Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Newcastle (AW)

17:50

Date 2023-06-21

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Hidden Story Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Charlie Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Charlie Appleby	130	—	27	-	82	-	33d	—	—	-10	9.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Disappointing at Newmarket last time but he sets the standard on his initial form
10 (3)	Mambo Sunset Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	125	—	3	-	79	-	20d	—	—	-12	9.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Eyecatching third behind a smart prospect at Carlisle on his recent debut; interesting
3 (8)	Bear On The Loose Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Ray Dawson T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	137	—	31	-	74	56	57d	—	—	+1	16.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Made all at Yarmouth last time and he's open to more progress on his step up in trip
4 (7)	Break Point Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	130	—	3	-	74	-	60d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Shaped with promise behind a useful rival at Nottingham in April and he's in the mix
1 (1)	Rayat Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	149	—	1	-	73	52	53d	—	—	+2	13.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Cost 360,000gns; dead-heated when odds-on at Wolverhampton and he's respected up in trip
9 (5)	Unlimited Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	130	—	6	-	66	-	19d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Well held sixth of 12 at Doncaster and he needs plenty of progress upped in trip
7 (10)	Mordor Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	130	—	5	-	45	-	53d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Well bred but he was well held on debut and needs a transformation on his second start
NR (9)	Kittens Bay Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Mark Walford	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Mark Walford	130	—	47	-	45	-	16d	—	—	-2	0.7	24.75/1	100 1%
Well held in his two runs on different ground at Thirsk (1m), with a best RPR of 47
8 (4)	New York Bay Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Gay Kelleway	J:Cam Hardie T:Gay Kelleway	130	—	00	-	19	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Finished a tailed-off last at massive prices in her two runs (1m2f/1m) this season
2 (2)	Vikinvalleycracker Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Brian Rothwell	J:Faye McManoman T:Brian Rothwell	142	—	9	-	-	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Finished a tailed-off last of nine at a massive price at Redcar (1m2f) last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hidden Story	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Mambo Sunset	3	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Bear On The Loose	4	4	4	4	4
Break Point	7	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Rayat	11/2	7	15/2	7	7
Unlimited	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Mordor	8	9	9	17/2	17/2
Kittens Bay	100	100	100	100	100
New York Bay	500	200	150	150	150
Vikinvalleycracker	500	250	150	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bear On The Loose

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4.4

2nd

Rayat

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Hidden Story

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Mambo Sunset

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Break Point

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Unlimited

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Mordor

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Kittens Bay

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

100

New York Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Vikinvalleycracker

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hidden Story	—	82	—
Mambo Sunset	—	79	—
Bear On The Loose	—	74	56
Break Point	—	74	—
Rayat	—	73	52
Unlimited	—	66	—
Mordor	—	45	—
Kittens Bay	—	45	—
New York Bay	—	19	—
Vikinvalleycracker	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kittens Bay	16d ago	Fit
Unlimited	19d ago	Fit
New York Bay	19d ago	Fit
Mambo Sunset	20d ago	Fit
Vikinvalleycracker	22d ago	Fit
Hidden Story	33d ago	Fit
Rayat	53d ago	Fresh
Mordor	53d ago	Fresh
Bear On The Loose	57d ago	Fresh
Break Point	60d ago	Fresh