Newcastle (AW)

17:35

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-05-05
Distance 1m2f42y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £3,245

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (3)
Sicario
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Appleby
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Appleby
133 p 421155
53
-
-
57d -40
29.8
9 (6)
Our Dickie
Grey
J:Poppy Wilson(7)
T:Iain Jardine
J:Poppy Wilson(7)
T:Iain Jardine
128 tp -69356
48
67
50
3d -13
7.7
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Below market expectations behind Iron Sheriff here on Tuesday; hard to retain the faith
10 (9)
Iron Sheriff
Bay
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Roger Fell
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Roger Fell
128 043474
48
68
53
3d -12
6.1
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Lots of recent racing over 1m and been threatening lately; is now 0-21 on the AW though
2 (5)
Fire Eyes
Bay
J:Sean Kirrane
T:Lawrence Mullaney
J:Sean Kirrane
T:Lawrence Mullaney
136 0646-5
56
65
55
22d -9
5.5
1.13/1
9/2
18%
More from the front on comeback here behind Ideal Dream; that gave something to build on
7 (1)
Desert Miracle
Chestnut
J:George Eddery(7)
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
J:George Eddery(7)
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
132 4/0355
52
68
50
17d -8
3.8
1.63/1
13/2
13%
This mark ought to be within range; stamina is the question over today's longer trip
3 (2)
Ideal Dream
Bay
J:Amie Waugh(3)
T:John Davies
J:Amie Waugh(3)
T:John Davies
135 75-571
55
70
57
22d -10
5.7
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Bit in hand for Amie Waugh last time and has fair claims again off a 5lb higher mark
5 (8)
Caracristi
Bay
J:Madi Patzelt(7)
T:Philip Kirby
J:Madi Patzelt(7)
T:Philip Kirby
134 -73193
54
67
45
10d +5
11.8
2.75/1
12
8%
Mixed record here but continues in form, faring well in a race not run to suit last time
11 (4)
Mr Heinz
Bay
J:Alex Fielding(7)
T:Simon Whitaker
J:Alex Fielding(7)
T:Simon Whitaker
126 p 04759-
46
64
41
206d -4
1.6
3.25/1
14
7%
Maiden; absent for seven months but Isn't without hope at this level
8 (7)
Selfish Brian
Bay
J:Alex Jary(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Alex Jary(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
130 -80357
50
69
65
22d -2
2.9
4.25/1
18
6%
Looked to have no complaints behind two of tonight's rivals here three weeks ago
4 (11)
Marcello Si
Bay
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Michael Dods
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Michael Dods
134 45437-
54
66
-
220d 0W/0P 1 run -1
4.5
4.75/1
20
5%
Back down in trip after seven months off; is a half-brother to a course winner
1 (10)
Aljardaa
Bay
J:Gina Mangan(3)
T:Patrick Morris
J:Gina Mangan(3)
T:Patrick Morris
137 h 7/68
57
59
-
35d -3
3.5
6.75/1
28
4%
Shown little to date and would want to see good support before considering her
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Sicario
SP SP SP SP SP
Our Dickie
10/3 7/2 3 3 10/3
Iron Sheriff
9/2 4 10/3 7/2 10/3
Fire Eyes
5 9/2 5 5 5
Desert Miracle
7 7 6 11/2 13/2
Ideal Dream
6 6 5 11/2 11/2
Caracristi
12 12 12 12 12
Mr Heinz
14 14 12 14 14
Selfish Brian
16 18 16 16 16
Marcello Si
20 18 18 20 20
Aljardaa
12 25 28 25 28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Sicario
29.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 9 Odds: 20
2nd Caracristi
11.8
OR: 1 Form: 8.9 Odds: 1.9
12
3rd Our Dickie
7.7
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.2
7/2
4 Iron Sheriff
6.1
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.2
9/2
5 Ideal Dream
5.7
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
11/2
6 Fire Eyes
5.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4
9/2
7 Marcello Si
4.5
OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4
20
8 Desert Miracle
3.8
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
9 Aljardaa
3.5
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
28
10 Selfish Brian
2.9
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4
18
11 Mr Heinz
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
14

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Aljardaa
57
59
Fire Eyes
56
65
55
Ideal Dream
55
70
57
Caracristi
54
67
45
Marcello Si
54
66
Sicario
53
Desert Miracle
52
68
50
Selfish Brian
50
69
65
Our Dickie
48
67
50
Iron Sheriff
48
68
53
Mr Heinz
46
64
41

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Our Dickie 3d ago Quick return
Iron Sheriff 3d ago Quick return
Caracristi 10d ago Quick return
Desert Miracle 17d ago Fit
Fire Eyes 22d ago Fit
Ideal Dream 22d ago Fit
Selfish Brian 22d ago Fit
Aljardaa 35d ago Fit
Sicario 57d ago Fresh
Mr Heinz 206d ago Long break
Marcello Si 220d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.