At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:20

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 27.14s (slow by 3.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Master Richard (GB) Paul Hanagan · Ann Duffield	10/1	Won
2nd	All The King's Men (FR) Ben Curtis · George Boughey	11/10F	.5
3rd	Streak Lightning (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	13/2	1
4th	Swiss Ace (GB) Ryan Sexton · Ruth Carr	9/2	0.3
5th	Eligible (IRE) Shane Gray · Michael & David Easterby	22/1	0.2
6th	Eldrickjones (IRE) Jason Hart · Roger Fell	11/1	1.25
7th	Flash The Dash (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Julie Camacho	16/1	.5
8th	Mudamer (IRE) Sam James · Geoffrey Harker	33/1	2.25
9th	Ron O (GB) Phil Dennis · Ray Craggs	11/1	1.5
10th	Castleberg Rock (GB) Tom Eaves · Ray Craggs	80/1	7
11th	Summa Peto (USA) Joe Fanning · Keith Dalgleish	33/1	0.1
12th	Bobby Shaft (GB) Ben Robinson · John Wainwright	50/1	75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (11)	All The Kings Men Bay J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	137	t	157-13	87	98	62	30d	—	—	-17	21.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Race didn't pan out his way in a small field at Kempton a month ago and he's respected
5 (9)	Swiss Ace Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	133	—	0-3156	83	97	64	18d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won this last year off a 6lb lower mark and should do better back round here
7 (8)	Streak Lightning Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	-26216	79	96	80	22d	—	—	+10	20.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three-time course winner (4-11 on Tapeta); be happier back at 7f; arrives in good form
1 (10)	Master Richard Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Ann Duffield	J:Paul Hanagan T:Ann Duffield	137	—	41219-	87	96	-	236d	—	—	+14	24.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progressive front-runner; will need a career-best off this mark on his comeback
4 (5)	Eldrickjones Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell	133	—	05506-	83	95	-	212d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	10.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Useful 2yo who proved difficult to place last season; would want to see some support
8 (2)	Ron O Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Ray Craggs	J:Phil Dennis T:Ray Craggs	129	—	124817	79	96	74	22d	—	—	+9	17.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Sharp improvement in recent times but he'll need another career-best to take this
9 (12)	Eligible Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	128	v	1-1772	78	97	85	27d	—	—	+11	15	6.00/1	25 4%
Back in form last time in a race not run to suit; will be happier back into a bigger field
12 (7)	Flash The Dash Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Julie Camacho	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Julie Camacho	122	—	6006-5	72	95	87	117d	—	—	+3	6.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Looked to have no excuses when backed into favourite for a lesser handicap when last seen
6 (6)	Summa Peto Grey Roan J:Joe Fanning T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Joe Fanning T:Keith Dalgleish	132	—	/7690-	82	82	-	286d	—	—	+6	8.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Lost the plot during last year and, while he's gone well fresh, he has it to prove
3 (1)	Mudamer Grey J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	135	—	50100-	85	95	-	220d	—	—	+12	14.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Ex-Irish; has been gelded and doesn't appeal as particularly well treated for his new yard
11 (3)	Bobby Shaft Bay J:Ben Robinson T:John Wainwright	J:Ben Robinson T:John Wainwright	123	—	01316/	73	94	-	913d	—	—	+15	18.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Won his maiden over C&D but has a very long absence to overcome in a competitive race
10 (4)	Castleberg Rock Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	127	—	320-	77	91	-	225d	—	—	+10	12.3	16.25/1	66 2%
Undergone wind surgery and, although Tom Eaves rides, Ron O looks his trainer's best shot

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
All The Kings Men	11/10	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Swiss Ace	6	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Streak Lightning	15/2	15/2	15/2	7	7
Master Richard	15/2	13/2	7	13/2	7
Eldrickjones	10	9	10	10	10
Ron O	10	17/2	9	8	17/2
Eligible	25	25	22	22	22
Flash The Dash	20	25	22	22	22
Summa Peto	33	33	25	28	28
Mudamer	40	33	28	33	33
Bobby Shaft	25	25	22	25	25
Castleberg Rock	66	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Master Richard

24.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

All The Kings Men

21.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

3rd

Streak Lightning

20.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Bobby Shaft

18.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.9

Ron O

17.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.4

Eligible

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 1

Mudamer

14.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Swiss Ace

12.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Castleberg Rock

12.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Eldrickjones

10.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Summa Peto

8.8

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Flash The Dash

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
All The Kings Men	87	98	62
Master Richard	87	96	—
Mudamer	85	95	—
Swiss Ace	83	97	64
Eldrickjones	83	95	—
Summa Peto	82	82	—
Streak Lightning	79	96	80
Ron O	79	96	74
Eligible	78	97	85
Castleberg Rock	77	91	—
Bobby Shaft	73	94	—
Flash The Dash	72	95	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Swiss Ace	18d ago	Fit
Streak Lightning	22d ago	Fit
Ron O	22d ago	Fit
Eligible	27d ago	Fit
All The Kings Men	30d ago	Fit
Flash The Dash	117d ago	Long break
Eldrickjones	212d ago	Long break
Mudamer	220d ago	Long break
Castleberg Rock	225d ago	Long break
Master Richard	236d ago	Long break
Summa Peto	286d ago	Long break
Bobby Shaft	913d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Master Richard	Front Runner
Eligible	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.