Watch Chester On Sky Sports Racing Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:10

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 2m 15.29s (slow by 7.79s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Moogie (GB) Rowan Scott · James Fanshawe	11/2	Won
2nd	Ajyad (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	18/1	1.25
3rd	Flying Circus (GB) Ben Curtis · Marco Botti	11/10F	1
4th	Dreams Adozen (FR) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	9/2	1
5th	Silk Bird (GB) Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe	11/2	.75
6th	Charli Sands (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	9/1	3.25

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Flying Circus Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Marco Botti	J:Ben Curtis T:Marco Botti	126	—	3-	-	88	-	196d	—	—	-19	13	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Shaped nicely on her soft-ground debut over 1m last backend and sets the standard on that
2 (1)	Moogie Grey J:Rowan Scott T:James Fanshawe	J:Rowan Scott T:James Fanshawe	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
From a good family; yard among the winners and she's a likely looking newcomer
6 (2)	Silk Bird Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	126	—	422-4	71	84	40	22d	—	—	-5	9.3	1.00/1	5 20%
Has run to a similar level all four starts to date; remains vulnerable to improvers
4 (5)	Charli Sands Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Half-brother to the yard's Reel Rosie, who won on her 2yo debut; worth a market check
1 (3)	Dreams Adozen Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	646-	72	83	49	202d	—	—	-1	8.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Nothing exciting in three starts at 1m last autumn; needs to improve for the stiffer test
3 (4)	Ajyad Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	126	—	4-	-	77	-	193d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't achieve much when fourth in a small-field 1m novice here last October

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Flying Circus	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Moogie	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Silk Bird	5	5	5	5	5
Charli Sands	7	13/2	6	6	6
Dreams Adozen	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Ajyad	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flying Circus

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Silk Bird

9.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

3rd

Dreams Adozen

8.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Moogie

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Charli Sands

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ajyad

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dreams Adozen	72	83	49
Silk Bird	71	84	40
Flying Circus	—	88	—
Moogie	—	—	—
Charli Sands	—	—	—
Ajyad	—	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Silk Bird	22d ago	Fit
Ajyad	193d ago	Long break
Flying Circus	196d ago	Long break
Dreams Adozen	202d ago	Long break
Moogie	—	—
Charli Sands	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.