Visit The Brand New Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap

Pontefract

14:15

Date 2023-07-30

Distance 1m6y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 1m 45.87s (slow by 4.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Silk Bird (GB) Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe	12/1	Won
2nd	Bay Dream Believer (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Mark Walford	6/1	1.5
3rd	Bushfire (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Gemma Tutty	9/2	1.25
4th	Cosmos Raj (GB) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	7/1	2.25
5th	Perfect Swiss (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	7/1	1.5
6th	Mabre (IRE) Ben Curtis · David Evans	9/1	1.75
7th	Hoots Toots (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	16/1	0.3
8th	Ascari (GB) Tom Marquand · Hughie Morrison	3/1F	0.05
9th	Tasever (GB) Cam Hardie · Tim Easterby	14/1	5.5
10th	Simulation Theory (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	18/1	.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Ascari Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	136	—	6-4373	72	76	64	13d	—	—	-13	13.5	0.25/1	2 50%
Not beaten far despite meeting trouble at Windsor last time; still low mileage; contender
3 (2)	Bushfire Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	140	—	-60441	68	76	48	8d	—	—	+5	18.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m2f winner on soft last week; could prove vulnerable under different conditions
4 (5)	Perfect Swiss Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	139	—	355502	67	75	46	9d	—	—	+1	12.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Conditions to suit and only just missed out here nine days ago; in the mix once more
1 (3)	Cosmos Raj Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	144	p	940215	72	77	68	8d	—	—	+7	18.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
1m winner at Ripon three weeks ago; 1m2f on soft too taxing latest; should make a bold bid
8 (1)	Bay Dream Believer Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Mark Walford	J:Andrew Mullen T:Mark Walford	131	h	948214	59	73	54	15d	—	—	+5	14.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Off the mark at Wetherby in May; less good last time and others look stronger
2 (9)	Mabre Grey J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	141	b	912532	69	75	69	16d	—	—	+9	17.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Three wins this year and went desperately close 16 days ago; solid contender once more
9 (7)	Tasever Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	131	p	-24329	67	77	51	35d	—	—	+7	11.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Poor run here last time but he had been threatening previously; headgear now tried
7 (6)	Hoots Toots Grey Roan J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	132	t	1-1070	60	74	66	13d	—	—	+6	10.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Won reappearance at Thirsk in April; poor three times since; tongue-tie now returns; risky
6 (10)	Simulation Theory Chestnut J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	133	t	34-380	61	70	56	23d	—	—	0	3.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Chance of an easy lead here but he's not looked in the form required to capitalise
10 (4)	Silk Bird Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd Okeeffe	130	p	22-455	66	74	48	60d	—	—	+1	5	8.00/1	33 3%
Six-race maiden who finished last on her handicap debut; headgear tried for the first time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ascari	2	2	2	2	2
Bushfire	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Perfect Swiss	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cosmos Raj	6	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Bay Dream Believer	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Mabre	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Tasever	18	16	14	16	16
Hoots Toots	20	18	18	20	20
Simulation Theory	28	28	25	28	28
Silk Bird	33	28	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bushfire

18.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Cosmos Raj

18.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Mabre

17.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Bay Dream Believer

14.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ascari

13.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

Perfect Swiss

12.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Tasever

11.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

Hoots Toots

10.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Silk Bird

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Simulation Theory

3.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ascari	72	76	64
Cosmos Raj	72	77	68
Mabre	69	75	69
Bushfire	68	76	48
Perfect Swiss	67	75	46
Tasever	67	77	51
Silk Bird	66	74	48
Simulation Theory	61	70	56
Hoots Toots	60	74	66
Bay Dream Believer	59	73	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bushfire	8d ago	Quick return
Cosmos Raj	8d ago	Quick return
Perfect Swiss	9d ago	Quick return
Ascari	13d ago	Quick return
Hoots Toots	13d ago	Quick return
Bay Dream Believer	15d ago	Fit
Mabre	16d ago	Fit
Simulation Theory	23d ago	Fit
Tasever	35d ago	Fit
Silk Bird	60d ago	Fresh