British EBF 40th Anniversary Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Salisbury

16:30

Date 2023-08-16

Distance 1m1f201y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £28,355

Winning Time 2m 5.66s (slow by 0.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	State Occasion (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	6/1	Won
2nd	Running Lion (GB) Oisin Murphy · John & Thady Gosden	6/4F	3.75
3rd	Makinmedoit (IRE) Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	40/1	1
4th	Rousay (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	25/1	1.25
5th	Sparkling Beauty (FR) Kevin Stott · Dominic Ffrench Davis	80/1	6.5
6th	Caernarfon (GB) Connor Beasley · Jack Channon	9/2	2
7th	Ameynah (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	7/1	1.5
8th	Karsavina (GB) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	28/1	1.5
9th	Liftoff (FR) Benoit De La Sayette · John & Thady Gosden	50/1	2
10th	Queen Of The Skies (GB) William Buick · Jane Chapple-Hyam	8/1	1.25
11th	Embrace (IRE) Tom Marquand · Owen Burrows	33/1	1.25
12th	Heavenly Breath (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	33/1	1
13th	Zenga (GB) Thore Hammer Hansen · Roger Varian	40/1	3.25

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Running Lion Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	126	—	11-110	108	116	103	59d	—	—	-9	25.2	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Something seemed amiss in the French Oaks; highly progressive otherwise; respected
8 (1)	Caernarfon Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	123	—	1-4365	111	121	93	13d	—	—	+9	28	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Tough sort who brings Classic form; ran creditably in the Nassau last time; top on ratings
5 (12)	State Occasion Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	1148-4	103	120	103	90d	—	—	+5	16.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won handicaps at two major festivals last summer; good chance on peak figure
1 (13)	Ameynah Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	130	—	2/16-4	106	116	97	18d	—	—	+9	19.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lightly raced filly who is interesting on second run back from absence
3 (5)	Queen Of The Skies Chestnut J:William Buick T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:William Buick T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	60-324	97	111	98	19d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Consistent efforts for new stable; could go well again
4 (9)	Rousay Grey Roan J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	130	—	74-484	94	112	89	14d	—	—	+8	12	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Difficult to dismiss, having won this race 12 months ago
11 (2)	Karsavina Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	123	—	1-4005	94	105	69	39d	—	—	+16	18.9	6.75/1	28 4%
May improve for the new trip (sire and dam were middle-distance performers)
10 (6)	Heavenly Breath Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	123	p	-28459	97	110	64	25d	—	—	+11	13.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Rather exposed now and record stands at 1-8
12 (3)	Liftoff Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	123	—	115F-6	94	103	84	62d	—	—	+9	11.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Needs to produce a much bigger effort back on home soil
13 (4)	Sparkling Beauty Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	123	—	2126-6	97	108	91	129d	—	—	+10	12.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Has gone backwards the last twice; debut for new yard
2 (11)	Makinmedoit Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	130	—	512-37	100	113	95	84d	—	—	+11	13.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Form dipped sharply when last seen but normally consistent; 1-1 here
9 (8)	Embrace Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Owen Burrows	J:Tom Marquand T:Owen Burrows	123	—	61-400	93	101	68	54d	—	—	+9	11.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Has a lot to find on the figures and stamina to prove
6 (10)	Zenga Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Roger Varian	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Roger Varian	130	—	20-748	86	103	75	18d	—	—	+7	9.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Faces a stiff task on ratings, back up in distance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Running Lion	6/4	6/4	13/8	11/8	11/8
Caernarfon	3	3/1	7/2	3/1	3
State Occasion	7	13/2	7	13/2	15/2
Ameynah	15/2	7	17/2	15/2	8
Queen Of The Skies	9	9	9	8	9
Rousay	22	22	25	25/1	25
Karsavina	25	25	28	25	28
Heavenly Breath	33	33	40	33	33
Liftoff	33	33	40	33	33
Sparkling Beauty	28	33	40	33	33
Makinmedoit	33	33/1	40	33	33
Embrace	33	33/1	40	33	33
Zenga	50	33	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caernarfon

OR: 15.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Running Lion

25.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

13/8

3rd

Ameynah

19.4

OR: 14 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Karsavina

18.9

OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

State Occasion

16.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Queen Of The Skies

14.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Heavenly Breath

13.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

Makinmedoit

13.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Sparkling Beauty

12.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Rousay

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Liftoff

11.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Embrace

11.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Zenga

9.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Caernarfon	111	121	93
Running Lion	108	116	103
Ameynah	106	116	97
State Occasion	103	120	103
Makinmedoit	100	113	95
Queen Of The Skies	97	111	98
Heavenly Breath	97	110	64
Sparkling Beauty	97	108	91
Rousay	94	112	89
Karsavina	94	105	69
Liftoff	94	103	84
Embrace	93	101	68
Zenga	86	103	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Caernarfon	13d ago	Quick return
Rousay	14d ago	Fit
Ameynah	18d ago	Fit
Zenga	18d ago	Fit
Queen Of The Skies	19d ago	Fit
Heavenly Breath	25d ago	Fit
Karsavina	39d ago	Fit
Embrace	54d ago	Fresh
Running Lion	59d ago	Fresh
Liftoff	62d ago	Fresh
Makinmedoit	84d ago	Fresh
State Occasion	90d ago	Fresh
Sparkling Beauty	129d ago	Long break