Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-10-17
Distance 1m5y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (12)
Port Erin
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
134 911321
75
87
75
6d +4
36.3
0.47/1
15/8
35%
Has progressed nicely since handicapping; every chance of going in again under a penalty
12 (6)
Goldsmith
Bay
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
130 338325
68
85
72
62d 0
14.1
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Wins last winter came over 1m2f on Polytrack; needs to improve on his sole Tapeta run
8 (10)
Southwold
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
J:Luke Morris
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
133 b 432943
71
84
74
14d +3
13
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Dual Tapeta winner; needs to find a bit more from somewhere in a slightly stronger race
10 (4)
Star Zinc
Bay
J:Graham Lee
T:Rebecca Menzies
J:Graham Lee
T:Rebecca Menzies
132 106083
70
86
68
18d +3
10.1
2.75/1
12
8%
Has pulled hard a few times since the hood came off; lacks consistency but is capable
7 (7)
Utilis
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
133 -75682
74
82
32
15d +6
12.9
3.25/1
14
7%
Regressive maiden who should be competitive back into a bigger field/back in a handicap
4 (1)
King Triton
Bay
J:Sam James
T:Grant Tuer
J:Sam James
T:Grant Tuer
134 00-569
72
85
-
37d +1
7.2
3.25/1
14
7%
Lost his way during a limited campaign last year and has gone backwards this season
6 (3)
Irish Flame
Bay
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
133 p 558625
71
84
60
18d +4
10.5
2.75/1
12
8%
Won his novice over C&D last winter and has done better since returned here; player
1 (9)
Finbars Lad
Chestnut
J:Jason Hart
T:John Quinn
J:Jason Hart
T:John Quinn
136 4-0177
74
84
-
66d +1
8.1
2.75/1
12
8%
Keen-going gelding who was likely unsuited by rain-softened ground latest; can do better
2 (8)
Star Shield
Chestnut
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David Omeara
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David Omeara
135 p 515408
73
86
-
26d +3
9.5
3.75/1
16
6%
Dual C&D winner who returns to Tapeta on a fair mark; remains consistent despite his age
9 (2)
Red Treasure
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Ed Dunlop
132 -14668
73
83
59
29d +4
9.4
3.75/1
16
6%
Tackles Tapeta for the first time since winning her novice and needs to bounce back
11 (5)
Tribal Wisdom
Chestnut
J:Ben Curtis
T:Ian Williams
J:Ben Curtis
T:Ian Williams
131 5-0079
69
84
-
30d +2
6
6.75/1
28
4%
Disappointment for Charlie Appleby and has struggled badly for this yard; watch the market
3 (11)
Cori Glory
Chestnut
J:Jack Garritty
T:Mark Walford
J:Jack Garritty
T:Mark Walford
134 431266
75
86
-
38d +11
12.9
16.25/1
66
2%
Hasn't gone on since handicapping; needs to settle better back up from 7f on her AW debut
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Port Erin
7/4 2 15/8 15/8 15/8
Goldsmith
9/2 6 13/2 9/2 11/2
Southwold
8 17/2 8 8 8
Star Zinc
12 12 9 12 11/1
Utilis
14 12 12 11 12/1
King Triton
14 12 12 12 12
Irish Flame
12 12 12 11 11
Finbars Lad
12 10 11 9 9
Star Shield
16 12 11 12 12
Red Treasure
16 14 12 14 14
Tribal Wisdom
28 22 22/1 18 22/1
Cori Glory
66 40 50 40 40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Port Erin
36.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 20 Odds: 10
15/8
2nd Goldsmith
14.1
OR: 4.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4
13/2
3rd Southwold
13
OR: 5.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.7
17/2
4 Utilis
12.9
OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9
14
5 Cori Glory
12.9
OR: 6.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0.6
66
6 Irish Flame
10.5
OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7
12
7 Star Zinc
10.1
OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1
12
8 Star Shield
9.5
OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7
16
9 Red Treasure
9.4
OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6
16
10 Finbars Lad
8.1
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12
11 King Triton
7.2
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14
12 Tribal Wisdom
6
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
28

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Port Erin
75
87
75
Cori Glory
75
86
Utilis
74
82
32
Finbars Lad
74
84
Star Shield
73
86
Red Treasure
73
83
59
King Triton
72
85
Southwold
71
84
74
Irish Flame
71
84
60
Star Zinc
70
86
68
Tribal Wisdom
69
84
Goldsmith
68
85
72

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Port Erin 6d ago Quick return
Southwold 14d ago Fit
Utilis 15d ago Fit
Star Zinc 18d ago Fit
Irish Flame 18d ago Fit
Star Shield 26d ago Fit
Red Treasure 29d ago Fit
Tribal Wisdom 30d ago Fit
King Triton 37d ago Fit
Cori Glory 38d ago Fit
Goldsmith 62d ago Fresh
Finbars Lad 66d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.