Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:00

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 3

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,731

Winning Time 2m 18.36s (slow by 0.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Humanity (IRE) Oisin Murphy · John & Thady Gosden	7/4F	Won
2nd	Sovereign Spirit (GB) William Carver · Andrew Balding	18/1	6
3rd	Duke Of Oxford (GB) Hector Crouch · Michael Bell	18/1	2.75
4th	Diamond Ranger (IRE) Callum Shepherd · George Boughey	14/1	0.1
5th	Nader King (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	9/1	.5
6th	Andaleep (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Daniel & Claire Kubler	22/1	.75
7th	Victory (IRE) Charles Bishop · Alan King	50/1	.5
8th	Pride Of Priory (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	17/2	0.3
9th	Mantoog (GB) Jim Crowley · Owen Burrows	7/1	4
10th	Gallant Lion (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Tony Carroll	10/1	1.25
11th	Big Team (USA) Christian Howarth · Saeed bin Suroor	22/1	0.1
12th	Maso Bastie (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	5/1	15
13th	Met Office (IRE) David Egan · John Butler	100/1	55

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (12)	Humanity Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	130	tb	3-41	82	92	47	21d	—	—	-9	18.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Turned over on reappearance but useful 2yo debut form and wide-margin winner on AW latest
6 (7)	Maso Bastie Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	134	v	1-1392	86	94	81	28d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Dual novice winner at 1m and 1m2f; useful C&D second latest; better than most
9 (1)	Mantoog Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	131	—	2-2514	83	93	46	18d	—	—	+3	15.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Wide-margin winner of 1m2f handicap debut; fair 4th since; needs shade more up in trip
7 (9)	Nader King Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	134	t	2-1320	86	92	-	54d	—	—	+5	15.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Improved form over 1m4f in June; dropped right out latest; tongue-tie on; AW debut
1 (2)	Pride Of Priory Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	144	—	5-9639	90	97	60	46d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Improved in 2022; not picked up in 2023 but 7lb lower than reappearance over C&D
10 (11)	Gallant Lion Roan J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tony Carroll	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tony Carroll	131	—	011115	83	92	-	18d	—	—	+20	27.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Won first 4 handicaps up to 1m3f following reappearance but way below best latest
11 (3)	Sovereign Spirit Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	131	—	814244	83	95	-	31d	—	—	+6	15.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Unsuited by soft ground latest; convincing winner of latest two AW races, over 1m4f
2 (13)	Big Team Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	144	p	2330-9	90	95	-	31d	—	—	+7	11.2	4.75/1	20 5%
2-2 at Wolverhampton earlier in career; sparingly raced; ran poorly after absence latest
3 (5)	Diamond Ranger Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Boughey	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Boughey	142	p	0232-8	88	93	52	43d	—	—	+7	10.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Both wins in 7f novices; narrow defeat upped to 1m3f on final 3yo start; needed return
8 (10)	Duke Of Oxford Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	133	—	1140	85	89	48	97d	—	—	+12	18.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Won first 2 AW starts; soundly beaten in big turf races after but has had wind op
4 (6)	Andaleep Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Jack Mitchell T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	140	t	421408	86	93	-	25d	—	—	+10	14	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Prolific turf winner, latest in July, but out of sorts on last 2 starts and 0-16 on AW
13 (8)	Victory Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Alan King	J:Charles Bishop T:Alan King	128	p	7-9277	74	93	72	25d	—	—	+4	6.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Sole win on this track in 2021; has work to do on balance of 2023 form
5 (4)	Met Office Bay J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	135	h	7/79-0	81	92	18	126d	—	—	+7	8.1	24.75/1	100 1%
French turf winner at 1m2f/1m4f in 2020; soundly beaten in 3 runs for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Humanity	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Maso Bastie	5	11/2	5	5	5
Mantoog	6	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Nader King	15/2	7/1	7	7	7
Pride Of Priory	9	10	10	9	10
Gallant Lion	11	11	11	11	11
Sovereign Spirit	12	9	15/2	8	9
Big Team	20	20	18	18	18
Diamond Ranger	25	22	20	20	20
Duke Of Oxford	18	12	12	12	12
Andaleep	25	25/1	25	25	25
Victory	25	28	28	33	33
Met Office	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gallant Lion

27.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 17 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Maso Bastie

19.6

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Duke Of Oxford

18.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

Humanity

18.5

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Nader King

15.4

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Sovereign Spirit

15.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.7

Mantoog

15.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Andaleep

OR: 9 Form: 4 Odds: 1

25/1

Pride Of Priory

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Big Team

11.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Diamond Ranger

10.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Met Office

8.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Victory

6.8

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pride Of Priory	90	97	60
Big Team	90	95	—
Diamond Ranger	88	93	52
Maso Bastie	86	94	81
Nader King	86	92	—
Andaleep	86	93	—
Duke Of Oxford	85	89	48
Mantoog	83	93	46
Gallant Lion	83	92	—
Sovereign Spirit	83	95	—
Humanity	82	92	47
Met Office	81	92	18
Victory	74	93	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mantoog	18d ago	Fit
Gallant Lion	18d ago	Fit
Humanity	21d ago	Fit
Andaleep	25d ago	Fit
Victory	25d ago	Fit
Maso Bastie	28d ago	Fit
Sovereign Spirit	31d ago	Fit
Big Team	31d ago	Fit
Diamond Ranger	43d ago	Fit
Pride Of Priory	46d ago	Fresh
Nader King	54d ago	Fresh
Duke Of Oxford	97d ago	Long break
Met Office	126d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.