shop Handicap Hurdle – Ascot

Ascot

17:20

Ascot Shop Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-04-02

Distance 2m5f141y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,450

Winning Time 5m 10.61s (slow by 0.61s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ivaldi (FR) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	7/2F	Won
2nd	Espoir De Romay (FR) David Bass · Kim Bailey	16/1	9.5
3rd	Rocky Man (FR) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	9/1	.75
4th	Hasty Parisian (IRE) Harry Reed · Milton Harris	14/1	3.5
5th	Fifty Ball (FR) Niall Houlihan · Gary Moore	17/2	0.05
6th	Ballybegg (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Kerry Lee	18/1	.75
7th	Sir Psycho (IRE) Angus Cheleda · Paul Nicholls	16/1	4.25
8th	Gentleman At Arms (IRE) Ciaran Gethings · Stuart Edmunds	16/1	0.2
9th	Certainly Red (GB) Rex Dingle · Lydia Richards	15/2	1
10th	Jerrash (GB) Caoilin Quinn · Gary Moore	11/2	1.25
11th	J'Ai Froid (IRE) Adam Wedge · L J Morgan	40/1	15
12th	Shantou Express (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Kim Bailey	25/1	55

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
Fell	Clay Rogers (IRE) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy	14/1
U.R.	Top Of The Bill (IRE) Jordan Nailor · Nigel Twiston-Davies	10/1

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR	Lord Accord Bay J:TBC T:Neil Mulholland	J: T:Neil Mulholland	160	tp	31296P	130	138	98	17d	—	—	—	22	—
Soft ground has been against him the last twice; not ruled out if conditions suit
1	Espoir De Romay Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	168	p	/33P-5	138	135	110	49d	—	—	—	22	—
Classy novice chaser in 2020-21 but a return to form is needed
2	Jai Froid Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	168	v	/3548-	138	131	98	358d	—	—	—	22.9	—
Won four in a row in early 2021 but below par on his four starts last season; absent since
3	Ballybegg Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Kerry Lee	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Kerry Lee	162	—	P-P71P	132	143	123	36d	—	—	—	20.5	—
Has run well just once among his last six starts but that was a convincing win in February
4	Jerrash Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:Gary Moore	162	—	310-1P	132	146	99	43d	—	—	—	20.5	—
Won Plumpton h'cap in January; found to be coughing after Haydock flop; retains potential
5	Gentleman At Arms Grey J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	162	tp	-70349	132	145	112	15d	—	—	—	22	—
Last April's Gr 1 novice 2nd may flatter him; has struggled to get competitive this term
6	Certainly Red Chestnut J:Rex Dingle T:Lydia Richards	J:Rex Dingle T:Lydia Richards	162	—	1-B111	132	144	-	59d	—	—	—	27.5	—
Has won his last three starts, all over fences; reverts to hurdles but has to be respected
7	Sir Psycho Bay J:Angus Cheleda(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Angus Cheleda(5) T:Paul Nicholls	160	p	59/F33	130	134	107	26d	—	—	—	20	—
Not the force of old following long layoff but took step back in right direction last time
9	Shantou Express Chestnut J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	158	—	23F35P	128	142	137	78d	—	—	—	19.7	—
Of interest judged on his Cheltenham performance off 5lb higher in December
10	Top Of The Bill Bay J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	155	p	-21415	125	138	111	36d	—	—	—	29.8	—
Two wins from his last four starts and he could still have more to offer
11	Clay Rogers Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	154	t	211-16	124	141	79	29d	—	—	—	18.5	—
Won on handicap debut at Southwell then had an excuse at Kelso; he's one to consider
12	Fifty Ball Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	153	—	21-P00	123	144	101	16d	—	—	—	18.3	—
Won over C&D last March; check betting, but he's struggled on his three runs this year
13	Rocky Man Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	153	—	67-12P	123	138	97	69d	—	—	—	18.3	—
Two good runs prior to Ffos Las flop; in top hands and is a likely player if bouncing back
14	Ivaldi Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	152	—	-42F45	122	140	132	36d	—	—	—	18.8	—
Unplaced favourite last time but things may click at some point for this lightly raced 5yo
15	Hasty Parisian Chestnut J:Harry Reed T:Milton Harris	J:Harry Reed T:Milton Harris	142	p	-54633	112	134	101	29d	—	—	—	20.6	—
Fair third at Doncaster last month which was better than most of these managed last time

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Top Of The Bill

29.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 11 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Certainly Red

27.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Jai Froid

22.9

OR: 22 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Lord Accord

OR: 20 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Espoir De Romay

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gentleman At Arms

OR: 20.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Hasty Parisian

20.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0

—

Ballybegg

20.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Jerrash

20.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sir Psycho

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Shantou Express

19.7

OR: 19.5 Form: 0.2 Odds: 0

—

Ivaldi

18.8

OR: 18 Form: 0.8 Odds: 0

—

Clay Rogers

18.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Fifty Ball

18.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Rocky Man

18.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Espoir De Romay	138	135	110
Jai Froid	138	131	98
Ballybegg	132	143	123
Jerrash	132	146	99
Gentleman At Arms	132	145	112
Certainly Red	132	144	—
Lord Accord	130	138	98
Sir Psycho	130	134	107
Shantou Express	128	142	137
Top Of The Bill	125	138	111
Clay Rogers	124	141	79
Fifty Ball	123	144	101
Rocky Man	123	138	97
Ivaldi	122	140	132
Hasty Parisian	112	134	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gentleman At Arms	15d ago	Fit
Fifty Ball	16d ago	Fit
Lord Accord	17d ago	Fit
Sir Psycho	26d ago	Fit
Clay Rogers	29d ago	Fit
Hasty Parisian	29d ago	Fit
Ballybegg	36d ago	Fit
Top Of The Bill	36d ago	Fit
Ivaldi	36d ago	Fit
Jerrash	43d ago	Fit
Espoir De Romay	49d ago	Fresh
Certainly Red	59d ago	Fresh
Rocky Man	69d ago	Fresh
Shantou Express	78d ago	Fresh
Jai Froid	358d ago	Long break