DragonBet Proud To Be Welsh Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Chepstow

15:45

Date 2023-04-15

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Winning Time 4m 56.20s (slow by 19.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mr Hailstone (IRE) Luke Scott · Dr Richard Newland	9/1	Won
2nd	Boleyn Boy (IRE) Harry Bannister · Ben Case	14/1	1.5
3rd	Ginderella (IRE) Sean Houlihan · Mitchell Hunt	33/1	5
4th	Bert Wilson (IRE) Tom Buckley · Nigel Hawke	11/4F	8.5
5th	Hazy Dream (GB) Tom Bellamy · Joe Tickle	20/1	5.5
6th	Royal Mer (FR) Philip Armson · David Pipe	16/1	1.75
7th	Key Factor (IRE) David Noonan · Henry Oliver	17/2	19

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
Fell	Bridge Road (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish	13/2
P.U.	Just Over Land (FR) Finn Lambert · Sam Thomas	100/30
P.U.	Kash Tara (GB) Bridget Andrews · Dan Skelton	7/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Bert Wilson Bay J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Nigel Hawke	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Nigel Hawke	166	tv	-4U1P1	98	100	85	23d	—	—	+12	31.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Scored over C&D last month and has now won two of his last three; respected
5	Just Over Land Chestnut J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Sam Thomas	J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Sam Thomas	160	t	F43	102	107	89	22d	—	—	+3	20.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Promising third in 2m maiden last month; upped in trip for this handicap debut
1	Bridge Road Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	170	p	132547	102	105	97	22d	—	—	+8	18	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Just 1-16 over hurdles but has held his form well since his win in November
4	Mr Hailstone Bay J:Luke Scott(7) T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Luke Scott(7) T:Dr Richard Newland	162	—	/2-F42	94	103	54	23d	—	—	+8	17.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Didn't achieve huge amount when second last time but may improve in handicaps
6	Boleyn Boy Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	160	—	-5492P	92	98	50	52d	—	—	+5	15.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yet to build upon promising hurdle debut, and was pulled up on his handicap debut
7	Kash Tara Bay J:Bridget Andrews T:Dan Skelton	J:Bridget Andrews T:Dan Skelton	156	—	7984	88	104	46	76d	—	—	+3	11.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Kept on for modest fourth in a maiden last time; may improve again in handicaps
10	Hazy Dream Grey J:Tom Bellamy T:Joe Tickle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Joe Tickle	142	—	2-863U	74	100	88	22d	—	—	+5	11.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Ran well for long way when placed two starts ago but is 0-7 over hurdles; others preferred
2	Royal Mer Grey J:Philip Armson(3) T:David Pipe	J:Philip Armson(3) T:David Pipe	167	t	576292	99	103	59	22d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+14	21.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Left disappointing British debut behind when clear second at Hereford last month; a player
9	Key Factor Bay J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	147	—	-PP074	79	105	76	40d	—	—	+2	9.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Beaten about 40l when fourth on handicap debut but the form has worked out very well
8	Ginderella Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	151	—	7-678	83	98	78	73d	—	—	+5	9.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Not disgraced in any of her three qualifying runs and has a lowly opening mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bert Wilson	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Just Over Land	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bridge Road	7	15/2	13/2	7	7
Mr Hailstone	7	15/2	7	7	7
Boleyn Boy	15/2	15/2	13/2	7	7
Kash Tara	9	9	8	8	8
Hazy Dream	14	14	12	14	14
Royal Mer	9	12	11	11	11
Key Factor	11	11	9	11	11
Ginderella	25	20	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bert Wilson

31.2

OR: 12 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Royal Mer

21.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Just Over Land

20.5

OR: 13 Form: 2.3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bridge Road

OR: 13 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Mr Hailstone

17.2

OR: 11 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Boleyn Boy

15.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Kash Tara

11.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Hazy Dream

11.1

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

Key Factor

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ginderella

9.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Just Over Land	102	107	89
Bridge Road	102	105	97
Royal Mer	99	103	59
Bert Wilson	98	100	85
Mr Hailstone	94	103	54
Boleyn Boy	92	98	50
Kash Tara	88	104	46
Ginderella	83	98	78
Key Factor	79	105	76
Hazy Dream	74	100	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Just Over Land	22d ago	Fit
Bridge Road	22d ago	Fit
Hazy Dream	22d ago	Fit
Royal Mer	22d ago	Fit
Bert Wilson	23d ago	Fit
Mr Hailstone	23d ago	Fit
Key Factor	40d ago	Fit
Boleyn Boy	52d ago	Fresh
Ginderella	73d ago	Fresh
Kash Tara	76d ago	Fresh