Quinnbet Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Quinnbet Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-09-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 12.28s (slow by 1.88s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Blackcurrent (GB) Paula Muir · Alan Brown	15/2	Won
2nd	Mumcat (GB) Joanna Mason · Jacqueline Coward	7/2J	0.3
3rd	Magic Gem (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Bryan Smart	4/1	0.3
4th	Frank The Spark (GB) Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	50/1	0.2
5th	Show Compassion (GB) Faye McManoman · Michael Dods	15/2	1
6th	Sharrabang (GB) Christian Howarth · Stella Barclay	16/1	0.05
7th	Laertes (USA) Jason Hart · Michael Appleby	7/2J	.5
8th	Henery Hawk (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	125/1	.75
9th	Fircombe Hall (GB) Andrew Breslin · Philip Kirby	40/1	3.25
10th	Mutabaahy (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	66/1	0.1
11th	Dresden Green (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Ruth Carr	10/1	2
12th	Mai Alward (GB) P J McDonald · Tristan Davidson	15/2	6
13th	Holly Blackmore (IRE) Connor Beasley · Adam Nicol	80/1	6

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Mumcat Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	132	—	366565	52	69	46	10d	—	—	-14	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Record at this course (24225) suggests she'll pick up prize-money
8 (11)	Laertes Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	131	—	250035	51	70	59	11d	—	—	-9	6.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Interesting off a reduced mark on second run for new yard; step back up to 6f is a plus
4 (3)	Magic Gem Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Bryan Smart	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Bryan Smart	132	—	221-18	52	64	53	48d	—	—	-13	6.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Latest 7f effort suggests he's worth a crack at sprinting; stable debut
7 (14)	Mai Alward Grey J:P J McDonald T:Tristan Davidson	J:P J McDonald T:Tristan Davidson	131	—	870036	53	65	51	13d	—	—	-6	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ran well over 7f here two starts ago; sole win came at 6f; shortlisted
9 (9)	Blackcurrent Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	127	p	838732	47	67	55	14d	—	—	-1	11	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed twice at Southwell since returning from break; 5-15 at Newcastle; solid chance
NR (1)	Nickleby Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	134	b	126904	54	67	-	10d	—	—	-48	22	—	—
Return to AW looks ideal having gained both wins in this sphere; could go well
1 (10)	Show Compassion Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	135	—	971503	55	68	56	24d	—	—	+2	9.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Likely player provided she transfers her Wolverhampton form back to Newcastle
14 (8)	Dresden Green Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ruth Carr	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ruth Carr	124	b	346096	46	65	48	14d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Maiden; record suggests he's not certain to back up latest effort
11 (7)	Sharrabang Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Stella Barclay	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Stella Barclay	126	b	559008	46	61	27	4d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
On a lengthy losing sequence and has lost his form recently
3 (12)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Philip Kirby	133	—	92526-	53	67	-	432d	—	—	+3	6.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Three-time C&D scorer off this sort of mark; absent for 14 months
6 (2)	Frank The Spark Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	131	—	895	53	49	-	35d	—	—	-2	2	5.25/1	22 5%
Brother to a four-time winner for his connections; interesting on handicap debut
10 (6)	Mutabaahy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	126	p	561080	46	68	55	82d	—	—	+1	3.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Easily his best strike-rate is at Wolverhampton; only 1-26 here
12 (13)	Henery Hawk Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	126	—	070070	46	57	15	56d	—	—	-2	0.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Maiden; form for current yard is far from compelling
13 (4)	Holly Blackmore Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Adam Nicol	J:Connor Beasley T:Adam Nicol	124	—	348690	46	63	51	16d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Made the frame in first two handicap attempts; not in same form since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mumcat	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Laertes	9/2	9/2	4	4	4
Magic Gem	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
Mai Alward	11/2	6	6	11/2	11/2
Blackcurrent	6	7	6	11/2	13/2
Nickleby	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Show Compassion	10	11	9	10	10
Dresden Green	11	14	12	14	14
Sharrabang	16	22	20	20	20
Fircombe Hall	33	33	33	33	33
Frank The Spark	22	18	18	18	16
Mutabaahy	50	28	28	28	28
Henery Hawk	100	100	66	100	100
Holly Blackmore	100	100	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nickleby

OR: 1 Form: 1 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Blackcurrent

OR: 0 Form: 7.7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Show Compassion

9.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.1

Laertes

6.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mumcat

6.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Fircombe Hall

6.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

Mai Alward

6.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Magic Gem

6.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Mutabaahy

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Frank The Spark

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dresden Green

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Sharrabang

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Henery Hawk

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100

Holly Blackmore

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Show Compassion	55	68	56
Nickleby	54	67	—
Mai Alward	53	65	51
Fircombe Hall	53	67	—
Frank The Spark	53	49	—
Mumcat	52	69	46
Magic Gem	52	64	53
Laertes	51	70	59
Blackcurrent	47	67	55
Dresden Green	46	65	48
Sharrabang	46	61	27
Mutabaahy	46	68	55
Henery Hawk	46	57	15
Holly Blackmore	46	63	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sharrabang	4d ago	Quick return
Mumcat	10d ago	Quick return
Nickleby	10d ago	Quick return
Laertes	11d ago	Quick return
Mai Alward	13d ago	Quick return
Blackcurrent	14d ago	Fit
Dresden Green	14d ago	Fit
Holly Blackmore	16d ago	Fit
Show Compassion	24d ago	Fit
Frank The Spark	35d ago	Fit
Magic Gem	48d ago	Fresh
Henery Hawk	56d ago	Fresh
Mutabaahy	82d ago	Fresh
Fircombe Hall	432d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.