Follow attheraces On Twitter Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:25

Follow attheraces On Twitter Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-08-15

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (5)	Western Beat Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	138	v	149734	61	73	64	28d	—	—	-6	9.3	4 25%
C&D winner off 4lb lower in January; fair 1m2f form on turf since visor fitted; chance
8 (4)	Mathematician Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Varian	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Varian	133	—	066V5	64	64	33	19d	—	—	-9	8.7	7/2 22%
Modest efforts so far including on handicap debut; unexposed and could progress
4 (7)	Jewel Maker Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	141	—	446064	64	73	-	24d	—	—	-4	6.6	13/2 13%
Fair 4th over this trip on turf last time; decent AW record but others appeal more
2 (8)	Dougies Dream Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	143	p	037416	66	70	40	19d	—	—	+5	14.3	8/1 11%
Dual winner over 1m here, and scored over 1m on turf in June; yet to win over 1m2f
3 (1)	Ghost Rider Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	141	—	6-3729	64	68	26	48d	—	—	-4	6.4	17/2 11%
Both wins on AW including over 1m here; seems to stay 1m2f and one to consider.
11 (6)	Oscar Doodle Grey J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	127	—	741852	50	69	60	12d	—	—	+2	10.4	10/1 9%
Three AW wins and 1l second to Her Way (3lb worse off) over C&D last time; chance
14 (13)	Ana Emaraaty Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	115	b	765736	46	68	59	3d	—	—	-3	4	14 7%
0-8; good third to Her Way over C&D on only AW start and has a chance on that form
13 (2)	Darker Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	123	p	666744	46	66	49	3d	—	—	-5	1.7	16 6%
Not disgraced when fourth on last two starts (latest over 1m2f) but others look stronger
12 (3)	Ski Jump Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	p	203814	56	65	34	38d	—	—	+5	11	18 6%
Winner over this trip in June (second there last time); first run as a gelding; a possible
9 (14)	Great Colaci Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Gillian Boanas	J:William Pyle(7) T:Gillian Boanas	131	—	677396	54	71	58	12d	—	—	-1	3.9	16 6%
Seven-time course winner over 7f/1m; has won over 1m3f and a possible off this good mark
10 (11)	Her Way Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Gemma Tutty	129	b	604661	52	73	59	12d	—	—	+7	11.9	18 6%
Beat Oscar Doodle by 1l to win over C&D last time; 4lb higher; should go well again
5 (12)	Three Platoon Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	140	tp	4008-8	63	68	5	33d	—	—	+1	4	33 3%
Not the best of win records; hasn't been running well enough to suggest he will take this
7 (10)	Carlton Brown J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	136	—	4259	67	68	-	10d	—	—	+5	7.2	100 1%
Sold 25,000gns in July; modest efforts on all starts so far; others have stronger claims
1 (9)	Toute Chic Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	144	—	6411-6	67	67	-	16d	—	—	+3	4.6	125 1%
Won her last 2 races in France last year; poor efforts over hurdles and on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Western Beat	4	4	4	4	4
Mathematician	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Jewel Maker	7	13/2	7	7	7
Dougies Dream	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Ghost Rider	9	8/1	17/2	9	8
Oscar Doodle	8	10/1	10/1	9	10
Ana Emaraaty	12	12	14	12	12
Darker	16	12	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ski Jump	16	14	18	16	16
Great Colaci	16	16	14	16	16
Her Way	18	18	16	18	18
Three Platoon	33	28	28	28	28
Carlton	100	80	80	80	80
Toute Chic	100	80	125	100	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dougies Dream

14.3

OR: 4 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

2nd

Her Way

11.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

3rd

Ski Jump

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.6

Oscar Doodle

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Western Beat

9.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

Mathematician

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Carlton

7.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.5

100

Jewel Maker

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ghost Rider

6.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Toute Chic

4.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ana Emaraaty

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

Three Platoon

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Great Colaci

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Darker

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Carlton	67	68	—
Toute Chic	67	67	—
Dougies Dream	66	70	40
Mathematician	64	64	33
Jewel Maker	64	73	—
Ghost Rider	64	68	26
Three Platoon	63	68	5
Western Beat	61	73	64
Ski Jump	56	65	34
Great Colaci	54	71	58
Her Way	52	73	59
Oscar Doodle	50	69	60
Ana Emaraaty	46	68	59
Darker	46	66	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ana Emaraaty	3d ago	Quick return
Darker	3d ago	Quick return
Carlton	10d ago	Quick return
Oscar Doodle	12d ago	Quick return
Great Colaci	12d ago	Quick return
Her Way	12d ago	Quick return
Toute Chic	16d ago	Fit
Mathematician	19d ago	Fit
Dougies Dream	19d ago	Fit
Jewel Maker	24d ago	Fit
Western Beat	28d ago	Fit
Three Platoon	33d ago	Fit
Ski Jump	38d ago	Fit
Ghost Rider	48d ago	Fresh