Quinnbet Acca Bonus Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Quinnbet Acca Bonus Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-06

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 41.88s (slow by 4.88s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Strangerontheshore (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	11/1	Won
2nd	Copper Mountain (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	8/1	0.3
3rd	Spirit Of Bowland (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Stella Barclay	4/1	1.25
4th	Eleven Eleven (FR) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	9/4F	.75
5th	Dance Angel (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	11/1	.75
6th	Asdaa (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	5/1	2.5
7th	Armoured (IRE) Ben Curtis · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	12/1	3.25
8th	Jewel Of Kabeir (IRE) Dale Swift · Adrian Paul Keatley	7/1	1.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (6)	Wheres The Crumpet Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:David Thompson	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Thompson	130	—	346900	55	72	-	10d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-49	21.3	—	—
Maiden who seems to stay 1m6f; drop to 1m looks a negative
6 (5)	Eleven Eleven Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	131	h	587002	56	78	60	10d	—	—	-14	15.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Suited by the return to this venue last week and can build on that revived effort
4 (4)	Spirit Of Bowland Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	134	—	-41117	59	71	58	17d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/1P 2 runs	+6	22	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Spring AW hat-trick included two course wins; below par last month on return from layoff
1 (3)	Asdaa Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	137	p	555055	62	74	39	43d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Not quite at the top of his game of late; however, has possibilities back in Class 6
9 (9)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	123	t	069854	48	71	54	28d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beaten only 2l in each of her last two races; still well treated on peak form
8 (1)	Jewel Of Kabeir Bay J:Dale Swift T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Dale Swift T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	b	294443	53	75	50	4d	—	—	-2	6	2.25/1	10 10%
Maiden who has been largely consistent this term; ran creditably over C&D on Monday
2 (2)	Strangerontheshore Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	137	p	325735	62	76	34	40d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.75/1	12 8%
0-4 on AW but good chance off current mark if taking well to first-time headgear
5 (8)	Dance Angel Bay J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	133	—	617785	61	68	40	35d	—	—	+1	6.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Unable to build on 7f maiden win but this new trip may help
3 (7)	Armoured Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	137	t	36607	62	67	-	13d	—	—	-2	5.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Hopes of improvement are pinned on the switch to AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wheres The Crumpet	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Eleven Eleven	13/8	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8
Spirit Of Bowland	9/2	4	4	4	4
Asdaa	6	6	11/2	6	13/2
Copper Mountain	15/2	13/2	7	7	13/2
Jewel Of Kabeir	17/2	9	10	9	10
Strangerontheshore	12	11	12	12	12
Dance Angel	14	14	14	14	16
Armoured	14	12	12	12	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Of Bowland

OR: 2.3 Form: 15 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Wheres The Crumpet

21.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Eleven Eleven

15.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

Strangerontheshore

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

Asdaa

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Dance Angel

6.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Jewel Of Kabeir

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

Armoured

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

Copper Mountain

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Asdaa	62	74	39
Strangerontheshore	62	76	34
Armoured	62	67	—
Dance Angel	61	68	40
Spirit Of Bowland	59	71	58
Eleven Eleven	56	78	60
Wheres The Crumpet	55	72	—
Jewel Of Kabeir	53	75	50
Copper Mountain	48	71	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jewel Of Kabeir	4d ago	Quick return
Wheres The Crumpet	10d ago	Quick return
Eleven Eleven	10d ago	Quick return
Armoured	13d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Bowland	17d ago	Fit
Copper Mountain	28d ago	Fit
Dance Angel	35d ago	Fit
Strangerontheshore	40d ago	Fit
Asdaa	43d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.