Newcastle (AW)

19:00 ✓ Result

Join The Vickers.Bet Racing Club EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Not Run More Than Three Times) (GBB)

Date 2023-09-19
Distance 6f
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,564
Winning Time 1m 13.17s (slow by 2.77s)

Result

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (5)
Our Melody
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Archie Watson
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Archie Watson
128
-
-
-
-31
15.4
0.21/1
5/6
55%
Attractive pedigree and stable has such a fine record with 2yo newcomers; watch market
11 (4)
Royal Elysian
Bay
J:Saffie Osborne
T:James Ferguson
J:Saffie Osborne
T:James Ferguson
128 224
80
86
-
54d +1
18.7
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Should be suited by the return to this trip on AW debut and respected
7 (11)
Nasneen
Chestnut
J:Clifford Lee
T:Paul & Oliver Cole
J:Clifford Lee
T:Paul & Oliver Cole
128 2
-
76
-
20d -4
8.6
1.00/1
5
20%
Shaped as though 6f would suit when second on debut; half-sister to a Tapeta winner
2 (8)
Dianara
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
J:P J McDonald
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
128 4
-
87
-
33d -8
3.3
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Fourth on Deauville debut last month; drop in trip may suit; related to AW winners
1 (10)
Alibi Warning
Bay
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
J:Oisin Orr
T:Richard Fahey
128
-
-
-
-4
1.4
4.75/1
20
5%
Enough to like on pedigree and stable often gets them ready first time; market informative
5 (9)
Leveret
Bay
J:Jack Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
J:Jack Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
128
-
-
-
-2
0.8
12.25/1
50
2%
Plenty to like on breeding and interesting to see how she fares in the market
3 (2)
Jungle Jean
Chestnut
J:Joe Fanning
T:Katie Scott
J:Joe Fanning
T:Katie Scott
128 64
-
66
26
18d -2
0.8
8.00/1
33
3%
Not without a bit of promise in first two starts, but may be one for nurseries after this
4 (1)
Last Applause
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
128
-
-
-
-1
0.5
12.25/1
50
2%
Stable not renowned for winning 2yo newcomers
10 (3)
Royal City
Bay
J:Mark Winn(3)
T:Tristan Davidson
J:Mark Winn(3)
T:Tristan Davidson
128
-
-
-
-1
0.3
19.75/1
80
1%
Apprentice ridden and wouldn't be an obvious winner on debut
6 (6)
Lincolns Inn
Grey
J:Tom Eaves
T:Michael Herrington
J:Tom Eaves
T:Michael Herrington
128 7
-
46
-
18d -1
0.3
24.75/1
100
1%
Well behind Jungle Jean on her Carlisle debut; plenty of improvement required
9 (7)
Please Please Me
Bay
J:Billy Garritty
T:Philip Kirby
J:Billy Garritty
T:Philip Kirby
128 9
-
56
33
11d -1
0.3
37.25/1
150
1%
Ran green when ninth of 11 on her debut over C&D 11 days ago
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Our Melody
4/5 5/6 5/6 4/5 4/5
Royal Elysian
4 9/2 4 4 4
Nasneen
5 5 5 5 5
Dianara
6 6 13/2 6 6
Alibi Warning
20 20 18 18 18
Leveret
50 40 33 33 33
Jungle Jean
33 33 33 33 33
Last Applause
50 50 50 50 50
Royal City
80 80 80 80 80
Lincolns Inn
100 100 100 100 100
Please Please Me
150 150 150 150 150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Royal Elysian
18.7
OR: 7.5 Form: 6 Odds: 5.2
9/2
2nd Our Melody
15.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4
5/6
3rd Nasneen
8.6
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6
5
4 Dianara
3.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
5 Alibi Warning
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20
6 Leveret
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
50
7 Jungle Jean
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33
8 Last Applause
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
50
9 Royal City
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
80
10 Lincolns Inn
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
100
11 Please Please Me
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
150

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Royal Elysian
80
86
Our Melody
Nasneen
76
Dianara
87
Alibi Warning
Leveret
Jungle Jean
66
26
Last Applause
Royal City
Lincolns Inn
46
Please Please Me
56
33

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Please Please Me 11d ago Quick return
Jungle Jean 18d ago Fit
Lincolns Inn 18d ago Fit
Nasneen 20d ago Fit
Dianara 33d ago Fit
Royal Elysian 54d ago Fresh
Our Melody
Alibi Warning
Leveret
Last Applause
Royal City

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.