Visit racingtv.com Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

16:05

Visit racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-07-05

Distance 1m208y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 1m 52.46s (slow by 2.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Shine On Brendan (IRE) Clifford Lee · Jim Goldie	3/1F	Won
2nd	Kalahari Prince (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	11/2	.5
3rd	Bulls Aye (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	10/1	0.1
4th	War Defender (GB) Cam Hardie · Tim Easterby	12/1	.75
5th	Ayr Poet (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	15/2	.5
6th	Propagation (IRE) Mark Winn · Dianne Sayer	9/1	0.1
7th	Chinese Spirit (IRE) Graham Lee · Linda Perratt	9/1	.5
8th	Tacitus (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Tjade Collier	12/1	.5
9th	How Bizarre (GB) Aiden Brookes · Liam Bailey	8/1	2.75
10th	St Andrew's Castle (GB) William Pyle · Jim Goldie	12/1	0.3
11th	Urban Road (GB) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	16/1	2.25
12th	Mi Capricho (IRE) Billy Garritty · Keith Dalgleish	80/1	54

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Shine On Brendan Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Jim Goldie	J:Clifford Lee T:Jim Goldie	136	b	223423	66	80	68	8d	—	—	-2	18.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has been reasonably consistent in defeat this season and should again be thereabouts.
2 (11)	Kalahari Prince Chestnut J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	132	v	065355	62	75	62	6d	—	—	-4	7.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Below his winning form this season but better efforts give him an each-way chance.
6 (1)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	9030-6	58	82	72	22d	—	—	-5	4.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Interesting on the back of his reappearance run and back up again in trip.
12 (6)	Propagation Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Dianne Sayer	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Dianne Sayer	122	—	/884-3	52	74	60	22d	—	—	-3	6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
If able to back up his latest effort at Ayr his chance would be respected.
8 (4)	How Bizarre Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Liam Bailey	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Liam Bailey	125	—	144421	55	77	62	12d	—	—	+9	17	2.25/1	10 10%
Up 4lb since 1m win here latest but a similar effort would still see him closely involved.
9 (8)	Tacitus Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Tjade Collier	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Tjade Collier	124	t	97-791	54	79	69	11d	—	—	-5	3.4	2.25/1	10 10%
1m win latest; up 4lb; scope to pull out a bit more but his inconsistency is a concern.
10 (9)	Chinese Spirit Grey J:Graham Lee T:Linda Perratt	J:Graham Lee T:Linda Perratt	123	—	559222	53	76	69	12d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.00/1	9 11%
Went close on his last three starts and remains an each-way player.
5 (12)	War Defender Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	128	t	9-6075	58	75	33	22d	—	—	-3	3.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Plummeting in the handicap but little encouragement on his most recent turf start.
3 (7)	Bulls Aye Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	tb	372156	62	75	61	21d	—	—	+5	11.4	2.75/1	12 8%
5lb higher than last month's win; return to this trip looks positive; not written off.
11 (10)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	122	p	413616	52	75	61	15d	—	—	+6	12.1	2.75/1	12 8%
8.5f winner; beaten favourite latest; needs to bounce back and not ruled out.
7 (2)	St Andrews Castle Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	128	p	367176	58	76	57	22d	—	—	+3	8.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Some way below winning form in two subsequent starts; bit to prove dropping in trip.
4 (5)	Mi Capricho Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	129	t	07-067	59	76	-	16d	—	—	0	3	9.75/1	40 3%
Losing run now at 11 and well below his best in three starts this year; plenty to prove.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shine On Brendan	7/2	11/4	3	3	10/3
Kalahari Prince	13/2	6	6	6	6
Ayr Poet	15/2	7	7	13/2	13/2
Propagation	8	17/2	17/2	8	9
How Bizarre	9	9	9	9	10
Tacitus	10	9	10	10	10
Chinese Spirit	9	9	9	9	9
War Defender	12	11	11	11	12
Bulls Aye	12	11	10	11	11
Urban Road	12	11	11	11	11
St Andrews Castle	12	12	12	12	12
Mi Capricho	33	40	33	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shine On Brendan

18.6

OR: 4 Form: 8.4 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

How Bizarre

OR: 1.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Chinese Spirit

14.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 11 Odds: 2.4

Urban Road

12.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 9.9 Odds: 1.7

Bulls Aye

11.4

OR: 3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

St Andrews Castle

8.6

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Kalahari Prince

7.8

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Propagation

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ayr Poet

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

War Defender

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Tacitus

3.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Mi Capricho

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shine On Brendan	66	80	68
Kalahari Prince	62	75	62
Bulls Aye	62	75	61
Mi Capricho	59	76	—
Ayr Poet	58	82	72
War Defender	58	75	33
St Andrews Castle	58	76	57
How Bizarre	55	77	62
Tacitus	54	79	69
Chinese Spirit	53	76	69
Propagation	52	74	60
Urban Road	52	75	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kalahari Prince	6d ago	Quick return
Shine On Brendan	8d ago	Quick return
Tacitus	11d ago	Quick return
How Bizarre	12d ago	Quick return
Chinese Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Urban Road	15d ago	Fit
Mi Capricho	16d ago	Fit
Bulls Aye	21d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	22d ago	Fit
Propagation	22d ago	Fit
War Defender	22d ago	Fit
St Andrews Castle	22d ago	Fit