Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Mile Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:20

Date 2023-06-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 25.46s (slow by 1.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	New Endeavour (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	2/1F	Won
2nd	Berkshire Phantom (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	7/1	4
3rd	Animate (IRE) Adam Kirby · Simon & Ed Crisford	7/1	1
4th	Ajjaj (FR) Dane O'Neill · Richard Hannon	25/1	0.3
5th	Alpha Crucis (IRE) William Buick · Gary Moore	17/2	.75
6th	Awtaad Prince (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Amy Murphy	11/1	.75
7th	Ertebat (GB) Harry Davies · Hugo Palmer	10/1	1.25
8th	Dark Trooper (IRE) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	12/1	2.75
9th	Strictly Dreaming (GB) Hayley Turner · Ian Williams	150/1	8
10th	Lunatick (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Hughie Morrison	6/1	2

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	New Endeavour Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	134	—	3215-5	84	99	-	21d	—	—	-11	17.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
C&D winner who was a good fourth at York on his return last month; in the mix
6 (4)	Lunatick Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Hughie Morrison	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Hughie Morrison	133	—	64-2	83	96	74	30d	—	—	+4	16.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Improved second at Windsor and he looks interesting now dropped to 7f on handicap debut
9 (9)	Ertebat Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Hugo Palmer	128	tb	542-12	78	96	64	20d	—	—	0	9.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Creditable second at Newmarket last time and he should have more to offer at this new trip
4 (3)	Berkshire Phantom Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	134	v	-11440	84	94	85	18d	—	—	+7	15.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Dual Tapeta winner but he struggled at Newmarket last time and has something to prove
8 (6)	Alpha Crucis Bay J:William Buick T:Gary Moore	J:William Buick T:Gary Moore	131	—	883-12	81	96	27	43d	—	—	+1	10.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Win and good second since switched to handicaps this season; respected back in trip
1 (10)	Animate Bay J:Adam Kirby T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Adam Kirby T:Simon & Ed Crisford	137	p	314-61	87	96	76	23d	—	—	+3	11.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Made it 2-6 when scoring back at 7f at Wolverhampton last month; respected up 3lb
3 (8)	Dark Trooper Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	135	—	24-113	85	94	82	114d	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Two AW wins in January and he still has potential; dangerous back from a break
7 (11)	Diamond Vega Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	218-	83	91	45	222d	—	—	+13	19.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Still unexposed and she could kick on again upped to 7f on handicap/seasonal debut
2 (1)	Awtaad Prince Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	136	—	515-76	86	91	59	32d	—	—	+4	11.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Down the field in both runs this season and has a bit to prove on this switch to Polytrack
10 (7)	Ajjaj Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Richard Hannon	J:Dane O'Neill T:Richard Hannon	123	—	60-15	73	90	39	20d	—	—	+3	6.8	6.00/1	25 4%
C&D winner on penultimate run and he could kick on again on this step back up in trip
11 (5)	Strictly Dreaming Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Ian Williams	J:Hayley Turner T:Ian Williams	119	h	9570-	69	92	-	256d	—	—	+4	5.1	31.00/1	125 1%
Lightly raced filly but she struggled at a big price on her handicap debut at Newmarket

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
New Endeavour	2	9/4	17/8	2	2
Lunatick	6	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Ertebat	8	7	8	15/2	15/2
Berkshire Phantom	8	17/2	8	8	8
Alpha Crucis	8	15/2	15/2	8	15/2
Animate	9	8	15/2	17/2	17/2
Dark Trooper	12	11	11	11	12
Diamond Vega	10	10	11	11	11
Awtaad Prince	12	12	9	12	12
Ajjaj	25	25	25	25	25
Strictly Dreaming	100	100	100	125	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Diamond Vega

19.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.9

2nd

New Endeavour

17.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.7

9/4

3rd

Lunatick

16.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Berkshire Phantom

15.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Animate

11.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Awtaad Prince

11.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Dark Trooper

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Alpha Crucis

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ertebat

9.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ajjaj

6.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Strictly Dreaming

5.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Animate	87	96	76
Awtaad Prince	86	91	59
Dark Trooper	85	94	82
New Endeavour	84	99	—
Berkshire Phantom	84	94	85
Lunatick	83	96	74
Diamond Vega	83	91	45
Alpha Crucis	81	96	27
Ertebat	78	96	64
Ajjaj	73	90	39
Strictly Dreaming	69	92	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Berkshire Phantom	18d ago	Fit
Ertebat	20d ago	Fit
Ajjaj	20d ago	Fit
New Endeavour	21d ago	Fit
Animate	23d ago	Fit
Lunatick	30d ago	Fit
Awtaad Prince	32d ago	Fit
Alpha Crucis	43d ago	Fit
Dark Trooper	114d ago	Long break
Diamond Vega	222d ago	Long break
Strictly Dreaming	256d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.