Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:00

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap

Date 2023-10-11

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 37.98s (slow by 0.58s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Port Erin (IRE) James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford	3/1	Won
2nd	Lordsbridge Girl (GB) Marco Ghiani · William Knight	7/2	2
3rd	Trais Fluors (GB) Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	33/1	0.1
4th	Last Hoorah (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	7/1	0.3
5th	King Of The Dance (IRE) William Buick · Eve Johnson Houghton	8/1	0.3
6th	Cliffs Of Capri (GB) Dougie Costello · Jamie Osborne	18/1	2
7th	Sherood (GB) Oisin Murphy · Ed Walker	11/4F	1.75
8th	Give A Little Back (FR) Robert Havlin · Sean Curran	33/1	1.25
9th	Enola Grey (IRE) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	14/1	2
10th	Nasim (GB) William Carson · Mark Pattinson	80/1	0.3
11th	Taritino (IRE) Stefano Cherchi · Amy Murphy	18/1	1.25
12th	Hamnet (GB) Aidan Keeley · George Baker	28/1	.5
13th	Bobby Dassler (IRE) Luke Morris · Laura Mongan	66/1	1.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Sherood Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	133	—	6633	70	83	44	74d	—	—	-5	16.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Maiden/novice form has substance; ran creditably in handicap last time; still unexposed
12 (3)	Port Erin Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	131	—	591132	68	82	48	8d	—	—	+6	25.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has form figures of 1132 since handicapping, largely under front-running tactics
5 (6)	Lordsbridge Girl Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	134	—	334627	68	83	70	15d	—	—	-2	13	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has form figures of 212 in C&D handicaps, neck second on most recent occasion
11 (2)	King Of The Dance Bay J:William Buick T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:William Buick T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	p	386514	65	81	75	23d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+2	14.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Respectable results since fitted with cheekpieces, winning at Lingfield then fourth here
NR (11)	Monty Be Quick Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	132	—	28428	69	82	-	20d	—	—	-41	29.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close second at Chepstow on handicap debut; unsuited by soft ground last time
2 (5)	Last Hoorah Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	136	b	025734	70	82	64	39d	—	—	+3	10	2.25/1	10 10%
Has bits of respectable AW form this term, including over C&D (second of 14) in June
14 (7)	Enola Grey Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	130	—	694522	67	81	72	13d	—	—	+8	14.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Runner-up at this course and Southwell since returned to AW; not dismissed
4 (10)	Cliffs Of Capri Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Jamie Osborne	J:Dougie Costello T:Jamie Osborne	134	b	055794	68	87	55	24d	—	—	+1	5.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Respectable fourth in the Leger Legends race at Doncaster; no win since 2020
13 (9)	Taritino Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	131	b	760668	68	82	41	4d	—	—	0	6.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Chance largely depends on how well he responds to new headgear
7 (13)	Give A Little Back Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Sean Curran	J:Robert Havlin T:Sean Curran	133	—	127972	67	81	71	91d	—	—	+7	11.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Went close over C&D when last seen three months ago; strike-rate is just 1-19
3 (12)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	135	—	313777	69	80	-	27d	—	—	+5	8.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Modest strike-rate on turf in Britain; 2-4 on AW when trained in France
8 (14)	Nasim Chestnut J:William Carson T:Mark Pattinson	J:William Carson T:Mark Pattinson	133	—	732602	67	82	63	48d	—	—	+9	12.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Ran well at Chelmsford last time; sold out of Mick Appleby's yard for 7,000gns since
1 (4)	Hamnet Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:George Baker	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:George Baker	136	t	625-00	70	82	20	138d	—	—	+3	5.7	9.75/1	40 3%
0-5 in France for Andre Fabre; sold for 27,000gns since last run; market can guide
10 (8)	Bobby Dassler Bay J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	132	—	152546	66	79	-	27d	—	—	+4	6.1	16.25/1	66 2%
Nicely treated on best turf form but has something to prove back on AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sherood	3	3	11/4	11/4	11/4
Port Erin	7/2	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Lordsbridge Girl	5	9/2	5	5	5/1
King Of The Dance	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Monty Be Quick	15/2	SP	SP	SP	SP
Last Hoorah	10	10	10	10	10
Enola Grey	12	11	11	11	11
Cliffs Of Capri	16	18	16	18	16
Taritino	16	16	16	16	16
Give A Little Back	20	18	18/1	18	22
Trais Fluors	20	22	22	22	25
Nasim	33	28	28	25	28/1
Hamnet	40	33	33	33	33
Bobby Dassler	66	40	40	40	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Monty Be Quick

29.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 20

15/2

2nd

Port Erin

25.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Sherood

16.3

OR: 5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Enola Grey

14.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

King Of The Dance

14.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Lordsbridge Girl

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Nasim

12.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.9

Give A Little Back

11.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

Last Hoorah

OR: 5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

Trais Fluors

8.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.1

Taritino

6.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Bobby Dassler

6.1

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

Cliffs Of Capri

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Hamnet

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sherood	70	83	44
Last Hoorah	70	82	64
Hamnet	70	82	20
Monty Be Quick	69	82	—
Trais Fluors	69	80	—
Port Erin	68	82	48
Lordsbridge Girl	68	83	70
Cliffs Of Capri	68	87	55
Taritino	68	82	41
Enola Grey	67	81	72
Give A Little Back	67	81	71
Nasim	67	82	63
Bobby Dassler	66	79	—
King Of The Dance	65	81	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Taritino	4d ago	Quick return
Port Erin	8d ago	Quick return
Enola Grey	13d ago	Quick return
Lordsbridge Girl	15d ago	Fit
Monty Be Quick	20d ago	Fit
King Of The Dance	23d ago	Fit
Cliffs Of Capri	24d ago	Fit
Trais Fluors	27d ago	Fit
Bobby Dassler	27d ago	Fit
Last Hoorah	39d ago	Fit
Nasim	48d ago	Fresh
Sherood	74d ago	Fresh
Give A Little Back	91d ago	Long break
Hamnet	138d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.