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Newcastle (AW)

20:30

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-08-15
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,245

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
3 (12)
Muddy Lynn
Bay
J:Dale Swift
T:Seb Spencer
J:Dale Swift
T:Seb Spencer
 137 — 737136
59
69
44
 12d — — 0
14
1.38/1
11/2
15%
6f course winner and shaped as though a return to 7f would suit last time; shortlisted
6 (13)
Bold Territories
Chestnut
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
 134 v 454562
56
69
50
 11d — — -3
10.1
1.38/1
11/2
15%
C&D winner who was only beaten a nose at Wolverhampton last time; visor on
5 (10)
Northbound
Bay
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Julie Camacho
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Julie Camacho
 135 — 4-1942
57
73
48
 74d — — -7
5.4
1.63/1
13/2
13%
C&D winner and running well on turf lately; high on the list
7 (3)
Guest List
Grey
J:William Pyle(7)
T:Katie Scott
J:William Pyle(7)
T:Katie Scott
 134 — -96956
56
67
50
 12d — — -10
5.9
1.50/1
7
14%
Losing run up to 14 and still to prove she wants this far
4 (4)
Hezahunk
Bay
J:Ben Curtis
T:Michael Appleby
J:Ben Curtis
T:Michael Appleby
 137 — 58-745
59
70
54
 21d — — -5
5.1
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Seven-race maiden who didn't look an easy ride at Wolverhampton three weeks ago
9 (9)
Malinheadsearovers
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:John Wainwright
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:John Wainwright
 128 p 9-3564
56
69
12
 10d — — -6
4.4
1.88/1
15/2
12%
0-6, but has shown some ability; possible frame material on his best efforts
12 (2)
Rockin Rosa
Chestnut
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
 124 p 645532
52
69
44
 12d — — +1
10.3
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Only beaten half a length in a better race over C&D 12 days ago; each-way claims at least
11 (8)
Lucky Lucky Lucky
Bay
J:Alex Jary(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Alex Jary(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
 125 — 165606
47
70
50
 11d — — -6
2.1
2.75/1
12
8%
Sole win came in a 0-50 classified event over C&D in February; others more solid
1 (6)
Esticky End
Bay
J:Sam James
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Sam James
T:David & Nicola Barron
 138 — 1046-9
60
62
-
 47d — — 0
3.6
6.00/1
25
4%
C&D winner as a 2yo, but his last few efforts leave plenty to be desired; best watched
8 (1)
Little Man
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Kevin Frost
J:Cam Hardie
T:Kevin Frost
 129 — 6456
57
66
40
 21d — — -1
3
5.25/1
22
5%
Some ability in maidens, but held stepped up to this trip on handicap debut
10 (7)
Mai Alward
Grey
J:Jason Hart
T:Tristan Davidson
J:Jason Hart
T:Tristan Davidson
 126 b 1-8700
54
59
24
 12d — — +5
9
8.00/1
33
3%
Well held in four handicaps for this yard after a year off; blinkers on
13 (14)
Miss Snuggles
Chestnut
J:David Allan
T:Ann Duffield
J:David Allan
T:Ann Duffield
 124 p 5450-0
46
57
-
 11d — — -2
0.7
9.75/1
40
3%
Unplaced in all six starts and needs to improve for the cheekpieces
2 (11)
Huraiz
Chestnut
J:P J McDonald
T:Ewan Whillans
J:P J McDonald
T:Ewan Whillans
 138 b 930-40
60
65
-
 22d — — 0
3.5
8.00/1
33
3%
Won his first two starts as a 2yo including here (6f), but 0-30 since; blinkers on
14 (5)
Dresden Green
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Ruth Carr
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Ruth Carr
 118 — 683460
46
63
36
 10d — — -2
2
9.75/1
40
3%
12-race maiden who has had a rear view of Malinheadsearovers in his last two starts
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Muddy Lynn
 5 11/2 6 5 5
Bold Territories
 5 5 11/2 6 6
Northbound
 6 13/2 6 13/2 13/2
Guest List
 7 9/2 6 9/2 9/2
Hezahunk
 15/2 8 8 15/2 15/2
Malinheadsearovers
 15/2 8 8 15/2 8
Rockin Rosa
 8 7 17/2 8 8
Lucky Lucky Lucky
 12 11 11 11 11
Esticky End
 25 22 25 22 22
Little Man
 16 20 22 20 20
Mai Alward
 33 25 28 25 25
Miss Snuggles
 33 33 33 33 40
Huraiz
 33 28 28 22 28
Dresden Green
 40 22 22 20 20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Muddy Lynn
14
OR: 2.3 Form: 7.7 Odds: 4
11/2
2nd Rockin Rosa
10.3
OR: 0.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.7
17/2
3rd Bold Territories
10.1
OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6
11/2
4 Mai Alward
9
OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 1
33
5 Guest List
5.9
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
7
6 Northbound
5.4
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
13/2
7 Hezahunk
5.1
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
15/2
8 Malinheadsearovers
4.4
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
15/2
9 Esticky End
3.6
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25
10 Huraiz
3.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1
33
11 Little Man
3
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
22
12 Lucky Lucky Lucky
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12
13 Dresden Green
2
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1
40
14 Miss Snuggles
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Esticky End
60
62
 —
Huraiz
60
65
 —
Muddy Lynn
59
69
44
Hezahunk
59
70
54
Northbound
57
73
48
Little Man
57
66
40
Bold Territories
56
69
50
Guest List
56
67
50
Malinheadsearovers
56
69
12
Mai Alward
54
59
24
Rockin Rosa
52
69
44
Lucky Lucky Lucky
47
70
50
Miss Snuggles
46
57
 —
Dresden Green
46
63
36

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Malinheadsearovers 10d ago Quick return
Dresden Green 10d ago Quick return
Bold Territories 11d ago Quick return
Lucky Lucky Lucky 11d ago Quick return
Miss Snuggles 11d ago Quick return
Muddy Lynn 12d ago Quick return
Guest List 12d ago Quick return
Rockin Rosa 12d ago Quick return
Mai Alward 12d ago Quick return
Hezahunk 21d ago Fit
Little Man 21d ago Fit
Huraiz 22d ago Fit
Esticky End 47d ago Fresh
Northbound 74d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.