Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:40

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-08-03

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 26.69s (slow by 2.89s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Carlton And Co (GB) Shane Gray · Michael & David Easterby	9/2	Won
2nd	Rockin Rosa (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	11/1	.5
3rd	Atlantic Heart (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	14/1	0.05
4th	Original Thinker (GB) Cam Hardie · Harriet Bethell	7/1	0.3
5th	Greycious Anna (GB) Sam James · K R Burke	9/1	0.2
6th	Martini Nights (GB) P J McDonald · James Horton	15/2	.5
7th	Abbey's Dream (GB) Jamie Spencer · Archie Watson	9/2	.5
8th	Cosa Sara (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	16/1	0.1
9th	Thawg (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	4/1F	0.2
10th	Azucena (IRE) Rowan Scott · Ann Duffield	40/1	8
11th	Platinum Girl (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	14/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (7)	Zapphire Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	136	—	3-52	70	72	-	44d	—	—	-43	27.1	—	—
Placed a couple of times, including over C&D; open to progress now handicapping
2 (3)	Abbeys Dream Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Archie Watson	J:Jamie Spencer T:Archie Watson	137	—	-12153	71	74	49	139d	—	—	+3	22.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Respectable third over C&D in March when last seen, taking Newcastle record to 113
10 (12)	Thawg Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	130	—	561	64	72	-	65d	—	—	+1	18.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
May build on Brighton maiden win provided she copes with another drop in trip
6 (2)	Carlton And Co Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	36-506	62	75	69	29d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Peak RPRs have come at shorter trips and she remains a maiden
3 (8)	Greycious Anna Grey J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	137	p	140-93	71	76	-	22d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.75/1	8 13%
Shaped well on latest turf run; possibilities if taking well to first-time headgear
1 (6)	Martini Nights Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	138	—	373-	72	71	-	276d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Open to progress in handicaps; interesting on reappearance
9 (4)	Original Thinker Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	130	—	9-5642	64	76	51	35d	—	—	-2	5.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Good second over C&D last time and the winner has franked the form since; strong claims
4 (11)	Platinum Girl Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	136	—	212138	70	76	-	22d	—	—	+11	17.3	2.75/1	12 8%
Lost her chance with a tardy start on latest outing; consistent otherwise in 2023
8 (10)	Atlantic Heart Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	132	—	940859	60	76	62	31d	—	—	-2	4.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Raced at 6f for current yard; sole win came over 7f on Tapeta
12 (5)	Rockin Rosa Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	117	p	364553	51	80	55	31d	—	—	-1	5	2.75/1	12 8%
Has not progressed; first-time headgear needs to make a difference
11 (1)	Cosa Sara Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	127	p	175233	55	72	-	43d	—	—	+2	11.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Has done her winning at 1m on turf; this scenario isn't ideal
7 (9)	Azucena Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	133	—	31-598	67	72	-	55d	—	—	+2	5.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Return to Newcastle may suit but this new trip presents a question mark

Horse	bet365	Coral
Zapphire	SP	SP
Abbeys Dream	3	9/2
Thawg	9/2	7/2
Carlton And Co	5	4
Greycious Anna	8	8
Martini Nights	9	8
Original Thinker	10	9
Platinum Girl	12	12
Atlantic Heart	14	14
Rockin Rosa	12	12
Cosa Sara	16	9
Azucena	20	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zapphire

27.1

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Abbeys Dream

22.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Thawg

18.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

Platinum Girl

17.3

OR: 5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.7

Martini Nights

12.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.4

Cosa Sara

11.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.5

Greycious Anna

8.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Carlton And Co

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Original Thinker

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Azucena

5.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Rockin Rosa

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Atlantic Heart

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Martini Nights	72	71	—
Abbeys Dream	71	74	49
Greycious Anna	71	76	—
Zapphire	70	72	—
Platinum Girl	70	76	—
Azucena	67	72	—
Thawg	64	72	—
Original Thinker	64	76	51
Carlton And Co	62	75	69
Atlantic Heart	60	76	62
Cosa Sara	55	72	—
Rockin Rosa	51	80	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Greycious Anna	22d ago	Fit
Platinum Girl	22d ago	Fit
Carlton And Co	29d ago	Fit
Atlantic Heart	31d ago	Fit
Rockin Rosa	31d ago	Fit
Original Thinker	35d ago	Fit
Cosa Sara	43d ago	Fit
Zapphire	44d ago	Fit
Azucena	55d ago	Fresh
Thawg	65d ago	Fresh
Abbeys Dream	139d ago	Long break
Martini Nights	276d ago	Long break