At The Races App Form Study Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:30

At The Races App Form Study Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-09-28

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 41.67s (slow by 3.97s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	War Defender (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	100/30J	Won
2nd	Enola Grey (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	11/1	.5
3rd	Meng Tian (GB) Tom Eaves · S Woods	20/1	3
4th	Profit Given (IRE) Owen Lewis · Ismail Mohammed	28/1	0.2
5th	Mykonos St John (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	14/1	0.3
6th	Tickets (GB) David Probert · Ivan Furtado	11/2	.75
7th	Flying Panther (GB) P J McDonald · Tom Ward	100/30J	1
8th	Bungley (IRE) Cam Hardie · Tim Easterby	28/1	.5
9th	Perfect Gentleman (IRE) Darragh Keenan · George Scott	12/1	0.3
10th	Sprezzatura (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	10/1	.5
11th	Gypsy Whisper (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	11/1	2.25
12th	Queen Of Sparta (USA) Cieren Fallon · George Boughey	12/1	50

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (12)	War Defender Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	t	754321	60	71	37	12d	—	—	+2	24.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
First turf win latest (1m); dual Fibresand winner here but below best all three C&D runs
9 (3)	Flying Panther Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Tom Ward	J:P J McDonald T:Tom Ward	132	htp	071621	61	72	63	19d	—	—	+5	25.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Unlucky not to win his latest 3 AW starts since these aids fitted; unproven on Tapeta
1 (6)	Tickets Bay J:David Probert T:Ivan Furtado	J:David Probert T:Ivan Furtado	142	—	8-7765	67	74	39	10d	—	—	-5	7.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Yet to win a handicap but 9lb lower than good C&D run in December; first course run since
4 (1)	Enola Grey Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	136	—	469452	65	71	48	22d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Had slow season but down weights; better latest; return to 1m can suit; unproven on Tapeta
10 (11)	Sprezzatura Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	131	hb	447236	60	71	53	14d	—	—	+1	9.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Maiden; fair efforts for new yard at 7f and 1m; acts on Tapeta; return to 1m can suit
5 (9)	Perfect Gentleman Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	136	p	192436	65	71	51	43d	—	—	+3	9	3.75/1	16 6%
Two 1m wins on Polytrack early in 2023; below best on Tapeta last month; first course run
12 (5)	Gypsy Whisper Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	126	b	755374	51	71	41	12d	—	—	-3	3.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Below most recent winning mark; hampered over 7f here this month; in a higher grade now
7 (4)	Meng Tian Bay J:Tom Eaves T:S Woods	J:Tom Eaves T:S Woods	134	t	454469	59	72	59	22d	—	—	-1	3.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Tapeta winner at 7f; in average form, including on course debut; work to do back up to 1m
2 (2)	Mykonos St John Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	142	p	0-9886	67	66	34	11d	—	—	+1	5.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Five wins at 1m and 7f (on this track); out of sorts in a few starts since last August
8 (8)	Queen Of Sparta Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:George Boughey	J:Cieren Fallon T:George Boughey	133	—	5490	62	66	28	20d	—	—	-1	4.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Signs of ability at 7f; had going/trip excuses on last 2 starts; may do better now at 1m
3 (7)	Profit Given Chestnut J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Ismail Mohammed	140	v	402853	65	72	56	35d	—	—	+5	9.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Maiden; no great impact in handicaps as yet and unknown quantity upped to 1m
11 (10)	Bungley Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	130	—	7-9706	55	68	-	30d	—	—	-1	2.2	6.00/1	25 4%
All 3 turf wins at 1m; minor form here at the end of 2022; muddling through on turf since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
War Defender	3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Flying Panther	3	3	10/3	3	3
Tickets	5	11/2	11/2	5	11/2
Enola Grey	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Sprezzatura	10	9	9	9	9
Perfect Gentleman	16	14	14	14	14
Gypsy Whisper	12	12	11/1	12	12
Meng Tian	16	16	16	16	16
Mykonos St John	16	16	16/1	16	18
Queen Of Sparta	16	18	16/1	18	18
Profit Given	25	22	22	22	22
Bungley	25	25	25	25	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flying Panther

25.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

War Defender

24.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 15 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Enola Grey

11.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Sprezzatura

9.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.2

Profit Given

9.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

Perfect Gentleman

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.6

Tickets

7.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mykonos St John

5.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Queen Of Sparta

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Gypsy Whisper

3.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Meng Tian

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Bungley

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tickets	67	74	39
Mykonos St John	67	66	34
Enola Grey	65	71	48
Perfect Gentleman	65	71	51
Profit Given	65	72	56
Queen Of Sparta	62	66	28
Flying Panther	61	72	63
War Defender	60	71	37
Sprezzatura	60	71	53
Meng Tian	59	72	59
Bungley	55	68	—
Gypsy Whisper	51	71	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tickets	10d ago	Quick return
Mykonos St John	11d ago	Quick return
War Defender	12d ago	Quick return
Gypsy Whisper	12d ago	Quick return
Sprezzatura	14d ago	Fit
Flying Panther	19d ago	Fit
Queen Of Sparta	20d ago	Fit
Enola Grey	22d ago	Fit
Meng Tian	22d ago	Fit
Bungley	30d ago	Fit
Profit Given	35d ago	Fit
Perfect Gentleman	43d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.